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US-Iran Interim Deal Takes Effect | The Pulse 06/18/2026

An interim US–Iran agreement signed at Versailles has taken effect, reopening the Strait of Hormuz and putting downward pressure on oil prices. Markets reacted positively while the new Fed chair signaled a tougher stance on inflation and potential rate hikes later this year. EU leaders meet in Brussels to address Russia, China trade talks and other geopolitical risks.

Confidence
60 / 100
Assets
2
Authors
1
Outcome
open

Linked assets

This thesis references two tickers (EU, EFG) covering market and regional exposures affected by the US–Iran interim deal, oil price moves and macro policy shifts led by the Fed.

EUsellopen
Confidence: 60 / 100Start: $1.65Latest: $1.29Return: 21.82%

US-Iran Interim Deal Takes Effect | The Pulse 06/18/2026 US-Iran Interim Deal Takes Effect | The Pulse 06/18/2026 President Trump signed an interim deal to end the war with Iran and reopen the Strait of Hormuz, speeding up the timeline for the agreement to go into effect despite blowback from Republicans who said it amounted to a victory for Tehran. The Fed left interest rates unchanged, but signaled growing support for a rate hike this year. Chairman Kevin Warsh put his stamp on the US central bank with a bevy of changes, including a policy statement less than half the usual length. He also declined to contribute to the so-called “dot plot,” and said he’s appointing task forces to look at central bank functions. EU leaders are gathering in Brussels for a two-day summit. High on the agenda is Russia's invasion of Ukraine. Leaders are also expected to discuss how to handle upcoming trade talks with Beijing and explore possible responses — including new trade tools. Today's guests: Philippe Botteri, Accel Partner; Alexandra Dublanche, Choose Paris Region President; Stephan Mayer, Trumpf CEO for Machine Tools; Andris Kulbergs, Latvian Prime Minister; Giorgio Pradelli, EFG International CEO --- "The Pulse With Francine Lacqua" is all about conversations with high profile guests in the beating heart of global business, economics, finance and politics. Based in London, we go wherever the story is, bringing you exclusive interviews and market-moving scoops. Chapters: 00:00:00 - The Pulse with Francine Lacqua 00:02:09 - US-Iran deal takes effect 00:04:44 - Warsh-led Fed pledges closer to rate hikes 00:08:30 - Philippe Botteri, Accel Partner 00:17:42 - Alexandra Dublanche, Choose Paris Region President 00:26:03 - Stephan Mayer, Trumpf CEO for Machine Tools 00:35:25 - Andris Kulbergs, Latvian Prime Minister 00:44:01 - Giorgio Pradelli, EFG International CEO -------- More on Bloomberg Television and Markets Like this video? Subscribe and turn on notifications so you don't miss any videos from Bloomberg Markets & Finance: https://tinyurl.com/ysu5b8a9 Visit http://www.bloomberg.com for business news & analysis, up-to-the-minute market data, features, profiles and more. Connect with Bloomberg Television on: X: https://twitter.com/BloombergTV Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/BloombergTelevision Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/bloombergtv/ Connect with Bloomberg Business on: X: https://twitter.com/business Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/bloombergbusiness Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/bloombergbusiness/ TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@bloombergbusiness?lang=en Reddit: https://www.reddit.com/r/bloomberg/ LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/bloomberg-news/ More from Bloomberg: Bloomberg Radio: https://twitter.com/BloombergRadio Bloomberg Surveillance: https://twitter.com/bsurveillance Bloomberg Politics: https://twitter.com/bpolitics Bloomberg Originals: https://twitter.com/bbgoriginals Watch more on YouTube: Bloomberg Technology: https://www.youtube.com/@BloombergTechnology Bloomberg Originals: https://www.youtube.com/@business Bloomberg Quicktake: https://www.youtube.com/@BloombergQuicktake Bloomberg Espanol: https://www.youtube.com/@bloomberg_espanol Bloomberg Podcasts: https://www.youtube.com/@BloombergPodcasts >> NEWSMAKERS AND MARKET MOVERS. THIS IS THE PULSE WITH FRANCINE LACQUA. FRANCINE: I AM HERE AT THE VIVA TECH CONFERENCE IN PARIS AND THESE ARE OUR TOP STORIES. A DEAL TO END THE WAR AND IN THE MIDDLE EAST TAKES EFFECT AFTER A SURPRISE SIGNING AT THE PALACE OF VERSAILLES. TRADERS RAISED BEDS THE FED WILL HIKE INTEREST RATES AS THE NEW CHAIRMAN MAKES CLEAR HIGH INFLATION WILL NOT BE TOLERATED. PLUS, EU LEADERS MEET IN BRUSSELS AS THEIR ATTENTION TURNS TO UKRAINE AND BRINGING PRESIDENT PUTIN TO THE NEGOTIATING TABLE. HAPPY THURSDAY. WE ARE EXPECTING A COUPLE HEADS OF STATE TO SHOW UP HERE. PRESIDENT MACRON THIS AFTERNOON AND PRIME MINISTER MODI OF INDIA. U.S. STOCKS STAGING A BIT OF A REBOUND AFTER THE SURPRISE SIGNING IN VERSAILLES, THE PRELIMINARY DEAL TO END THE WAR IN THE MIDDLE EAST SENDING BRENT CRUDE TO ITS LOWEST LEVEL SINCE THE ONSET OF THE CONFLICT. S&P FUTURES GAINING ALMOST 1%. THE EURO-DOLLAR 11512. BRENT BELOW 78. A COUPLE OTHER THINGS WE ARE WATCHING IN EUROPE. LET'S GET THE EUROPEAN MARKETS MAP OUT. OPTIMISM THE U.S. AND IRAN DEAL MAY -- MIGHT EVEN GEOPOLITICAL TENSION, FILTERING THROUGH SOME OF THE COMPANIES -- COUNTRIES IN EUROPE, THE DAX AND THE CAC 40 GAINING. FRENCH PRESIDENT EMMANUEL MACRON IS DUE TO SPEAK A LITTLE LATER. HE COMES FRESH FROM POSTING WHAT HAS BEEN SEEN AS A SUCCESSFUL G7 SUMMIT IS THAT CULMINATED IN WRITING OF THE INTERIM DEAL BETWEEN THE U.S. AND IRAN AT VERSAILLES LAST NIGHT. THE INTERIM DEAL IS IN EFFECT, SOMETHING WE NEED TO WATCH OUT FOR. IRAN HAS BEEN WEIGHING ON THE MARKET FOR SOME TIME. IT HAS BEEN THE ONE THING PEOPLE HAVE BEEN WORRIED ABOUT. THE U.S. PRESIDENT DEFENDED THE ANALYSIS BY BLOOMBERG FINDS IT LEANS HEAVILY IN IRAN'S FAVOR. LET'S GET MORE FROM AN ANALYST AT BLOOMBERG ECONOMICS. WHAT DOES IRAN GAIN FROM THE INTERIM DEAL? TINA: BY OUR COUNTS, THERE ARE 14 POINTS AND 10 ARE VERY MUCH LEANING IN IRAN'S FAVOR. WE HAVE TO HIGHLIGHT THAT THE DEAL IS, AS YOU SAID, AND INTERIM DEAL. IT STILL DEPENDS ON NEGOTIATIONS AND A FINAL DEAL. IRAN GETS A LOT OF NEW THINGS AS A RESULT OF IT. IT OBTAINS, AFTER 60 DAYS, A RECOGNITION THAT PEOPLE WILL HAVE TO COORDINATE WITH IT, AT LEAST, TO GO THROUGH THE STRAIT OF HORMUZ. IT GETS SANCTIONS RELEASED, THOUGH A CHUNK OF THAT WILL DEPEND ON A FINAL DEAL. IT DOESN'T LOOK QUITE POSITIVE FOR IRAN. >> WHAT IMPACT WILL THIS HAVE ON THE REGION AND BEYOND? DINA: THE BIG ISSUE IS, IS THIS GOING TO STICK? IS THIS GOING TO LAST? IT IS WELCOME NEWS THAT THEY HAVE SIGNED THE INTERIM DEAL. THEY HAVE GIVEN THEN FELL 60 DAYS TO NEGOTIATE TO HASH OUT THE REMAINING ISSUES AND GET A FINAL PEACE DEAL. IF WE GET TO THAT STAGE, IT'S GOOD NEWS. OF COURSE IT WILL BE WELCOMED BY EVERYBODY BECAUSE IT WILL ALLEVIATE SOME OF THE STRESS MARKETS HAVE BEEN UNDER. IT WILL PUSH THE PRICE OF OIL LOWER. IT WILL HAVE A POSITIVE IMPACT BECAUSE THERE WON'T BE WAR IN THE MIDDLE EAST. THE 2015 NUCLEAR DEAL NEGOTIATION TOOK DECADES AND THEY HAVE ONLY GIVEN THEMSELVES SIX DAYS TO HASH OUT VERY TECHNICAL ISSUES. IT'S REALLY A BIG IF. IF WE DON'T GET TO THE FINAL DEAL, WE WILL HAVE THE SAME LEVEL OF INSTABILITY, UNCERTAINTY, BACK-AND-FORTH, SKIRMISHERS WE HAVE HAD OVER THE COURSE OF THE LAST FEW WEEKS SINCE THE FIRST CEASE-FIRE WAS SIGNED. FRANCINE: THE FED HAS HELD RATES IN KEVIN WARSH 'S FIRST MEETING IN CHARGE. DOT PLOT PROJECTIONS SHOW NINE OFFICIALS ARE FORCING AT LEAST ONE HIKE THIS YEAR. MARKETS ARE PRETTY MUCH FULLY PRICING IN A HIKE BY OCTOBER. >> AT ANY INSTITUTION A CHANGE IN LEADERSHIP IS A NATURAL, TIMELY OPPORTUNITY TO AFFIRM ITS MISSION, REVIEW CURRENT PRACTICES, AND CONSIDER WHETHER THOSE PRACTICES BEST MEET OUR I AM APPOINTING A TASK FORCE IN EACH OF FIVE AREAS ESSENTIAL TO THE BROAD CONDUCT OF MONETARY POLICY. WE REALIZE INFLATION HAS BEEN RUNNING WELL AHEAD OF THE FED'S LONG STATED INFLATION GOAL OF 2%. THAT HAS BEEN GOING ON MORE THAN FIVE YEARS. WE DROPPED FORWARD GUIDANCE. THIS COMMITTEE WILL DELIVER PRICE STABILITY. FRANCINE: KEVIN WARSH MADE IT REALLY CLEAR THE FED WON'T TOLERATE HIGH INFLATION. IT IS A RIGHT HIKE NOW INEVITABLE? ALISTAIR: IT MAY BE. HE DID NOT COMMIT TO RAISING RATES. HE DID COMMIT TO DELIVERING PRICE STABILITY. IF THE IRAN/U.S. STEEL HOLDS AND ENERGY PRICES DECLINED AND INFLATION NUMBERS COME IN ON THE COOLER SIDE, IT MIGHT BE WHEN THEY GET TO THEIR NEXT MEETING IN JULY THAT THE COMMITTEE MIGHT ASSESS THEY HAVE SUFFICIENT RESTRAINT IN THEIR POLICY. BUT IF THEY DON'T, AND IF THE DATA DOES NOT COME IN ON THEIR SIDE, THEN CHAIR WARSH WILL HAVE TO CONSIDER RAISING RATES TO SAVE HIS OWN CREDIBILITY AS THE NEW FED CHAIR. FRANCINE: IT DID WE GET A SENSE OF THE REGIME CHANGE KEVIN WARSH HAD PROMISED FOR THE FED? AN ALISTER: MAY BE. HE ANNOUNCED A FIVE TASK FORCES TO LOOK AT PRETTY MUCH EVERYTHING THE FED DOES AROUND MONETARY POLICY. IT GIVES HIM PLENTY OF TIME TO BUILD CONSENSUS AROUND THE REFORM AGENDA YOU WOULD LIKE TO DELIVER. AND HERE VIEWS FROM BOTH INSIDE AND OUTSIDE THE INSTITUTION.

EFGsellopen
Confidence: 60 / 100Start: $125.10Latest: $123.63Return: 1.18%

US-Iran Interim Deal Takes Effect | The Pulse 06/18/2026 US-Iran Interim Deal Takes Effect | The Pulse 06/18/2026 President Trump signed an interim deal to end the war with Iran and reopen the Strait of Hormuz, speeding up the timeline for the agreement to go into effect despite blowback from Republicans who said it amounted to a victory for Tehran. The Fed left interest rates unchanged, but signaled growing support for a rate hike this year. Chairman Kevin Warsh put his stamp on the US central bank with a bevy of changes, including a policy statement less than half the usual length. He also declined to contribute to the so-called “dot plot,” and said he’s appointing task forces to look at central bank functions. EU leaders are gathering in Brussels for a two-day summit. High on the agenda is Russia's invasion of Ukraine. Leaders are also expected to discuss how to handle upcoming trade talks with Beijing and explore possible responses — including new trade tools. Today's guests: Philippe Botteri, Accel Partner; Alexandra Dublanche, Choose Paris Region President; Stephan Mayer, Trumpf CEO for Machine Tools; Andris Kulbergs, Latvian Prime Minister; Giorgio Pradelli, EFG International CEO --- "The Pulse With Francine Lacqua" is all about conversations with high profile guests in the beating heart of global business, economics, finance and politics. Based in London, we go wherever the story is, bringing you exclusive interviews and market-moving scoops. Chapters: 00:00:00 - The Pulse with Francine Lacqua 00:02:09 - US-Iran deal takes effect 00:04:44 - Warsh-led Fed pledges closer to rate hikes 00:08:30 - Philippe Botteri, Accel Partner 00:17:42 - Alexandra Dublanche, Choose Paris Region President 00:26:03 - Stephan Mayer, Trumpf CEO for Machine Tools 00:35:25 - Andris Kulbergs, Latvian Prime Minister 00:44:01 - Giorgio Pradelli, EFG International CEO -------- More on Bloomberg Television and Markets Like this video? Subscribe and turn on notifications so you don't miss any videos from Bloomberg Markets & Finance: https://tinyurl.com/ysu5b8a9 Visit http://www.bloomberg.com for business news & analysis, up-to-the-minute market data, features, profiles and more. Connect with Bloomberg Television on: X: https://twitter.com/BloombergTV Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/BloombergTelevision Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/bloombergtv/ Connect with Bloomberg Business on: X: https://twitter.com/business Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/bloombergbusiness Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/bloombergbusiness/ TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@bloombergbusiness?lang=en Reddit: https://www.reddit.com/r/bloomberg/ LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/bloomberg-news/ More from Bloomberg: Bloomberg Radio: https://twitter.com/BloombergRadio Bloomberg Surveillance: https://twitter.com/bsurveillance Bloomberg Politics: https://twitter.com/bpolitics Bloomberg Originals: https://twitter.com/bbgoriginals Watch more on YouTube: Bloomberg Technology: https://www.youtube.com/@BloombergTechnology Bloomberg Originals: https://www.youtube.com/@business Bloomberg Quicktake: https://www.youtube.com/@BloombergQuicktake Bloomberg Espanol: https://www.youtube.com/@bloomberg_espanol Bloomberg Podcasts: https://www.youtube.com/@BloombergPodcasts >> NEWSMAKERS AND MARKET MOVERS. THIS IS THE PULSE WITH FRANCINE LACQUA. FRANCINE: I AM HERE AT THE VIVA TECH CONFERENCE IN PARIS AND THESE ARE OUR TOP STORIES. A DEAL TO END THE WAR AND IN THE MIDDLE EAST TAKES EFFECT AFTER A SURPRISE SIGNING AT THE PALACE OF VERSAILLES. TRADERS RAISED BEDS THE FED WILL HIKE INTEREST RATES AS THE NEW CHAIRMAN MAKES CLEAR HIGH INFLATION WILL NOT BE TOLERATED. PLUS, EU LEADERS MEET IN BRUSSELS AS THEIR ATTENTION TURNS TO UKRAINE AND BRINGING PRESIDENT PUTIN TO THE NEGOTIATING TABLE. HAPPY THURSDAY. WE ARE EXPECTING A COUPLE HEADS OF STATE TO SHOW UP HERE. PRESIDENT MACRON THIS AFTERNOON AND PRIME MINISTER MODI OF INDIA. U.S. STOCKS STAGING A BIT OF A REBOUND AFTER THE SURPRISE SIGNING IN VERSAILLES, THE PRELIMINARY DEAL TO END THE WAR IN THE MIDDLE EAST SENDING BRENT CRUDE TO ITS LOWEST LEVEL SINCE THE ONSET OF THE CONFLICT. S&P FUTURES GAINING ALMOST 1%. THE EURO-DOLLAR 11512. BRENT BELOW 78. A COUPLE OTHER THINGS WE ARE WATCHING IN EUROPE. LET'S GET THE EUROPEAN MARKETS MAP OUT. OPTIMISM THE U.S. AND IRAN DEAL MAY -- MIGHT EVEN GEOPOLITICAL TENSION, FILTERING THROUGH SOME OF THE COMPANIES -- COUNTRIES IN EUROPE, THE DAX AND THE CAC 40 GAINING. FRENCH PRESIDENT EMMANUEL MACRON IS DUE TO SPEAK A LITTLE LATER. HE COMES FRESH FROM POSTING WHAT HAS BEEN SEEN AS A SUCCESSFUL G7 SUMMIT IS THAT CULMINATED IN WRITING OF THE INTERIM DEAL BETWEEN THE U.S. AND IRAN AT VERSAILLES LAST NIGHT. THE INTERIM DEAL IS IN EFFECT, SOMETHING WE NEED TO WATCH OUT FOR. IRAN HAS BEEN WEIGHING ON THE MARKET FOR SOME TIME. IT HAS BEEN THE ONE THING PEOPLE HAVE BEEN WORRIED ABOUT. THE U.S. PRESIDENT DEFENDED THE ANALYSIS BY BLOOMBERG FINDS IT LEANS HEAVILY IN IRAN'S FAVOR. LET'S GET MORE FROM AN ANALYST AT BLOOMBERG ECONOMICS. WHAT DOES IRAN GAIN FROM THE INTERIM DEAL? TINA: BY OUR COUNTS, THERE ARE 14 POINTS AND 10 ARE VERY MUCH LEANING IN IRAN'S FAVOR. WE HAVE TO HIGHLIGHT THAT THE DEAL IS, AS YOU SAID, AND INTERIM DEAL. IT STILL DEPENDS ON NEGOTIATIONS AND A FINAL DEAL. IRAN GETS A LOT OF NEW THINGS AS A RESULT OF IT. IT OBTAINS, AFTER 60 DAYS, A RECOGNITION THAT PEOPLE WILL HAVE TO COORDINATE WITH IT, AT LEAST, TO GO THROUGH THE STRAIT OF HORMUZ. IT GETS SANCTIONS RELEASED, THOUGH A CHUNK OF THAT WILL DEPEND ON A FINAL DEAL. IT DOESN'T LOOK QUITE POSITIVE FOR IRAN. >> WHAT IMPACT WILL THIS HAVE ON THE REGION AND BEYOND? DINA: THE BIG ISSUE IS, IS THIS GOING TO STICK? IS THIS GOING TO LAST? IT IS WELCOME NEWS THAT THEY HAVE SIGNED THE INTERIM DEAL. THEY HAVE GIVEN THEN FELL 60 DAYS TO NEGOTIATE TO HASH OUT THE REMAINING ISSUES AND GET A FINAL PEACE DEAL. IF WE GET TO THAT STAGE, IT'S GOOD NEWS. OF COURSE IT WILL BE WELCOMED BY EVERYBODY BECAUSE IT WILL ALLEVIATE SOME OF THE STRESS MARKETS HAVE BEEN UNDER. IT WILL PUSH THE PRICE OF OIL LOWER. IT WILL HAVE A POSITIVE IMPACT BECAUSE THERE WON'T BE WAR IN THE MIDDLE EAST. THE 2015 NUCLEAR DEAL NEGOTIATION TOOK DECADES AND THEY HAVE ONLY GIVEN THEMSELVES SIX DAYS TO HASH OUT VERY TECHNICAL ISSUES. IT'S REALLY A BIG IF. IF WE DON'T GET TO THE FINAL DEAL, WE WILL HAVE THE SAME LEVEL OF INSTABILITY, UNCERTAINTY, BACK-AND-FORTH, SKIRMISHERS WE HAVE HAD OVER THE COURSE OF THE LAST FEW WEEKS SINCE THE FIRST CEASE-FIRE WAS SIGNED. FRANCINE: THE FED HAS HELD RATES IN KEVIN WARSH 'S FIRST MEETING IN CHARGE. DOT PLOT PROJECTIONS SHOW NINE OFFICIALS ARE FORCING AT LEAST ONE HIKE THIS YEAR. MARKETS ARE PRETTY MUCH FULLY PRICING IN A HIKE BY OCTOBER. >> AT ANY INSTITUTION A CHANGE IN LEADERSHIP IS A NATURAL, TIMELY OPPORTUNITY TO AFFIRM ITS MISSION, REVIEW CURRENT PRACTICES, AND CONSIDER WHETHER THOSE PRACTICES BEST MEET OUR I AM APPOINTING A TASK FORCE IN EACH OF FIVE AREAS ESSENTIAL TO THE BROAD CONDUCT OF MONETARY POLICY. WE REALIZE INFLATION HAS BEEN RUNNING WELL AHEAD OF THE FED'S LONG STATED INFLATION GOAL OF 2%. THAT HAS BEEN GOING ON MORE THAN FIVE YEARS. WE DROPPED FORWARD GUIDANCE. THIS COMMITTEE WILL DELIVER PRICE STABILITY. FRANCINE: KEVIN WARSH MADE IT REALLY CLEAR THE FED WON'T TOLERATE HIGH INFLATION. IT IS A RIGHT HIKE NOW INEVITABLE? ALISTAIR: IT MAY BE. HE DID NOT COMMIT TO RAISING RATES. HE DID COMMIT TO DELIVERING PRICE STABILITY. IF THE IRAN/U.S. STEEL HOLDS AND ENERGY PRICES DECLINED AND INFLATION NUMBERS COME IN ON THE COOLER SIDE, IT MIGHT BE WHEN THEY GET TO THEIR NEXT MEETING IN JULY THAT THE COMMITTEE MIGHT ASSESS THEY HAVE SUFFICIENT RESTRAINT IN THEIR POLICY. BUT IF THEY DON'T, AND IF THE DATA DOES NOT COME IN ON THEIR SIDE, THEN CHAIR WARSH WILL HAVE TO CONSIDER RAISING RATES TO SAVE HIS OWN CREDIBILITY AS THE NEW FED CHAIR. FRANCINE: IT DID WE GET A SENSE OF THE REGIME CHANGE KEVIN WARSH HAD PROMISED FOR THE FED? AN ALISTER: MAY BE. HE ANNOUNCED A FIVE TASK FORCES TO LOOK AT PRETTY MUCH EVERYTHING THE FED DOES AROUND MONETARY POLICY. IT GIVES HIM PLENTY OF TIME TO BUILD CONSENSUS AROUND THE REFORM AGENDA YOU WOULD LIKE TO DELIVER. AND HERE VIEWS FROM BOTH INSIDE AND OUTSIDE THE INSTITUTION.

Source proof

Source proof: Strong source proof | 2 extracted claims | 2 directional assets | 1 supporting author | headline-like title review

Primary coverage is from Bloomberg programming on 18 June 2026 (The Pulse with Francine Lacqua; Balance of Power), documenting the Versailles signing, market reactions (Brent crude decline, S&P futures gains), and Fed developments under Chair Kevin Warsh.

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Supporting authors

Content compiled from Bloomberg broadcasts and reporting; single-author metadata indicates one contributing author for the summary bundle.

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US-Iran Interim Deal Takes Effect | The Pulse 06/18/2026 | AI Frontrunner