Recent proof-backed thesis calls
Public preview of asset-level thesis calls linked to source content, observed prices, and outcomes.
...tock influencer hyping a satelite stock that had surged triple digits in the last few months! He’d been watching Echostar, the old Dish Network parent trading around $70 per share. Buried inside EchoStar’s balance sheet was a significant stake in SpaceX, one of the most important private companies on earth. The market was pricing EchoStar as a struggling telecom, but Michael was pricing it as a hidden SpaceX proxy. He was right. EchoStar went on to trade at over $140 per share. It even got ad
...t us restate that. Something only entire nations could achieve with infinite capital, was completed by a $6B company started in the mid 2010’s. As of April 10, stock surged 82% as the NASA’s Artemis II mission combined with the official filing of SpaceX’s blockbuster IPO reminded the world about how much potential the moon holds. But we think is still at the earliest phases of its re-rating, still down 37% from its peak at ~$60 after its IPO back in August. Firefly is the most complete small
A short, mostly tongue-in-cheek post referencing a third-party account’s claim that Google ($GOOGL) holds $94B of “SpaceX ($SPCX) shares after IPO.” The speaker’s own text frames this as a joke about reducing future capex by buying/holding “SpaceX shares” and selling at a loss. Actionability is low: the SpaceX reference is to a private company (no public ticker), “$SPCX” is not a standard listed ticker, and the numeric claim is unverified within the post.
Speaker argues sentiment has flipped from bullish to bearish and claims “now is the time to buy.” Makes three ticker calls: $MU will beat earnings (bullish catalyst), $SPCX will move higher (bullish), and $AAOI will not reach $80 (bearish/anti-momentum). No supporting data provided beyond assertion.
SpaceX IPO, Anthropic Fable 5, And Roku | The Brainstorm EP 136 SpaceX IPO, Anthropic Fable 5, And Roku | The Brainstorm EP 136 SpaceX IPO, Anthropic Fable 5, And Roku | The Brainstorm EP 136 The provided source contains only a title repeated in the bod...
...mer Fed Vice Chair Lael Brainard and Federal Energy Regulatory Commission Chairman Laura Swett. Chapters: 00:00:00 - Balance of Power: Early Edition 00:02:18 - Market Open: Oil Falls, Stocks Rise, Fed Reaction 00:04:20 - Bloomberg Business Flash: SpaceX Funding & Markets 00:04:55 - Middle East Analysis: Gulf States and the Iran Agreement 00:10:10 - U.S.-Israel Relations and Next Steps for the Deal 00:13:30 - Political Panel: Vance, Trump, and 2028 Implications 00:19:00 - Fed Outlook: Kevin Wa
The US Government vs. Anthropic, SpaceX IPOs at $2.89T, Elon Becomes World’s 1st Trillionaire | 265 The US Government vs. Anthropic, SpaceX IPOs at $2.89T, Elon Becomes World’s 1st Trillionaire | 265 The US Government vs. Anthropic, SpaceX IPOs at $2.89T, Elon Becomes World’s 1st Trill...
SpaceX Demand Is 'Off the Charts,' Says Schwab CEO SpaceX Demand Is 'Off the Charts,' Says Schwab CEO doing, stocks that are doing well with really strong fundamentals. Exactly what the returns will be, because these companies are waiting far longer to...
...S CONVEY -- I DON'T WANT TO SAY RADICAL, -- BUT QUITE STRIKING CHANGES. BUT THEY WON'T COME AS A SUDDEN SHOCK. I THINK THE GRADUAL APPROACH WILL BE AN ASSET AS HE AIRS THESE REFORMS HE WANTS TO IMPLEMENT. ALISTAIR BULL THERE, ARE A SENIOR EDITOR. SPACEX SHARES ARE VOLATILE. ELSEWHERE, TECH EXECUTIVES JOIN TALKS WITH G7 LEADERS LED BY THE FRENCH PRESIDENT EMMANUEL MACRON TO EXPLORE HOW TO DEPLOY THE MOST ADVANCED AI MODELS FOR SO-CALLED TRUSTED PARTNERS. I AM JOINED BY A PARTNER AT XO. IT IS E
...USE AI CAPEX? RASHMI: FOR US, FIRST OF ALL, WE WERE NOT INVOLVED WITH THE SPACEX IPO. IT HAS BEEN A BUMPY IPO. THE REASON WE WERE NOT INVOLVED WAS BECAUSE WE WERE SKEPTICAL ABOUT THE VALUATION OF SPACEX. SPACEX HAS THREE BUSINESSES. WE LIKE THE STARLINK AND SPACE LAUNCHING BUSINESS BUT IT WAS THE AI BUSINESS WE WERE SKEPTICAL ABOUT. IT IS BECAUSE AI IS A CAPITAL-INTENSIVE BUSINESS. IT IS VERY CAPITAL-INTENSIVE, AND THEY NEED TO KEEP ON CURRENT CAPEX IN ORDER TO COMPETE BECAUSE IT IS A VERY CO
...ARTER, WITHIN THE 5% LIMIT. THAT ALLOWED THE FUND TO FULLY SATISFY DEMAND AND IT MAKES OAKTREE THE FIRST FIRM TO STEM A GROWING EXODUS FROM THE INDUSTRY THAT HAS BEEN ROCKED BY CONCERNS ABOUT LOAN QUALITY AND EXPOSURE TO AI DISRUPTION. ELSEWHERE, SPACEX SHARES DECLINED FOR THE FIRST TIME SINCE ITS RECORD IPO, SHEDDING 5% AT THE END OF A VOLATILE SESSION THAT SAW THE STOCK AGAIN 6% BEFORE REVERSING. THE SHARES REMAIN MORE THAN 42% ABOVE THE IPO PRICE WITH A LOW FLOAT AMPLIFYING THE IMPACT OF R
...l markets. Chapters: 00:00:00 - Bloomberg: The Asia Trade begins 00:00:21 - Warsh-led Fed veers towards rate hike 00:10:54 - Breaking: Trump says he's signed Iran deal 00:13:26 - University of Michigan's Betsey Stevenson on Fed outlook 00:22:57 - SpaceX falls for first time since debut 00:26:20 - Asia strategists eye Yen intervention 00:29:52 - US-Iran deal takes effect, focus turns to Strait of Hormuz 00:33:25 - Japanese defense minister Shinjiro Koizumi on China's military data 00:39:50 - O
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