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GLD · SPDR Gold Shares

Trust-weighted public proof page for GLD. See which authors support it, which ticker theses it belongs to, and how thesis calls have performed.

Opportunity
649 / 100
Current score
11.05
Thesis calls
71
Active decisions
35

Recent proof-backed thesis calls

Public preview of asset-level thesis calls linked to source content, observed prices, and outcomes.

Casual Financeyoutubeopen

Fragmented macro commentary focused on inflation (PCE) and Federal Reserve bond-buying (QE) and its implications for long-term contract pricing and long-term interest rates. No company-specific information; mostly a rates/liquidity narrative.

Mentioned: Jul 25, 2026, 11:00 AM EDTConviction: 50 / 100
Source: WTF Is Happening To Inflation?

Report: US officials are considering wider military attacks on Iran; CENTCOM says it has conducted a 13th consecutive night of strikes aimed at degrading Iran’s ability to attack commercial shipping in/near the Strait of Hormuz. This raises near-term geopolitical risk premia (energy, shipping, defense) and risk-off hedging demand, while pressuring oil-sensitive cyclicals (airlines) if crude spikes.

Mentioned: Jul 24, 2026, 10:33 AM EDTConviction: 54 / 100
Source: US Considers Wider Attacks on Iran
newsxopen

German-language media report claims Liechtenstein authorities have investigative files related to gold dealer TGI and its leadership (Kaltenegger), alleging serious commercial fraud, money laundering, and unlicensed banking activity; focus includes large payment flows, gold holdings, and the business model. No public-company ticker is directly referenced.

Mentioned: Jul 24, 2026, 6:53 AM EDTConviction: 28 / 100
Source: NEWS @NEWS 1h Exklusiv: Die Akte Kaltenegger. NEWS liegen Ermittlungsakten der Liechtensteiner Behörden zur TGI vor. ...

Segment flags a risk-off setup driven by (1) geopolitics (Trump threatening more Iran attacks) supporting oil/risk premia, and (2) tech weakness weighing on broader risk appetite. Macro focus includes ECB/Fed rate-hike debate and European PMIs (growth momentum signal).

Mentioned: Jul 24, 2026, 4:06 AM EDTConviction: 44 / 100
Source: Geopolitics and Tech Weakness a Headwind for Risk: 3-Minutes MLIV

Report of the US widening airstrikes on Iran (including a strike near Tabriz) and both sides signaling low near-term prospects for renewed peace talks. This increases near-term geopolitical risk premia, especially in crude oil, defense, shipping/insurance, and risk-off hedges; and pressures energy-sensitive sectors like airlines.

Mentioned: Jul 22, 2026, 11:17 AM EDTConviction: 52 / 100
Source: US Widens Strikes on Iran as Both Sides Downplay Diplomacy

Report indicates US has widened airstrikes on Iran for an 11th straight day and both US (Trump) and Tehran suggest renewed peace talks are unlikely near-term. This raises near-term geopolitical risk premia (energy, shipping/war risk insurance), supports defense spending sentiment, and pressures fuel-sensitive sectors (airlines, discretionary travel) while increasing broad risk-off odds.

Mentioned: Jul 22, 2026, 6:53 AM EDTConviction: 50 / 100
Source: Trump Downplays Talks With Iran as US Widens Strikes

Article frames escalating US-Iran tensions with reduced likelihood of near-term talks, ongoing US strikes (11th consecutive evening) aimed at degrading Iran’s ability to threaten commercial shipping, plus Houthi threats to Red Sea shipping. This is primarily an energy/shipping-risk and defense-spend-supportive headline with potential risk-off spillovers.

Mentioned: Jul 22, 2026, 1:52 AM EDTConviction: 53 / 100
Source: US Plays Down Prospects for Iran Talks

Sen. Rick Scott argues stopping Iran’s nuclear ambitions will likely require significantly more bombing and says “nothing should be off the table,” including potential action around Iran’s Kharg Island (a key oil-export terminal). He also claims a sanctions bill targeting buyers of Russian energy will pass before the August recess. Overall, the content is geopolitics- and sanctions-driven, most actionable via energy-supply risk (oil) and defense-spending/contractor sentiment, with secondary effe

Mentioned: Jul 21, 2026, 6:02 PM EDTConviction: 53 / 100
Source: It Will Take More Bombing to Beat Iran, Sen. Scott Says

Bloomberg segment centers on Middle East escalation risk (reports of additional US strikes on Iranian targets) and Trump playing down Iran talks, with discussion of oil prices. Content is macro/geopolitical and implies risk-premium in crude, potential bid for defense, and pressure on fuel-sensitive cyclicals. No specific company news; actionability is thematic/sector-tilt rather than single-name catalyst.

Mentioned: Jul 21, 2026, 3:41 PM EDTConviction: 52 / 100
Source: Trump Plays Down Iran Talks | Balance of Power 7/21/2026

Philippines alleges China Coast Guard struck and wounded a Philippine Navy serviceman during a South China Sea clash; China accuses the Philippines of provocations. Senior diplomats expected to meet at ASEAN, raising near-term headline/geopolitical risk in the region.

Mentioned: Jul 21, 2026, 9:57 AM EDTConviction: 51 / 100
Source: China, Philippines Clash Again in South China Sea

Report describes a 10th consecutive day of US-Iran strikes, including US strikes on Iranian command centers/launch sites/air defenses and Iranian attacks on sites in Kuwait and Jordan, while mediators push for a truce. Primary market channel is heightened Middle East geopolitical risk (energy supply risk premium, defense spend bid, risk-off pressure on travel/transport).

Mentioned: Jul 21, 2026, 8:06 AM EDTConviction: 50 / 100
Source: US-Iran Strikes Extend to 10th Day as Mediators Push Truce

Escalation between the US and Iran (US strikes on Iranian targets; Iran attacks on US sites in Kuwait and Jordan) with mediators proposing a truce. This is primarily a geopolitics-to-energy/risk-premium catalyst: near-term upside risk to crude and defense; downside risk to risk assets sensitive to oil prices and Middle East shipping/aviation routes, with a tail-risk bid for gold and volatility. Actionability is moderate because details (damage, duration, shipping disruption, OPEC response) are n

Mentioned: Jul 21, 2026, 1:29 AM EDTConviction: 52 / 100
Source: US, Iran Trade Strikes as Mediators Propose Truce

Current stance

Recommendationbuy
Authors16
Active decisions35
Latest pricen/a

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