equitysell

ARKK · ARK Innovation ETF

Trust-weighted public proof page for ARKK. See which authors support it, which ticker theses it belongs to, and how thesis calls have performed.

Opportunity
138 / 100
Current score
-2.21
Thesis calls
14
Active decisions
12

Recent proof-backed thesis calls

Public preview of asset-level thesis calls linked to source content, observed prices, and outcomes.

Post argues the key disconnect: AI will be transformative across many industries, while VCs are framing impact as primarily within the technology industry. No specific companies, products, timing catalysts, or trade setups are provided.

Mentioned: Jul 24, 2026, 7:50 PM EDTConviction: 24 / 100
Source: Just Another Pod Guy @TMTLongShort 39m I’m realizing that part of the disconnect between my view and the VCs is that ...

A non-specific social post expressing impatience for AGI and suggesting it would enable solving math problems and building large-scale human-body simulations to cure disease. No concrete event, company, product, policy, earnings, or catalyst information.

Mentioned: Jul 24, 2026, 5:50 PM EDTConviction: 20 / 100
Source: Taelin @VictorTaelin 39m so can we please just ship AGI already, solve all open math problems, and get started with t...

Post argues a macro causal chain: escalating war/geopolitical tension threatens oil supply → oil near ~$100 → higher input costs → inflation risk returns → high-growth equities sell off.

Mentioned: Jul 24, 2026, 3:17 PM EDTConviction: 52 / 100
Source: CK Capital @CKCapitalxx 17m For anyone wondering why high growth is getting hit again. The chain starts with war. Ten...

Post argues VC funds (especially large ones) have bloated, forcing them to seek much larger outcomes and concentrate more capital into perceived winners, shifting founder/VC ambition toward trillion-dollar market narratives. It’s a high-level narrative about venture capital incentives rather than a specific tradable catalyst.

Mentioned: Jul 23, 2026, 10:18 PM EDTConviction: 28 / 100
Source: arian ghashghai @arian_ghashghai 7h In case founders are confused as to how this evolution came about: > VC funds (es...

HSBC strategist Max Kettner suggests a near-term “melt-up” phase in tech could rotate momentum back toward hyperscalers (mega-cap cloud/platform names).

Mentioned: Jul 6, 2026, 9:52 AM EDTConviction: 45 / 100
Source: HSBC's Kettner Says `Melt-Up' Set to Boost Hyperscalers

Weekend Bloomberg program rundown touching on: upcoming NATO summit (geopolitical/defense implications), a suggested near-term bounce in chip stocks, a planned SK Hynix Nasdaq-related event/debut mention, and a segment on whether the US dollar remains dominant. The content is headline-level with limited concrete data, so actionability is modest and best suited for short-horizon thematic trades (semis/defense/USD).

Mentioned: Jul 5, 2026, 12:28 PM EDTConviction: 33 / 100
Source: Bloomberg This Weekend | Upcoming NATO Summit, Chip Stocks Look to Rise Back, SCOTUS Reflect Reagan
schrepxopen

Tweet argues that a “real bad tech downturn” hasn’t happened since 2000 (implying 2022+ could resemble a more severe tech drawdown than 2008 for tech), referencing YC messaging to founders. No specific companies mentioned; this is a high-level macro/sector caution on tech risk over the next ~12 months.

Mentioned: Jun 18, 2026, 12:47 AM EDTConviction: 46 / 100
Source: Mike Schroepfer @schrep May 20, 2022 Nobody can predict what is going to happen over the next 12 months but we haven'...
Graham Stephanyoutubeopen

Content argues a viral “stocks never go down” idea is a dangerous extrapolation of debt/deficit monetization. It frames a potential “great melt-up” driven by inflation, momentum, and financial repression, but warns historical analogs (Dotcom, Japan) ended with major drawdowns. Actionable implication: late-cycle melt-up risk + tail risk of sharp reversal; consider hedges and inflation-sensitive positioning rather than assuming perpetual equity gains.

Mentioned: Jun 8, 2026, 4:00 PM EDTConviction: 43 / 100
Source: Trump Just Secretly Triggered The Next Great Wealth Transfer
ARK Investyoutubeopen

Transcript-style macro discussion (Cathie Wood context) touching on: strong jobs report vs weak market, USD (DXY) dynamics, foreign selling of US Treasuries, gold selling by some countries, M2 leading indicators pointing to disinflation/deflation, long-bond yield implications, OPEC “splintering”/UAE production, PPI/core PPI cooling, decelerating corporate revenue growth (margin implications), and housing buyer/seller imbalance. Content is thematic but low on concrete timing/levels.

Mentioned: Jun 5, 2026, 7:45 PM EDTConviction: 46 / 100
Source: Booming Jobs Report, Plummeting Market: What's Going On? | ITK With Cathie Wood
ARK Investyoutubeopen

The source is a fragmented discussion about large private-company revenue/ARR milestones (e.g., “$30B ARR”), comparisons to early NASDAQ-era growth, and a broad “historic IPO wave” framing, with mentions of SpaceX, xAI/Grok, Anthropic, and OpenAI. It contains no concrete timing, pricing, filing details, or specific IPO candidates beyond speculative references, so actionable trading signal is limited.

Mentioned: Jun 4, 2026, 11:00 AM EDTConviction: 33 / 100
Source: SpaceX And The Historic IPO Wave
ARK Investyoutubeopen

Podcast-style discussion with Bryan Johnson framed around “don’t die”/longevity: prioritizing interventions that extend healthspan, skepticism toward many supplements (NMN/NR, B12 shots), importance of sleep architecture, and a view that AGI/ASI could become a major driver of longevity progress. No company-specific catalysts, products, trials, or investable signals are provided; ARK disclaimers included.

Mentioned: Jun 4, 2026, 8:00 AM EDTConviction: 25 / 100
Source: Don’t Die: Humanity’s Future With Bryan Johnson

Comment argues US venture market is “overbloated” vs Europe, implying greater downside risk for US venture-backed/private tech valuations than European peers. No specific catalyst or timeframe given, so actionability is low.

Mentioned: May 28, 2026, 2:15 AM EDTConviction: 32 / 100
Source: @NilssonRoos on a more serious note, I think a lot of this stems from overbloated venture market in the US which is l...

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Active decisions12
Latest price$71.96

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