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Saylor's Lesson, Zcash's Crash & AI Coming for Crypto - The Chopping Block

Technical momentum is pressuring NEAR and Bitcoin. A weekend of selling, a Zcash zero-day discovered with Claude Opus 4.8, and accelerating AI-powered attack capability highlight structural security risks for crypto. The play recommends selling given near-term price and momentum risks.

Confidence
60 / 100
Assets
2
Authors
1
Outcome
open

Linked assets

NEAR: High single-day volume during the crash; NEAR Intents (agentic commerce) remains an experimental vision and faces skeptical views. BTC: Michael Saylor's test sale (32 BTC) and STRC dynamics contributed to the price shock; momentum and macro sensitivity raise near-term downside risk.

NEARsellopen
Confidence: 60 / 100Start: $50.53Latest: $50.52Return: 0.02%

Saylor's Lesson, Zcash's Crash & AI Coming for Crypto - The Chopping Block Saylor's Lesson, Zcash's Crash & AI Coming for Crypto - The Chopping Block Mert and Illia autopsy a brutal weekend in crypto: Saylor's $3M test sale that taught him there's no sell button, the Zcash bug Claude found that could've minted unlimited counterfeit ZEC, formal verification as the bulwark against AI attackers, and whether NEAR's agentic commerce vision is real. Show highlights 🔹 Saylor sold 32 BTC for the first time in four years as STRC trades below $100 par -- Mert calls it a distraction from real crypto innovation 🔹 AI security researcher Taylor Hornby used Claude Opus 4.8 to discover an infinite mint bug in Zcash's Orchard ZK circuit -- Zcash dumped 50%+ before recovering 🔹 Emergency soft fork patched the Zcash vulnerability within days; Ironwood migration and formal verification coming mid-July to prove no exploit occurred 🔹 Illia argues AI-powered attackers have permanent asymmetric advantage -- DeFi hacks accelerated since Opus 4 launched in November 🔹 Tom's "boats vs spaceships" analogy: crypto code must move from "roughly airtight" to mathematically sealed or it will be exploited 🔹 Mert on DeFi survival: "Many battles will be lost, but the war will be won -- I'm long math" 🔹 NEAR Protocol hit $240M in single-day trading volume on Friday's bloodbath -- a deflationary day for the NEAR token 🔹 Illia pitches NEAR Intents as "outcome specification" -- agents negotiate, sign contracts, and settle on-chain across borders 🔹 Mert remains skeptical on agents-on-chain but calls NEAR "one of the most underrated teams in crypto" 🔹 Polymarket pricing Zcash exploit probability in single digits; market rebounded 40%+ off lows to mid-$400s Hosts ⭐️Haseeb Qureshi, Managing Partner at Dragonfly ⭐️Tom Schmidt, General Partner at Dragonfly Guest ⭐️ Mert, Co-founder & CEO at Helius ⭐️ Illia Polosukhin, Co-founder of NEAR Protocol Timestamps 00:00 Intro 01:17 Weekend Crypto Meltdown & Bitcoin Crash 02:52 Saylor, STRC & the DAT Death Spiral Fears 11:51 "No Sell Button" — Saylor's Lesson Learned 13:14 Zcash Bug: 50% Crash Explained 20:30 The Fix: Ironwood Pool & Formal Verification 23:11 AI vs Crypto Security: The Attacker Advantage 27:21 What Is Formal Verification? 30:07 Spaceship-Grade Smart Contract Security 31:36 OPSEC, Oracles & Anomaly Detection 36:08 Cypherpunk Dilemma: Stop the Hack or Not? 38:37 Will DeFi Survive? Long Math 42:49 NEAR's AI Agents & Intents Vision 48:43 Is Agentic Commerce Real? Mert's Skepticism _______________________________________________________ #bitcoin #ethereum #crypto #cryptocurrencies ++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++ Subscribe to our channel! Website → https://unchainedcrypto.com Unchained Daily Newsletter (FREE!)→ https://unchainedcrypto.beehiiv.com/subscribe/ Unchained X → https://x.com/unchained_pod Apple → https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/id1123922160?ls=1 Spotify → https://open.spotify.com/show/1cJrrfGY1SKBIRn5noKSAf?si=6SI4qIcRTEO7EhOe0V9n4w RSS Feed → https://feeds.megaphone.fm/LSHML4761942757 Unchained: Your no-hype resource for all things crypto! Naħseb li kienet lezzjoni. Naħseb li s-suq għallmu lezzjoni. Naħseb liinternalizza lezzjoni. Ma tistaxtbigħ. Bejgħ. M'hemm l-ebda buttuna tal-bejgħgħalik. Int tixtri. Inti tixtri biss.Mhux dividend. Hija storja ta' żewġ pjaċiri.Issa t-telf tiegħek jinsab fuq il-karta tal-bilanċ ta' xi ħadd ieħor.Ġeneralment, l-airdrops huma tip ta’bla sens. Xorta waħda, ditti kummerċjali lihuma involuti ħafna.Jogħġobni hekk. Kul l-aħħari.Il-protokolli De huma l-antidotu għal din il-problema.Bongu lil kulħadd. Merħba fil-blokka tat-tqattigħ. Kull ftit ġimgħat l-erbgħa minnaniltaqgħu u nagħtu lill-persuni minn ġewwa l-industrija l-perspettiva dwar is-suġġetti tal-kriptotal-ġurnata. Introduzzjoni rapidal-ewwel nett hija Tom, l-espert tad-DeFi u l-kreatur ewlieni tal-memes.Bongu lil kulħadd.Illum jingħaqad magħna l-pijunier tal-protokoll Iliau l-qaddis patrun f'Near.Ħej. Ħej.Ferħan li narak Ilia. U llum jingħaqad magħnagħandna mistieden ieħor li jirrepeti l-avveniment,Mert, il-mistieden ewlieni f'Helas. Merħba luraMert.[daħk]Smajna li kont xorbt ħames birer. Dak il-ħintibda titkellem bir-Russu?Li dak huwa fil-fatt ġeneralment metajibda. Iva. Li hekkkulħadd jitkellem bir-Russu.Kulħadd qiegħed fir-Russja [daħq].Tajjeb. Sabiħ. Sabiħ. Tajjeb.Ukoll, qed nara r-raġel kap tal-mazzarell.Aħna investituri bikrija fil-kripto,imma rrid ngħid li xejn minn dak li ngħiduhawn mhu parir dwar l-investiment, parir legali,jew saħansitra parir dwar il-ħajja. Jekk jogħġbok ara l-blokki tat-tqattigħf'XYZ għal aktar żvelar. Mela,jekk qed tistaqsu, ir-raġuni għaliexMert kien qed jixrob hija għax kien hemmkollass fis-suq. Kien tmiem il-ġimgħaassolutament tal-ġenn.Rajna ammonti massivi ta' likwidazzjonijietdeħlin. Bitcoin niżel taħt it-58K jewskużani 59K li kien tip ta' kif in-nies ħasbu 60k okaydan huwa bħall-guardrail mentali lijekk Bitcoin jinżel taħt hawn ikun spiċċa kollox. Issa minn meta għadda l-weekend kien hemmħafna stejjer oħra u senitkellmu dwar x'ġara ma' Zack likienet waħda mill-aktar stejjer tumultużiiżda fis-suq ġenerali kien hemmtixrid ta' demm madwar il-bord u minndakinhar jidher li s-suq irkupraallura tafu l-Ġimgħa naħseb li ħafna minn daninbeda kemm mill-kombinazzjoni ta'Sailor li biegħ it-32 bitcoin li kienbejgħ żgħir ħafna kien bħal 3 puntxi miljun ta' bitcoin li biegħ li kienbiżżejjed biex is-suqjidħol f'daqqa u mbagħad danaggrava nhar il-Ġimgħa t-teknoloġija tan-NASA niżletbil-kbir minħabba rapport dwar l-impjiegi uantiċipazzjoni li l-Fed tista' tispiċċatnaqqas din is-sena jew tiskuża ruħha li tgħolli r-ratiminflok ma tnaqqas ir-rati. Allura issajidher li l-ipprezzar tas-suq polivalenti huwa bejn wieħed u ieħor50/50 li l-Fed tispiċċa tgħolli r-ratidin is-sena u jekk ma jgħollux ir-rati huwaimprobabbli ħafna li jnaqqsuhom, aktar probabbli lijispiċċaw iżommu r-rati fissi. Għalhekk mhuxambjent tajjeb għal assi ta' riskju.Jidher li l-AI hija l-unika ħaġa li tista'ssalvana f'dan il-punt iżda s-suq b'modġenerali huwa nervuż ħafna għalkemmissa qed nirkupraw ftit.Il-Bitcoin reġa' tela' 'l fuq minn 62K. Ħafnanies qed isejħu, forsi dan huwal-bidu tat-tmiem. Forsi l-ispirali tal-mewt qed jibdew. Forsi,tafu, il-ħassad tad-DATsfinalment ġejjin għalina u se jkollnanħallsu għal dnubietna kollha. Unaturalment, issa hemm tħassib dejjem jikberdwar Stretch. Diġà tkellimna dwarStretch fil-programm qabel. Stretch huma dawnl-ishma preferenzjali li ħareġ Michael Sailor. U uh Stretch, il-ħaġanotevoli dwarha hija li hijamfassla biex tinnegozja madwar $100. Allura $100,tafu, probabbilment il-limitu massimu ligħandu jinnegozja bih, imma huwa tip ta',tista' taħseb dwaru bħala rabta 'l fuqfejn l-idea hi li sejżid id-dividendi sakemm din il-ħaġatinnegozja għal $100. Din il-ħaġa qed tinnegozjataħt il-$100. Niżel għal madwar95 94. Illum qed jinnegozja x'imkienmadwar 97.98. U r-raġuni għaliex ikun jista'jinnegozja hemm hija jew waħda, in-niesma jemmnux li se jħallas id-dividendi jew tnejn, huma inkwetati liMicro Strategy tista' tfalli. Dawn it-tnejn huma sitwazzjonijiet inkwetanti ħafna. Mert,Ilia, it-tnejn li intom kontu parteċipanti b'modidifferenti fil-manija tad-DAT litafu b'xi mod ħakmet l-industrija matul l-aħħar sentejn.X'taħseb? Huwa dan sinjalli dan huwa l-bidu tat-tmiem?Taħseb li d-DATs se jkunu tajbin?X'inhi l-interpretazzjoni tagħkom tas-suq? Biex inkunċar, qatt ma għamilt DAT.Għalkemm kont jien, ġew offruti ħafnaminnhom, imma kburi li magħamilthomx. Makontx bħal konsulent. Żgur li kontbħal konsulent jew xi ħaġa hekk.Le, le, le, le.Insib litteralment kollox. Iva. Oh, wow. Kont senagħmilha u mbagħad waħda miċ-chats tal-grupp tiegħi kienet bħal, "Ħabib, x'qedtagħmel?" U jien kont qisni, "Tajjeb, tajjeb.Mhux se nagħmilha."Um, [daħk]stenna, għaliex le? Tħareslejn in-nies tad-DAT issa? Taħseb li intsuperjuri għad-DATs?Naħseb li fil-fatt għadhom jagħmlu sens,imma trid tagħmilhom fil-qiegħu mhux fil-quċċata, d

BTCsellopen
Confidence: 60 / 100Start: $27.38Latest: $28.39Return: -3.69%

Saylor's Lesson, Zcash's Crash & AI Coming for Crypto - The Chopping Block Saylor's Lesson, Zcash's Crash & AI Coming for Crypto - The Chopping Block Mert and Illia autopsy a brutal weekend in crypto: Saylor's $3M test sale that taught him there's no sell button, the Zcash bug Claude found that could've minted unlimited counterfeit ZEC, formal verification as the bulwark against AI attackers, and whether NEAR's agentic commerce vision is real. Show highlights 🔹 Saylor sold 32 BTC for the first time in four years as STRC trades below $100 par -- Mert calls it a distraction from real crypto innovation 🔹 AI security researcher Taylor Hornby used Claude Opus 4.8 to discover an infinite mint bug in Zcash's Orchard ZK circuit -- Zcash dumped 50%+ before recovering 🔹 Emergency soft fork patched the Zcash vulnerability within days; Ironwood migration and formal verification coming mid-July to prove no exploit occurred 🔹 Illia argues AI-powered attackers have permanent asymmetric advantage -- DeFi hacks accelerated since Opus 4 launched in November 🔹 Tom's "boats vs spaceships" analogy: crypto code must move from "roughly airtight" to mathematically sealed or it will be exploited 🔹 Mert on DeFi survival: "Many battles will be lost, but the war will be won -- I'm long math" 🔹 NEAR Protocol hit $240M in single-day trading volume on Friday's bloodbath -- a deflationary day for the NEAR token 🔹 Illia pitches NEAR Intents as "outcome specification" -- agents negotiate, sign contracts, and settle on-chain across borders 🔹 Mert remains skeptical on agents-on-chain but calls NEAR "one of the most underrated teams in crypto" 🔹 Polymarket pricing Zcash exploit probability in single digits; market rebounded 40%+ off lows to mid-$400s Hosts ⭐️Haseeb Qureshi, Managing Partner at Dragonfly ⭐️Tom Schmidt, General Partner at Dragonfly Guest ⭐️ Mert, Co-founder & CEO at Helius ⭐️ Illia Polosukhin, Co-founder of NEAR Protocol Timestamps 00:00 Intro 01:17 Weekend Crypto Meltdown & Bitcoin Crash 02:52 Saylor, STRC & the DAT Death Spiral Fears 11:51 "No Sell Button" — Saylor's Lesson Learned 13:14 Zcash Bug: 50% Crash Explained 20:30 The Fix: Ironwood Pool & Formal Verification 23:11 AI vs Crypto Security: The Attacker Advantage 27:21 What Is Formal Verification? 30:07 Spaceship-Grade Smart Contract Security 31:36 OPSEC, Oracles & Anomaly Detection 36:08 Cypherpunk Dilemma: Stop the Hack or Not? 38:37 Will DeFi Survive? Long Math 42:49 NEAR's AI Agents & Intents Vision 48:43 Is Agentic Commerce Real? Mert's Skepticism _______________________________________________________ #bitcoin #ethereum #crypto #cryptocurrencies ++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++ Subscribe to our channel! Website → https://unchainedcrypto.com Unchained Daily Newsletter (FREE!)→ https://unchainedcrypto.beehiiv.com/subscribe/ Unchained X → https://x.com/unchained_pod Apple → https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/id1123922160?ls=1 Spotify → https://open.spotify.com/show/1cJrrfGY1SKBIRn5noKSAf?si=6SI4qIcRTEO7EhOe0V9n4w RSS Feed → https://feeds.megaphone.fm/LSHML4761942757 Unchained: Your no-hype resource for all things crypto! Naħseb li kienet lezzjoni. Naħseb li s-suq għallmu lezzjoni. Naħseb liinternalizza lezzjoni. Ma tistaxtbigħ. Bejgħ. M'hemm l-ebda buttuna tal-bejgħgħalik. Int tixtri. Inti tixtri biss.Mhux dividend. Hija storja ta' żewġ pjaċiri.Issa t-telf tiegħek jinsab fuq il-karta tal-bilanċ ta' xi ħadd ieħor.Ġeneralment, l-airdrops huma tip ta’bla sens. Xorta waħda, ditti kummerċjali lihuma involuti ħafna.Jogħġobni hekk. Kul l-aħħari.Il-protokolli De huma l-antidotu għal din il-problema.Bongu lil kulħadd. Merħba fil-blokka tat-tqattigħ. Kull ftit ġimgħat l-erbgħa minnaniltaqgħu u nagħtu lill-persuni minn ġewwa l-industrija l-perspettiva dwar is-suġġetti tal-kriptotal-ġurnata. Introduzzjoni rapidal-ewwel nett hija Tom, l-espert tad-DeFi u l-kreatur ewlieni tal-memes.Bongu lil kulħadd.Illum jingħaqad magħna l-pijunier tal-protokoll Iliau l-qaddis patrun f'Near.Ħej. Ħej.Ferħan li narak Ilia. U llum jingħaqad magħnagħandna mistieden ieħor li jirrepeti l-avveniment,Mert, il-mistieden ewlieni f'Helas. Merħba luraMert.[daħk]Smajna li kont xorbt ħames birer. Dak il-ħintibda titkellem bir-Russu?Li dak huwa fil-fatt ġeneralment metajibda. Iva. Li hekkkulħadd jitkellem bir-Russu.Kulħadd qiegħed fir-Russja [daħq].Tajjeb. Sabiħ. Sabiħ. Tajjeb.Ukoll, qed nara r-raġel kap tal-mazzarell.Aħna investituri bikrija fil-kripto,imma rrid ngħid li xejn minn dak li ngħiduhawn mhu parir dwar l-investiment, parir legali,jew saħansitra parir dwar il-ħajja. Jekk jogħġbok ara l-blokki tat-tqattigħf'XYZ għal aktar żvelar. Mela,jekk qed tistaqsu, ir-raġuni għaliexMert kien qed jixrob hija għax kien hemmkollass fis-suq. Kien tmiem il-ġimgħaassolutament tal-ġenn.Rajna ammonti massivi ta' likwidazzjonijietdeħlin. Bitcoin niżel taħt it-58K jewskużani 59K li kien tip ta' kif in-nies ħasbu 60k okaydan huwa bħall-guardrail mentali lijekk Bitcoin jinżel taħt hawn ikun spiċċa kollox. Issa minn meta għadda l-weekend kien hemmħafna stejjer oħra u senitkellmu dwar x'ġara ma' Zack likienet waħda mill-aktar stejjer tumultużiiżda fis-suq ġenerali kien hemmtixrid ta' demm madwar il-bord u minndakinhar jidher li s-suq irkupraallura tafu l-Ġimgħa naħseb li ħafna minn daninbeda kemm mill-kombinazzjoni ta'Sailor li biegħ it-32 bitcoin li kienbejgħ żgħir ħafna kien bħal 3 puntxi miljun ta' bitcoin li biegħ li kienbiżżejjed biex is-suqjidħol f'daqqa u mbagħad danaggrava nhar il-Ġimgħa t-teknoloġija tan-NASA niżletbil-kbir minħabba rapport dwar l-impjiegi uantiċipazzjoni li l-Fed tista' tispiċċatnaqqas din is-sena jew tiskuża ruħha li tgħolli r-ratiminflok ma tnaqqas ir-rati. Allura issajidher li l-ipprezzar tas-suq polivalenti huwa bejn wieħed u ieħor50/50 li l-Fed tispiċċa tgħolli r-ratidin is-sena u jekk ma jgħollux ir-rati huwaimprobabbli ħafna li jnaqqsuhom, aktar probabbli lijispiċċaw iżommu r-rati fissi. Għalhekk mhuxambjent tajjeb għal assi ta' riskju.Jidher li l-AI hija l-unika ħaġa li tista'ssalvana f'dan il-punt iżda s-suq b'modġenerali huwa nervuż ħafna għalkemmissa qed nirkupraw ftit.Il-Bitcoin reġa' tela' 'l fuq minn 62K. Ħafnanies qed isejħu, forsi dan huwal-bidu tat-tmiem. Forsi l-ispirali tal-mewt qed jibdew. Forsi,tafu, il-ħassad tad-DATsfinalment ġejjin għalina u se jkollnanħallsu għal dnubietna kollha. Unaturalment, issa hemm tħassib dejjem jikberdwar Stretch. Diġà tkellimna dwarStretch fil-programm qabel. Stretch huma dawnl-ishma preferenzjali li ħareġ Michael Sailor. U uh Stretch, il-ħaġanotevoli dwarha hija li hijamfassla biex tinnegozja madwar $100. Allura $100,tafu, probabbilment il-limitu massimu ligħandu jinnegozja bih, imma huwa tip ta',tista' taħseb dwaru bħala rabta 'l fuqfejn l-idea hi li sejżid id-dividendi sakemm din il-ħaġatinnegozja għal $100. Din il-ħaġa qed tinnegozjataħt il-$100. Niżel għal madwar95 94. Illum qed jinnegozja x'imkienmadwar 97.98. U r-raġuni għaliex ikun jista'jinnegozja hemm hija jew waħda, in-niesma jemmnux li se jħallas id-dividendi jew tnejn, huma inkwetati liMicro Strategy tista' tfalli. Dawn it-tnejn huma sitwazzjonijiet inkwetanti ħafna. Mert,Ilia, it-tnejn li intom kontu parteċipanti b'modidifferenti fil-manija tad-DAT litafu b'xi mod ħakmet l-industrija matul l-aħħar sentejn.X'taħseb? Huwa dan sinjalli dan huwa l-bidu tat-tmiem?Taħseb li d-DATs se jkunu tajbin?X'inhi l-interpretazzjoni tagħkom tas-suq? Biex inkunċar, qatt ma għamilt DAT.Għalkemm kont jien, ġew offruti ħafnaminnhom, imma kburi li magħamilthomx. Makontx bħal konsulent. Żgur li kontbħal konsulent jew xi ħaġa hekk.Le, le, le, le.Insib litteralment kollox. Iva. Oh, wow. Kont senagħmilha u mbagħad waħda miċ-chats tal-grupp tiegħi kienet bħal, "Ħabib, x'qedtagħmel?" U jien kont qisni, "Tajjeb, tajjeb.Mhux se nagħmilha."Um, [daħk]stenna, għaliex le? Tħareslejn in-nies tad-DAT issa? Taħseb li intsuperjuri għad-DATs?Naħseb li fil-fatt għadhom jagħmlu sens,imma trid tagħmilhom fil-qiegħu mhux fil-quċċata, d

Source proof

Source proof: Strong source proof | 2 extracted claims | 2 directional assets | 1 supporting author | headline-like title review

This thesis is based on 'Saylor's Lesson, Zcash's Crash & AI Coming for Crypto' (The Chopping Block) and related coverage. Key evidence: Saylor sold 32 BTC; Taylor Hornby used Claude Opus 4.8 to find an infinite-mint bug in Zcash's Orchard circuit; Zcash suffered a >50% dump before an emergency soft fork and subsequent Ironwood migration and planned formal verification; NEAR recorded ~$240M single-day volume during the sell-off.

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Supporting authors

Hosts: Haseeb Qureshi (Managing Partner, Dragonfly) and Tom Schmidt (General Partner, Dragonfly). Guests: Mert (Co-founder & CEO, Helius) and Illia Polosukhin (Co-founder, NEAR Protocol). Additional relevant clips/authors: Jessi Brooks, Vy Le, Katherine Kirkpatrick Bos, Steve Ehrlich, John Todaro.

Unlock full thesis monitoring

Recommended action: sell (short-term). For full context, watch the episode and read linked analysis: https://unchainedcrypto.com and the episode stream at https://youtube.com/live/g1NFIDucUEU