S

schrep

schrep is an independent commentator on X (@schrep) who posts concise observations, occasional market mentions, and personal reflections. Recent activity includes thematic commentary and low-information social posts that reference WWII, CHKP, and LOVE. Track record (3 evaluated recommendations): average return -0.78%, win rate 66.7%.

Trust score
0 / 100
Track record
0 / 100
Thesis calls
10
Evaluated calls
10
Average return
+0.52%
Win rate
70%

Past bets that played out

Recent standout posts are primarily low-information social messages and a personal remembrance. Notable items: two brief posts praising SemiAnalysis for adding “Signal” (linked externally) and a personal reflection on a WWII veteran’s sacrifice. None of these make direct market claims or identify concrete catalysts.

XLKrightbacktest DEMOTE

Tweet argues that a “real bad tech downturn” hasn’t happened since 2000 (implying 2022+ could resemble a more severe tech drawdown than 2008 for tech), referencing YC messaging to founders. No specific companies mentioned; this is a high-level macro/sector caution on tech risk over the next ~12 months.

Mentioned: Jun 18, 2026, 12:47 AM EDTConviction: 40 / 100Return: -12.44%
Source: Mike Schroepfer @schrep May 20, 2022 Nobody can predict what is going to happen over the next 12 months but we haven'...
CHKPwrongbacktest DEMOTE

Very low-information social post praising SemiAnalysis for adding “signal” and linking to an external URL; no market-relevant claims, catalysts, or tickers mentioned in the text.

Mentioned: May 26, 2026, 11:45 PM EDTConviction: 32 / 100Return: -10.48%Observed price: $128.71
Source: @ID_AA_Carmack @SemiAnalysis_ Love @SemiAnalysis_ adding lots of Signal. Check out https://t.co/UBlsqtG0Vs M
ARKKwrongbacktest PROMOTE

Tweet argues that a “real bad tech downturn” hasn’t happened since 2000 (implying 2022+ could resemble a more severe tech drawdown than 2008 for tech), referencing YC messaging to founders. No specific companies mentioned; this is a high-level macro/sector caution on tech risk over the next ~12 months.

Mentioned: Jun 18, 2026, 12:47 AM EDTConviction: 46 / 100Return: +9.18%
Source: Mike Schroepfer @schrep May 20, 2022 Nobody can predict what is going to happen over the next 12 months but we haven'...

What this channel is watching now

Active tickers and themes mentioned recently: WWII (avg conviction 0.60, 1 mention), CHKP (avg conviction 0.32, 1 mention), LOVE (avg conviction 0.32, 1 mention). Overall emphasis is thematic and observational rather than detailed company analysis.

Latest videos and market context

No video content identified in recent source events.

Mike Schroepfer @schrep Jul 20 I’ve invested with @saranormous and worked with @mvernal for a decade. They are the re...

Jul 20, 2026, 12:45 AM EDT

A personal endorsement tweet by Mike Schroepfer praising Sara Guo and Matt Vernal as investors/operators. No companies, sectors, catalysts, or investable assets are mentioned.

Mike Schroepfer @schrep Jul 2 Quick math says average American owns/uses ~60x more battery capacity than they did 20 ...

Jul 2, 2026, 2:26 PM EDT

Post argues that per-capita AI compute usage will likely expand massively over coming years (analogous to 60x growth in battery capacity over 20 years), implying we are early in real-world AI deployment. This supports a secular AI infrastructure buildout thesis (chips, foundry, networking, servers, data-center power/thermal, hyperscalers).

@ID_AA_Carmack @SemiAnalysis_ Love @SemiAnalysis_ adding lots of Signal. Check out https://t.co/UBlsqtG0Vs M

May 26, 2026, 11:45 PM EDT

Very low-information social post praising SemiAnalysis for adding “signal” and linking to an external URL; no market-relevant claims, catalysts, or tickers mentioned in the text.

My grandfather was from a generation that didn't talk about the sacrifices they made. He fought with the US Army in W...

May 25, 2026, 1:25 PM EDT

Personal reflection on a WWII veteran’s sacrifice; no market, sector, policy, or company-specific information.

Proof-backed call history

Posting history is dominated by short-form social posts and occasional longer personal reflections. Several recent posts are low-information endorsements or congratulations, and one links to an external report claiming a construction methodology with materially lower electrical equipment and installation costs (report details not provided).

ARKKwrongbacktest PROMOTE

Tweet argues that a “real bad tech downturn” hasn’t happened since 2000 (implying 2022+ could resemble a more severe tech drawdown than 2008 for tech), referencing YC messaging to founders. No specific companies mentioned; this is a high-level macro/sector caution on tech risk over the next ~12 months.

Mentioned: Jun 18, 2026, 12:47 AM EDTConviction: 46 / 100Return: +9.18%
Source: Mike Schroepfer @schrep May 20, 2022 Nobody can predict what is going to happen over the next 12 months but we haven'...
XLKrightbacktest DEMOTE

Tweet argues that a “real bad tech downturn” hasn’t happened since 2000 (implying 2022+ could resemble a more severe tech drawdown than 2008 for tech), referencing YC messaging to founders. No specific companies mentioned; this is a high-level macro/sector caution on tech risk over the next ~12 months.

Mentioned: Jun 18, 2026, 12:47 AM EDTConviction: 40 / 100Return: -12.44%
Source: Mike Schroepfer @schrep May 20, 2022 Nobody can predict what is going to happen over the next 12 months but we haven'...
QQQrightbacktest DEMOTE

Tweet argues that a “real bad tech downturn” hasn’t happened since 2000 (implying 2022+ could resemble a more severe tech drawdown than 2008 for tech), referencing YC messaging to founders. No specific companies mentioned; this is a high-level macro/sector caution on tech risk over the next ~12 months.

Mentioned: Jun 18, 2026, 12:47 AM EDTConviction: 42 / 100Return: -8.56%
Source: Mike Schroepfer @schrep May 20, 2022 Nobody can predict what is going to happen over the next 12 months but we haven'...
PINSrightbacktest HOLD

Meta/Facebook executive apologizes for an outage of Facebook-powered services due to networking issues; restoration in progress. This is a transient operational incident with limited direct tradability unless outages are prolonged or trigger regulatory/advertiser backlash.

Mentioned: Jun 18, 2026, 12:47 AM EDTConviction: 28 / 100Return: +4.41%
Source: Mike Schroepfer @schrep Oct 4, 2021 *Sincere* apologies to everyone impacted by outages of Facebook powered services ...
SNAPrightbacktest HOLD

Meta/Facebook executive apologizes for an outage of Facebook-powered services due to networking issues; restoration in progress. This is a transient operational incident with limited direct tradability unless outages are prolonged or trigger regulatory/advertiser backlash.

Mentioned: Jun 18, 2026, 12:47 AM EDTConviction: 30 / 100Return: +5.57%
Source: Mike Schroepfer @schrep Oct 4, 2021 *Sincere* apologies to everyone impacted by outages of Facebook powered services ...
GOOGLrightbacktest PROMOTE

Meta/Facebook executive apologizes for an outage of Facebook-powered services due to networking issues; restoration in progress. This is a transient operational incident with limited direct tradability unless outages are prolonged or trigger regulatory/advertiser backlash.

Mentioned: Jun 18, 2026, 12:47 AM EDTConviction: 34 / 100Return: +7.56%
Source: Mike Schroepfer @schrep Oct 4, 2021 *Sincere* apologies to everyone impacted by outages of Facebook powered services ...
METAwrongbacktest DEMOTE

Meta/Facebook executive apologizes for an outage of Facebook-powered services due to networking issues; restoration in progress. This is a transient operational incident with limited direct tradability unless outages are prolonged or trigger regulatory/advertiser backlash.

Mentioned: Jun 18, 2026, 12:47 AM EDTConviction: 42 / 100Return: +1.84%
Source: Mike Schroepfer @schrep Oct 4, 2021 *Sincere* apologies to everyone impacted by outages of Facebook powered services ...
CHKPwrongbacktest DEMOTE

Very low-information social post praising SemiAnalysis for adding “signal” and linking to an external URL; no market-relevant claims, catalysts, or tickers mentioned in the text.

Mentioned: May 26, 2026, 11:45 PM EDTConviction: 32 / 100Return: -10.48%Observed price: $128.71
Source: @ID_AA_Carmack @SemiAnalysis_ Love @SemiAnalysis_ adding lots of Signal. Check out https://t.co/UBlsqtG0Vs M
LOVErightbacktest HOLD

Very low-information social post praising SemiAnalysis for adding “signal” and linking to an external URL; no market-relevant claims, catalysts, or tickers mentioned in the text.

Mentioned: May 26, 2026, 11:45 PM EDTConviction: 32 / 100Return: +7.32%Observed price: $15.95
Source: @ID_AA_Carmack @SemiAnalysis_ Love @SemiAnalysis_ adding lots of Signal. Check out https://t.co/UBlsqtG0Vs M
WWIIrightbacktest DEMOTE

Personal reflection on a WWII veteran’s sacrifice; no market, sector, policy, or company-specific information.

Mentioned: May 25, 2026, 1:25 PM EDTConviction: 60 / 100Return: +0.83%Observed price: $0.00
Source: My grandfather was from a generation that didn't talk about the sacrifices they made. He fought with the US Army in W...

About this channel

schrep writes concise social commentary and personal reflections on X (@schrep). Content is conversational and often links to external sources; market-related posts tend to be high-level and not supported by granular, ticker-specific evidence.

Subscribersn/a
Videosn/a
Win rate70%
Average return+0.52%

@schrep

Unlock the full track record

Follow @schrep on X for short-form commentary, links, and occasional thematic observations.