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Steve Eisman

Steve Eisman

The Real Eisman Playbook is your front-row seat to the insights, strategies, and perspectives of legendary investor Steve Eisman. Best known for predicting the 2008 financial crisis, Steve brings his sharp analysis and no-nonsense approach to dissecting the markets, global economy, and investment trends shaping the future. Whether you're a seasoned investor or just curious about how the financial world really works, The Eisman Playbook delivers the knowledge you need to stay ahead. Tune in for expert commentary, candid conversations, and actionable takeaways from one of Wall Street’s most influential minds.

Trust score
0 / 100
Track record
0 / 100
Calls tracked
57
Evaluated calls
57
Average return
+8.45%
Win rate
37%

Past bets that played out

These are the clearest tracked calls with observable outcomes, linked back to the original videos.

LMTrightbacktest HOLD

Podcast episode title indicates a discussion of escalating/ongoing Iran-related conflict and implications, but the transcript/content is unavailable due to YouTube blocking. With no verifiable specifics (timing, escalation scenarios, policy actions, market views), the only actionable inference is generic: heightened Middle East geopolitical risk typically supports oil/defense and pressures fuel-sensitive sectors (airlines) if crude spikes.

Mentioned: Apr 9, 2026, 7:46 AM EDTConviction: 40 / 100Return: +38.21%
Source: Inside the Iran War with Steven Cook: What’s REALLY Happening? | The Real Eisman Playbook Ep 52
AIwrongbacktest PROMOTE

Podcast discussion on AI/LLMs (including hallucinations and “agentic AI”) framed around hyperscalers materially increasing capex (cited ~$650B across top four) to build AI infrastructure. It’s more thematic than company-specific: near-term beneficiary narrative is AI compute/networking/power supply chain; key risk narrative is that LLM limitations (hallucinations, reliability) and uncertain ROI could slow enterprise adoption and capex intensity.

Mentioned: Apr 11, 2026, 6:50 PM EDTConviction: 52 / 100Return: +35.66%
Source: Daniel Guetta on the Guts of AI, Agentic AI & Why LLMs Hallucinate | The Real Eisman Playbook Ep 46
LMTrightbacktest PROMOTE

Podcast episode recap: Steve Eisman discusses how the Iran war headline risk may be obscuring underlying macro/financial fragility. He flags “more bad news” in private credit and suggests the market may be at/near the start of a new credit cycle (i.e., worsening defaults, tighter underwriting, wider spreads). The episode includes an interview with Meritage Homes’ CEO focused on U.S. housing affordability and why prices remain high (structural supply constraints/lock-in effects vs. rate impacts),

Mentioned: Mar 27, 2026, 4:15 PM EDTConviction: 44 / 100Return: +35.28%
Source: The Iran War is Masking Economic Problems: Why Housing is So Expensive | The Weekly Wrap

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John Spencer on What the Headlines Get Wrong About the Iran War | The Real Eisman Playbook Ep 55

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Podcast episode (The Real Eisman Playbook Ep 55) featuring retired U.S. Army officer John Spencer discussing what is actually happening in the Iran war and how headlines may mischaracterize it. The source text provides no concrete new operational details, policy actions, sanctions, or timeline—so it’s more context-setting than a discrete tradable catalyst.

Catching a Falling Knife: The Truth About Software Stocks Today | The Real Eisman Playbook Ep 54

n/a

Podcast episode description only (no specific tickers mentioned): Steve Eisman and Baird software analyst Rob Oliver discuss why software stocks have been heavily sold off over the past year and the risk of “catching a falling knife” in the sector. Likely themes include multiple compression, rate sensitivity/duration, growth deceleration, and how/when to re-enter the group.

Jason Trennert on Populism, Policy & a Distorted Market System | The Real Eisman Playbook Episode 44

n/a

Podcast discussion (Eisman with Strategas’ Jason Trennert) framing current market action as “risk-off”: stocks down, gold up, oil up, crypto down (more than NASDAQ). Key macro driver highlighted is renewed tariff rhetoric (Trump threatening tariffs vs Europe), with the view it may be negotiating leverage but still creates headline risk and potential repeat of prior tariff-driven corrections. Overall this is thematic macro commentary rather than a concrete, time-specific catalyst.

Crypto & Silver Collapse, Software Gets Obliterated, & Two Stock Recommendations | The Weekly Wrap

n/a

Commentary-style weekly wrap describing sharp risk-off moves: silver down ~26% and bitcoin down ~24% attributed to panic selling/forced liquidations; “software stocks” described as getting “obliterated.” Also frames AI/LLM competition as a CapEx arms race, implying mega-cap platforms (esp. Google) can outspend venture-backed challengers; suggests OpenAI would be vulnerable if VC funding tightens. The excerpt references “two stock recommendations,” but the specific tickers are not provided here.

Proof-backed call history

These are recent tracked recommendations tied to original source content where available.

UALwrongbacktest PROMOTE

Podcast episode (The Real Eisman Playbook Ep 55) featuring retired U.S. Army officer John Spencer discussing what is actually happening in the Iran war and how headlines may mischaracterize it. The source text provides no concrete new operational details, policy actions, sanctions, or timeline—so it’s more context-setting than a discrete tradable catalyst.

Mentioned: Apr 14, 2026, 3:05 PM EDTConviction: 38 / 100Return: +6.42%Observed price: $97.37
Source: John Spencer on What the Headlines Get Wrong About the Iran War | The Real Eisman Playbook Ep 55
JETSwrongbacktest PROMOTE

Podcast episode (The Real Eisman Playbook Ep 55) featuring retired U.S. Army officer John Spencer discussing what is actually happening in the Iran war and how headlines may mischaracterize it. The source text provides no concrete new operational details, policy actions, sanctions, or timeline—so it’s more context-setting than a discrete tradable catalyst.

Mentioned: Apr 14, 2026, 3:05 PM EDTConviction: 43 / 100Return: +4.08%Observed price: $26.97
Source: John Spencer on What the Headlines Get Wrong About the Iran War | The Real Eisman Playbook Ep 55
RTXrightbacktest PROMOTE

Podcast episode (The Real Eisman Playbook Ep 55) featuring retired U.S. Army officer John Spencer discussing what is actually happening in the Iran war and how headlines may mischaracterize it. The source text provides no concrete new operational details, policy actions, sanctions, or timeline—so it’s more context-setting than a discrete tradable catalyst.

Mentioned: Apr 14, 2026, 3:05 PM EDTConviction: 40 / 100Return: +13.80%Observed price: $202.06
Source: John Spencer on What the Headlines Get Wrong About the Iran War | The Real Eisman Playbook Ep 55
LMTrightbacktest PROMOTE

Podcast episode (The Real Eisman Playbook Ep 55) featuring retired U.S. Army officer John Spencer discussing what is actually happening in the Iran war and how headlines may mischaracterize it. The source text provides no concrete new operational details, policy actions, sanctions, or timeline—so it’s more context-setting than a discrete tradable catalyst.

Mentioned: Apr 14, 2026, 3:05 PM EDTConviction: 40 / 100Return: +11.57%Observed price: $610.45
Source: John Spencer on What the Headlines Get Wrong About the Iran War | The Real Eisman Playbook Ep 55
ITArightbacktest PROMOTE

Podcast episode (The Real Eisman Playbook Ep 55) featuring retired U.S. Army officer John Spencer discussing what is actually happening in the Iran war and how headlines may mischaracterize it. The source text provides no concrete new operational details, policy actions, sanctions, or timeline—so it’s more context-setting than a discrete tradable catalyst.

Mentioned: Apr 14, 2026, 3:05 PM EDTConviction: 44 / 100Return: +1.59%Observed price: $235.13
Source: John Spencer on What the Headlines Get Wrong About the Iran War | The Real Eisman Playbook Ep 55
USOrightbacktest PROMOTE

Podcast episode (The Real Eisman Playbook Ep 55) featuring retired U.S. Army officer John Spencer discussing what is actually happening in the Iran war and how headlines may mischaracterize it. The source text provides no concrete new operational details, policy actions, sanctions, or timeline—so it’s more context-setting than a discrete tradable catalyst.

Mentioned: Apr 14, 2026, 3:05 PM EDTConviction: 42 / 100Return: +23.45%Observed price: $123.63
Source: John Spencer on What the Headlines Get Wrong About the Iran War | The Real Eisman Playbook Ep 55
XLErightbacktest PROMOTE

Podcast episode (The Real Eisman Playbook Ep 55) featuring retired U.S. Army officer John Spencer discussing what is actually happening in the Iran war and how headlines may mischaracterize it. The source text provides no concrete new operational details, policy actions, sanctions, or timeline—so it’s more context-setting than a discrete tradable catalyst.

Mentioned: Apr 14, 2026, 3:05 PM EDTConviction: 46 / 100Return: +9.65%Observed price: $55.81
Source: John Spencer on What the Headlines Get Wrong About the Iran War | The Real Eisman Playbook Ep 55
WCLDwrongbacktest PROMOTE

Podcast episode description only (no specific tickers mentioned): Steve Eisman and Baird software analyst Rob Oliver discuss why software stocks have been heavily sold off over the past year and the risk of “catching a falling knife” in the sector. Likely themes include multiple compression, rate sensitivity/duration, growth deceleration, and how/when to re-enter the group.

Mentioned: Apr 13, 2026, 8:07 PM EDTConviction: 30 / 100Return: +7.95%
Source: Catching a Falling Knife: The Truth About Software Stocks Today | The Real Eisman Playbook Ep 54
IGVwrongbacktest PROMOTE

Podcast episode description only (no specific tickers mentioned): Steve Eisman and Baird software analyst Rob Oliver discuss why software stocks have been heavily sold off over the past year and the risk of “catching a falling knife” in the sector. Likely themes include multiple compression, rate sensitivity/duration, growth deceleration, and how/when to re-enter the group.

Mentioned: Apr 13, 2026, 8:07 PM EDTConviction: 29 / 100Return: +8.58%
Source: Catching a Falling Knife: The Truth About Software Stocks Today | The Real Eisman Playbook Ep 54
IGVrightbacktest DEMOTE

Podcast episode description only (no specific tickers mentioned): Steve Eisman and Baird software analyst Rob Oliver discuss why software stocks have been heavily sold off over the past year and the risk of “catching a falling knife” in the sector. Likely themes include multiple compression, rate sensitivity/duration, growth deceleration, and how/when to re-enter the group.

Mentioned: Apr 13, 2026, 8:07 PM EDTConviction: 29 / 100Return: -23.18%
Source: Catching a Falling Knife: The Truth About Software Stocks Today | The Real Eisman Playbook Ep 54
COINwrongbacktest PROMOTE

Podcast discussion (Eisman with Strategas’ Jason Trennert) framing current market action as “risk-off”: stocks down, gold up, oil up, crypto down (more than NASDAQ). Key macro driver highlighted is renewed tariff rhetoric (Trump threatening tariffs vs Europe), with the view it may be negotiating leverage but still creates headline risk and potential repeat of prior tariff-driven corrections. Overall this is thematic macro commentary rather than a concrete, time-specific catalyst.

Mentioned: Apr 11, 2026, 6:52 PM EDTConviction: 49 / 100Return: +7.48%
Source: Jason Trennert on Populism, Policy & a Distorted Market System | The Real Eisman Playbook Episode 44
QQQwrongbacktest PROMOTE

Podcast discussion (Eisman with Strategas’ Jason Trennert) framing current market action as “risk-off”: stocks down, gold up, oil up, crypto down (more than NASDAQ). Key macro driver highlighted is renewed tariff rhetoric (Trump threatening tariffs vs Europe), with the view it may be negotiating leverage but still creates headline risk and potential repeat of prior tariff-driven corrections. Overall this is thematic macro commentary rather than a concrete, time-specific catalyst.

Mentioned: Apr 11, 2026, 6:52 PM EDTConviction: 52 / 100Return: +1.66%
Source: Jason Trennert on Populism, Policy & a Distorted Market System | The Real Eisman Playbook Episode 44

About this channel

Channel bio, source link, and public-market context from YouTube.

Subscribers168K
Videos111
Win rate37%
Average return+8.45%

The Real Eisman Playbook is your front-row seat to the insights, strategies, and perspectives of legendary investor Steve Eisman. Best known for predicting the 2008 financial crisis, Steve brings his sharp analysis and no-nonsense approach to dissecting the markets, global economy, and investment trends shaping the future. Whether you're a seasoned investor or just curious about how the financial world really works, The Eisman Playbook delivers the knowledge you need to stay ahead. Tune in for expert commentary, candid conversations, and actionable takeaways from one of Wall Street’s most influential minds.

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