Serenity @aleabitoreddit Oct 22, 2025 Added $200k worth of $NBIS leaps at $98.8, December $105 2026 strike. Nebius dr...
Active long-vol dip-buy in Nebius ($NBIS). Poster reports adding $200k of Dec 2026 $105 call LEAPS at $98.8 following a steep drawdown, characterizing the selloff as a buying opportunity based on sector and company conviction.
Linked assets
Primary ticker: $NBIS (Nebius Group N.V.) — a full-stack infrastructure provider for AI compute across the Netherlands, Europe, North America, and Israel. Thesis expresses concentrated bullish exposure via long-dated calls.
Nebius Group N.V., a technology company, engages in building full-stack infrastructure to service the global AI industry in the Netherlands, Europe, North America, and Israel.
Explicit position add: “Added $200k worth of $NBIS leaps at $98.8, December $105 2026 strike… this is a gift.”
Source proof
Source proof: Strong source proof | 4 extracted claims | 1 directional asset | 1 supporting author | headline-like title review
The disclosure originates from a single author (Serenity @aleabitoreddit) and explicitly states an options position add: “Added $200k worth of $NBIS leaps at $98.8, December $105 2026 strike.” The posts frame a larger sector drawdown (high-beta AI infrastructure/compute names down ~30–45% in a month; >10% intraday) and present the selloff as a ‘gift’ to accumulate, but they provide no new fundamental data or event-timing catalysts beyond conviction and partner/deal references.
Post reacts to FT report that $GOOGL Waymo may explore a split with $UBER. Author argues Uber partnering with Waymo was a bad choice because Uber becomes a distribution funnel that benefits Google as Waymo scales; expects Uber would not partner with Waymo in all cities and suggests Uber would prefer partnering with another FSD-4 player like $NBIS “Avride” that Uber partially owns and that doesn’t have a standalone competitor app.
Post highlights Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang joining X to share a letter arguing “open models matter,” with claims that AI will transform every industry and that open models improve safety/cybersecurity, accelerate innovation/diffusion, and enable national “sovereignty.” This is primarily narrative/positioning; no concrete earnings/product/supply-chain catalyst is stated.
Post discusses co-packaged optics (CPO) vs pluggable optics timeline. Says $AAOI is working on CPO but is "further behind in commercialization". Cites a podcast featuring the $SIVE CEO; key takeaway quoted: "Pluggables will be around for the next 10" (interpretable as ~10 years), implying slower CPO displacement and reduced near-term disruption for pluggable-focused vendors.
Post cites informal channel checks that AMD’s Helios scale-up networking roadmap may adopt co-packaged optics (CPO) in future generations, and that broader hyperscaler/industry adoption of CPO is expected. This is a forward-looking packaging/interconnect thesis that could be bullish for AMD’s AI networking competitiveness and for public optics/photonics suppliers, but lacks specifics (names, timing, sourcing), reducing near-term tradability.
Social post thanking a Belgian newspaper (De Tijd) for covering the author’s supply chain thesis in CPO (co-packaged optics) + photonics, and mentioning tickers AAOI, XFAB, and MRVL. No new fundamental datapoints or catalyst details provided beyond media coverage/awareness.
User complains about spam/bots on X and hopes the platform improves moderation. No concrete market-moving info or catalysts provided.
Post argues HPS.A (Hammond Power Solutions) is nearing a 2-month technical timeframe level and remains a compelling “compounder” due to strong transformer-demand visibility, solid backlog, and high market share in dry-type transformers. Mentions “Transformers in the Sky” up 83.3% (unclear reference/benchmark).
Analysis reset: X provider unavailable during stale source-analysis outage; event preserved without source analysis.
Supporting authors
All relevant commentary and position disclosures come from Serenity (@aleabitoreddit). Multiple posts from the same author restate conviction in $NBIS, reference a thematic 'Neocloud' thesis, cite claimed partner deals, and describe portfolio consolidation into $NBIS from other names.
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Consider this an expression of a high-conviction, narrative-driven long via long-dated call LEAPS. Validate fundamentals, partner/contract claims, and your risk tolerance before following—long-dated calls concentrate upside but can lose premium if the thesis fails or timing extends.