equitysell

KRE · State Street SPDR S&P Regional

Trust-weighted public proof page for KRE. See which authors support it, which ticker theses it belongs to, and how thesis calls have performed.

Opportunity
186 / 100
Current score
-3.15
Thesis calls
13
Active decisions
11

Recent proof-backed thesis calls

Public preview of asset-level thesis calls linked to source content, observed prices, and outcomes.

Segment notes a risk-off tape with oil spiking to a two-week high on US–Iran jitters (WTI/Brent >$80), while megacap chips led (NVDA up notably) but with uncertainty about durability; financials showed weakness ahead of/around big-bank earnings.

Mentioned: Jul 8, 2026, 4:27 PM EDTConviction: 51 / 100
Source: Oil Jumps to Two Week High on US-Iran Jitters | Closing Bell

Bloomberg The Close (7/6/2026) headlines a renewed “AI trade” bid with chip stocks leading (notably Broadcom, AMD) alongside Tesla; mentions AVGO extending an Apple partnership; Samsung and SK Hynix highlighted in the AI memory/chip cycle; decliners include O’Reilly, AMC, GXO. Also flags market rotation, rates/inflation backdrop, and regional banks into earnings. Actionability is moderate because content provided is chapter-level (no detailed catalyst metrics/quotes).

Mentioned: Jul 6, 2026, 6:24 PM EDTConviction: 47 / 100
Source: Chip Stocks Rally in AI Trade Revival | The Close 7/6/2026
Steve Eismanyoutubeopen

The provided source is only an episode description (no transcript/quotes), so it offers high-level themes (midterms, tariffs, Fed balance sheet, bank regulation, geopolitics) but lacks specific policy details, timing, or tickers discussed. Actionability is therefore limited and best expressed via broad, liquid sector/asset proxies (ETFs) tied to those themes.

Mentioned: Jul 6, 2026, 12:00 PM EDTConviction: 47 / 100
Source: Who Wins the Midterms & What It Means for Markets with Dan Clifton | The Real Eisman Playbook Ep 67

White House NEC Director Kevin Hassett says the June US jobs report shows the labor market on an upward trajectory and criticizes Jerome Powell. The most actionable market implication is a “strong jobs/strong economy” read-through that can pressure rate-cut expectations (higher yields, stronger USD), which tends to favor banks/value and hurt long-duration assets (Treasuries, high-multiple tech) near-term.

Mentioned: Jul 2, 2026, 10:34 AM EDTConviction: 38 / 100
Source: Hassett Says Jobs Data Strong, Criticizes Fed's Powell

Bloomberg clip quotes BlackRock PM Jeffrey Rosenberg saying the June jobs report (noted as ~57K) supports a more patient Fed (referencing “Warsh”) and is beneficial for bonds—i.e., softer labor momentum lowers/limits rate-hike pressure and supports duration.

Mentioned: Jul 2, 2026, 9:42 AM EDTConviction: 52 / 100
Source: Jobs Report Great for Warsh and Bonds, BlackRock's Rosenberg Says

Goldman’s read: the Fed meeting was unambiguously hawkish with heightened data dependence. Expect materially higher volatility concentrated in the 2-year sector as markets reprice incoming inflation prints and reduced forward guidance; long-end volatility may be comparatively lower, implying a potential curve-flattening regime (front-end reprices more than the long end).

Mentioned: Jun 18, 2026, 9:30 AM EDTConviction: 44 / 100
Source: Goldman Sees More Two-Year Volatility Under Warsh Fed
citrinixopen

Post expresses a macro view: the current selloff in rates (interpretable as rising yields / falling bond prices) is likely early-stage, implying further upward pressure on yields and continued downside risk for duration-sensitive assets.

Mentioned: May 19, 2026, 12:05 PM EDTConviction: 34 / 100
Source: This selloff in rates is closer to the beginning than the end imo.
Graham Stephanyoutubeopen

Clickbait-style claim that the Fed has “cancelled all rate cuts” and that a stock-market “melt-up has begun.” The provided body contains no concrete Fed decision details (statement, dot plot changes, press conference guidance) or market data—primarily promotional/teaser text—so this is not a reliably actionable catalyst on its own.

Mentioned: Apr 29, 2026, 4:00 PM EDTConviction: 30 / 100
Source: BREAKING: The FED Cancels ALL Rate Cuts - Stock Market Melt-Up Has Begun!
Steve Eismanyoutubeopen

The source frames large-bank earnings as a key read-through on the U.S. credit cycle after a long period of benign credit quality. It highlights investor concern that stress in private credit could broaden into banks and the wider economy, while also noting geopolitical risk from failed U.S.-Iran talks and a claimed U.S. blockade of the Strait of Hormuz. Markets reportedly rose on hopes of a settlement, but the entry itself provides limited hard earnings detail or bank-specific metrics.

Mentioned: Apr 17, 2026, 4:15 PM EDTConviction: 50 / 100
Source: Bank Earnings Are In: Here’s What They’re REALLY Saying About the U.S. Economy | The Weekly Wrap
Graham Stephanyoutubeopen

The source is a sensational, commentary-style post claiming the Fed has effectively “canceled” near-term rate cuts, that market expectations are shifting to higher rates over the next ~3 months, that private credit default rates are rising, and that housing liquidity is deteriorating (e.g., searches for “can’t sell a house”). No primary Fed statement, data release, or specific company catalyst is cited in the excerpt, so actionability depends on whether these claims are corroborated by real macr

Mentioned: Mar 18, 2026, 4:01 PM EDTConviction: 40 / 100
Source: BREAKING: Federal Reserve CANCELS Rate Cuts - Gas Prices Skyrocket, Stock Market Plummets!
Andrei Jikhyoutubeopen

Source is a YouTube video titled “Why The U.S. Economy Has Not Collapsed Yet” with no transcript available (content not accessible). The only explicit claim visible is “The Shadow Banking Crisis Has Started,” implying potential systemic/credit stress and delayed economic deterioration, but without verifiable specifics, timing, or named companies.

Mentioned: Mar 16, 2026, 3:15 PM EDTConviction: 32 / 100
Source: Why The U.S. Economy Has Not Collapsed Yet
Steve Eismanyoutubeopen

Podcast discussion (Eisman w/ Lakshmi Ganapathi, Unicus Research) arguing that headline bank/credit metrics look fine but “under the hood” US consumers are increasingly stressed; the mismatch between soft data (very weak sentiment) and reported credit quality may foreshadow later-stage deterioration in delinquencies/charge-offs and weaker discretionary demand.

Mentioned: Feb 9, 2026, 12:00 PM ESTConviction: 50 / 100
Source: Lakshmi Ganapathi on Consumer Stress & the Cracks Beneath the US Economy | The Real Eisman Playbook

Current stance

Recommendationsell
Authors6
Active decisions11
Latest price$69.29

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