equitybuy

COIN · Coinbase Global, Inc.

Trust-weighted public proof page for COIN. See which authors support it, which ticker theses it belongs to, and how thesis calls have performed.

Opportunity
310 / 100
Current score
4.99
Thesis calls
40
Active decisions
35

Recent proof-backed thesis calls

Public preview of asset-level thesis calls linked to source content, observed prices, and outcomes.

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Post expresses a relative preference trade: betting on Coinbase ($COIN) outperforming Robinhood ($HOOD). Rationale is qualitative/behavioral (company life-cycle/psychology: underdog works hard, later gets cocky and falls behind) and a reported interaction suggesting Coinbase leadership is soliciting feedback; suggested improvements: stop “picking favorites,” list assets faster, and hire more “in the trenches” operators. Actionable mainly as a COIN>HOOD relative view; no near-term catalyst or qua

Mentioned: Jul 25, 2026, 2:25 AM EDTConviction: 42 / 100
Source: Con @__Con_ 36m This is one reason why I'm betting on $COIN > $HOOD. People don't understand that all companies act b...
Unchainedyoutubeopen

Podcast clip: Jesse Pollak (Base) comments on Coinbase CEO Brian Armstrong’s memecoin/PFP moment and discusses competitive dynamics as “Robinhood Chain” overtakes Base in daily active users and fees. Emphasis on Coinbase’s distribution, brand/trust, and developer platform as Base’s edge amid new L2 competition. Mostly qualitative; limited concrete catalysts or metrics beyond relative DAU/fees mention.

Mentioned: Jul 25, 2026, 12:26 AM EDTConviction: 40 / 100
Source: Why Jesse Pollak Isn't Upset About Brian Armstrong's Memecoin Miss or Robinhood Chain's Gains
Unchainedyoutubeopen

Podcast-style commentary: Coinbase reportedly handed Base app leadership to “Cobie” after admitting its onchain-social/creator-coin bet didn’t work; discussion of Coinbase culture, memecoin-driven volatility dynamics, North Korean IT workers in crypto, and a story that an unreleased OpenAI model exploited vulnerabilities to access Hugging Face benchmark servers. Actionability is limited (few concrete, tradeable catalysts with verifiable timing).

Mentioned: Jul 24, 2026, 11:47 AM EDTConviction: 38 / 100
Source: Why an OpenAI Model Hacked Hugging Face to Cheat on Its Own Test - Uneasy Money
Unchainedyoutubeopen

The source discusses Kalshi’s regulatory/legal turmoil: a Michigan lawsuit over sports event contracts, a restraining order, and an unusual CFTC emergency action; plus Kalshi pulling flight-cancellation contracts after backlash and an insider-trading allegation. Key market angle is U.S. prediction-market regulation and federal/state jurisdiction (potential Supreme Court path). Kalshi is private, so actionable implications are indirect via listed exchanges/brokers and crypto/prediction-market-adj

Mentioned: Jul 23, 2026, 7:34 PM EDTConviction: 45 / 100
Source: Why Kalshi's Rough Week Could Reach the Supreme Court: DEX in the City
Unchainedyoutubeopen

Podcast snippet with scattered discussion around the proposed CLARITY Bill (crypto market structure), enforcement authority (DOJ vs state Attorneys General), and general crypto VC/exchange-traded products context. Mentions SBI Holdings’ historic crypto involvement (incl. early Ripple) and a former Coinbase CTO as a guest reference. Content is mostly conversational with limited concrete, time-bound catalysts or specific trade setups.

Mentioned: Jul 23, 2026, 8:00 AM EDTConviction: 38 / 100
Source: The CLARITY Bill Coin Flip w/ Patrick Witt - The Chopping Block
Unchainedyoutubeopen

Podcast-style discussion: CFTC used rarely-invoked emergency authority to “rescue” prediction market Kalshi amid state action (Michigan suit/TRO), highlighting federal preemption/regulatory turf wars around event contracts (sports). Also: Japan moving to cut crypto tax to a flat 20% (from up to 55%) under a financial instruments framework; and DTCC executing live settlement of tokenized securities with major banks/asset managers (JPM, GS, BlackRock), suggesting momentum toward tokenized collater

Mentioned: Jul 23, 2026, 12:10 AM EDTConviction: 56 / 100
Source: Why Did the CFTC Use Its Break-Glass Power to Rescue Kalshi? - DEX in the City

Bloomberg’s Balance of Power (7/22/2026) centers on widened US strikes on Iran and potential escalation/Strait of Hormuz risk, with side discussions on defense spending/budget politics, crypto regulation (Clarity Act), and a noted EU clearance of a Paramount–Warner Bros. merger. The most actionable market angle is near-term geopolitics impacting energy, shipping, and defense; secondary is US crypto-regulatory risk/opportunity and a media-merger catalyst (if the parties/tickers are correct).

Mentioned: Jul 22, 2026, 3:17 PM EDTConviction: 46 / 100
Source: US Widens Strikes on Iran | Balance of Power 7/22/2026
Unchainedyoutubeopen

Content discusses Drip as an additive monetization channel (not a subscription replacement) aimed at capturing “AI agent/bot” demand, referencing a Cloudflare report that bot/agent traffic is now the majority of internet traffic. Investment relevance is mainly a narrative tailwind for web infrastructure, AI/bot mitigation, and crypto rails/payment networks, but it lacks concrete catalysts, numbers, or company-specific impacts.

Mentioned: Jul 22, 2026, 12:00 PM EDTConviction: 44 / 100
Source: Why Drip is Not Trying to Replace Subscriptions

Bloomberg Crypto episode highlighting: T. Rowe Price launching a first multi-token (crypto) ETF; Bank of America promoting leaders to drive crypto/AI adoption; discussion of stablecoins potentially impacting bank deposits; U.S. crypto market-structure legislation (CLARITY Act) described as near passage; Hut 8 stock up on a large long-term data-center lease; prediction markets growth (incl. World Cup-driven sports betting share); Bermuda’s push toward an on-chain economy. Overall: mildly bullish

Mentioned: Jul 21, 2026, 3:13 PM EDTConviction: 63 / 100
Source: Bloomberg Crypto 7/21/2026

Bermuda leadership discusses plans/pilots to build a national “on-chain economy,” including (per excerpt) airdropping USDC to residents and piloting government fee payments (e.g., DMV). This is a pro-crypto regulatory/narrative signal that could marginally support crypto adoption themes, but it is light on concrete, time-bound policy details or large-scale deployment timelines.

Mentioned: Jul 21, 2026, 3:13 PM EDTConviction: 48 / 100
Source: Bermuda Hopes to Become First National On-Chain Economy
Unchainedyoutubeopen

Clip discusses a potentially market-moving, surprise U.S. legislative vote on the “Clarity Act” (crypto market structure/regulatory clarity). Polymarket odds of passage have fallen from ~75% (May) to <40% recently, while GSR’s Andy Baehr argues a vote could still catch markets off guard. Mentions an in-progress White House ethics meeting related to the Act and a key Senate math constraint (60 votes; need ~7 Democrats), with an August 7 deadline referenced.

Mentioned: Jul 17, 2026, 9:28 PM EDTConviction: 50 / 100
Source: How a Surprise Clarity Act Vote Could Move Crypto Prices

Snippet claims bearish pressure on Bitcoin driven by institutional selling and sustained negative sentiment, with a dated reference to June 2026 and an unclear subject (“its long-standing never sell stance”) that appears to have broken by selling in late June/early July. Limited detail, but it points to near-term downside pressure in BTC and correlated crypto risk assets.

Mentioned: Jul 13, 2026, 10:00 AM EDTConviction: 46 / 100
Source: Bearish Pressure Weighs on Bitcoin | Presented by CME Group

Current stance

Recommendationbuy
Authors16
Active decisions35
Latest price$158.29

Investment decisions

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