equitybuy

TER

Trust-weighted public proof page for TER. See which authors support it, which ticker theses it belongs to, and how thesis calls have performed.

Opportunity
367 / 100
Current score
6.34
Thesis calls
18
Active decisions
16

Recent proof-backed thesis calls

Public preview of asset-level thesis calls linked to source content, observed prices, and outcomes.

PhyPush proposes physics-guided Transformers to estimate object mass and friction from a single robotic push using only standard arm kinematics (no force/torque, tactile, or motion-capture). If it transfers into commercial robot stacks, it can reduce sensor BOM and integration friction while improving manipulation robustness (bin picking, depalletizing, kitting). Public-market read-through is mainly to industrial robotics OEMs and robotics-AI compute/software platforms; potential negative read-t

Mentioned: May 27, 2026, 12:00 AM EDTConviction: 56 / 100
Source: PhyPush: One Push is All You Need for Sensorless Physical Property Estimation with Physics-Guided Transformers

Paper is a real factory-floor deployment study of a Vision-Language-Action (VLA) manipulation policy (Pi0.5) for an industrial packaging task at Siemens. The key investable takeaway is not the specific model, but the workflow reality: deployment requires iterative loops of on-site data collection/curation, fine-tuning, evaluation, and targeted recovery data to address recurring failure modes—implying (1) near-term services/integration and tooling demand, (2) compute/edge inference demand, and (3

Mentioned: May 28, 2026, 12:00 AM EDTConviction: 42 / 100
Source: A Factory-Floor Deployment Case Study of VLA Pipelines for Industrial Packaging Task: Workflow, Failures, and Lessons
Renrssopen

Post argues early-July selloff broadly marked down the AI buildout supply chain despite Morgan Stanley raising hyperscaler capex forecasts (2027/2028). The actionable catalyst window is Q2 earnings/capex commentary (roughly Jul 16–Aug 5; especially Jul 22–Jul 30), which could validate or refute elevated capex expectations and re-rate downstream AI buildout names (memory, foundry, semi equipment, photonics, power).

Mentioned: Jul 16, 2026, 6:32 AM EDTConviction: 50 / 100
Source: Q2 Earnings: Twelve Prints That Price the Whole AI Buildout
Renrssopen

Post argues July 16–Aug 5 earnings/capex commentary will determine whether the AI buildout selloff was overdone. Notes sharp early-July drawdowns across semi equipment/test/implant and memory-related names, while Morgan Stanley raised 2027–2028 hyperscaler capex forecasts (and is “more bullish on Amazon capex than Amazon is”). Core implication: hyperscaler capex confirmation vs contradiction will flow through the entire AI supply chain (HBM/memory, foundry, photonics, power, semi equipment).

Mentioned: Jul 16, 2026, 6:32 AM EDTConviction: 48 / 100
Source: Q2 Earnings: Twelve Prints That Price the Whole Building

Post argues humanoid robotics is structurally analogous to AI (roughly “AI in 2022”), is a general-purpose automation technology for physical labor, and is “barreling towards its own ChatGPT moment,” implying a coming inflection in capability and market potential. No explicit tickers/cashtags, no timing/catalyst beyond a general near-to-midterm “moment,” and no valuation/positioning specifics.

Mentioned: Jul 6, 2026, 10:09 AM EDTConviction: 33 / 100
Source: The Second Singularity | A General Theory on Humanoid Robotics (Free)

Research proposes a hybrid indoor-robot navigation stack: supervised-learned global planner (from cost-aware A* expert trajectories) + a learning-based local planner that selects among Dynamic Window Approach (DWA) candidates, trained via behavior cloning then PPO with feasibility masking. If it transfers robustly to real deployments, it can reduce navigation-engineering effort for AMRs/AGVs and improve safety/throughput in warehouses/factories/hospitals—benefiting AMR OEMs and edge-AI compute s

Mentioned: Jun 1, 2026, 12:00 AM EDTConviction: 46 / 100
Source: Learning-Based Navigation for Indoor Mobile Robots

Program headline suggests Alphabet (Google) is developing in-house server chips (custom silicon) ahead of earnings; broader discussion includes AI capex/infrastructure spending, tech earnings/options positioning, Tesla earnings preview, media M&A delay (Paramount/Warner), and aerospace demand (Boeing). Because only a show description (no transcript) is provided, actionable specificity is limited; takeaways are theme-level (AI custom silicon shifts supply chain; AI capex supports select semicondu

Mentioned: Jul 20, 2026, 6:24 PM EDTConviction: 45 / 100
Source: Alphabet To Develop Their Own Server Chips | The Close 7/20/2026
fdotincxopen

A short social post highlights a startup (Founders Inc / @fdotinc) that built an autonomous forklift capable of moving goods without human operators. No financial metrics, partnerships, customers, or product validation details are provided, but it reinforces the broader theme of accelerating warehouse/industrial automation.

Mentioned: Jul 7, 2026, 6:47 PM EDTConviction: 31 / 100
Source: Founders Inc @fdotinc 22m Two years ago, @VictorWBoyd and @robonafisi bought a used forklift and a shed to build the ...
fdotincxopen

Very limited content: a social post referencing someone who built self-driving forklifts (autonomous material-handling/warehouse automation). No company named, no catalyst, no financial details, and no explicit public ticker mentioned.

Mentioned: Jun 24, 2026, 6:02 PM EDTConviction: 20 / 100
Source: Founders Inc @fdotinc 30m He built self driving forklifts 05:46

Monumental Labs posts that it is building a robotic stone carving factory in New York and is hiring (manufacturing director). This is a company-specific hiring/build-out update with no clear linkage to public tickers or near-term revenue catalysts for listed firms.

Mentioned: Jun 17, 2026, 11:14 PM EDTConviction: 12 / 100
Source: Monumental Labs @Monumental_Labs Jul 23, 2024 We’re building the first robotic stone carving factory in New York. And...

Post states Figure (humanoid robotics company) is partnering with Catalyst Brands and emphasizes ability to deploy robots at scale. No financial details, timeline, or scope provided; both entities appear non-public from the text, limiting direct tradability. The most actionable read-through is modestly bullish for publicly traded industrial automation/robotics ecosystems if this signals accelerating commercial deployment demand.

Mentioned: May 26, 2026, 3:45 PM EDTConviction: 35 / 100
Source: @Figure_robot The ability to deploy robots at scale is core to Figure. Excited to partner with Catalyst Brands on thi...
fdotincxopen

Post argues robotics winners will be teams that deploy quickly in real retail settings (shelf-picking robot tested in SF stores), implying faster commercialization of retail/warehouse robotics and rising demand for perception + manipulation stacks and automation capex.

Mentioned: May 22, 2026, 1:53 PM EDTConviction: 38 / 100
Source: The robotics teams that win won’t be the ones waiting for perfect. They’ll be the ones deploying. In 6 weeks, @Linyan...

Current stance

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Active decisions16
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