equitysell

FXI · iShares China Large-Cap ETF

Trust-weighted public proof page for FXI. See which authors support it, which ticker theses it belongs to, and how thesis calls have performed.

Opportunity
268 / 100
Current score
-4.56
Thesis calls
20
Active decisions
24

Recent proof-backed thesis calls

Public preview of asset-level thesis calls linked to source content, observed prices, and outcomes.

A highly macro/geopolitical assertion dump (China decoupling, Iran escalation, tariffs return, Europe downturn, Canada hit on USMCA, Taiwan risk) with no data, timing, or implementation details. Actionable only as a rough risk-on/off regime tilt toward US defense/energy and away from China/EU/Taiwan-exposed assets.

Mentioned: Jul 23, 2026, 6:53 PM EDTConviction: 50 / 100
Source: Just Another Pod Guy @TMTLongShort 8h Right on schedule. Just Another Pod Guy @TMTLongShort Jul 18 We’re decoupling f...

Bloomberg ‘The China Show’ episode highlights: (1) China–Philippines vessel clash in the South China Sea (geopolitical risk), (2) Iran-backed Houthis threatening Saudi shipping routes (Red Sea/Gulf shipping risk), (3) China’s “national team” supporting equities (policy/flow backstop), (4) Taiwan minister suggesting 2026 GDP growth could exceed 10% (Taiwan growth optimism), (5) HKEX considering longer trading hours/scrapping lunch (market-structure catalyst), and (6) Asian tech rally/Chinese AI d

Mentioned: Jul 21, 2026, 1:02 AM EDTConviction: 57 / 100
Source: China, Philippine Vessels Clash in Disputed Waters | The China Show | 7/21/2026

Bloomberg segment mentions (1) China AI startup Moonshot AI telling investors it may IPO as soon as ~6 months after a perceived AI model breakthrough that rattled tech stocks, and (2) Jersey Mike’s Subs pursuing a US IPO targeting up to ~$1.09B; Blackstone is referenced as potentially selling up to ~$1.1B in the Jersey Mike’s IPO (implying a partial monetization/exit).

Mentioned: Jul 20, 2026, 5:38 PM EDTConviction: 41 / 100
Source: Moonshot Plans IPO in Six Months After China AI Breakthrough
ФинФакyoutubeopen

Source argues for a near-term macro shock: US PPI remains high while PCE inflation is lower, implying business margin compression amid weak demand. This could pressure labor markets and consumer sentiment. It also hints at oil market tightness/short-term shocks and discusses China business profitability, plus mentions gold as a hedge and German exporters (Mercedes/BMW) facing less favorable trade dynamics.

Mentioned: Jul 19, 2026, 9:57 AM EDTConviction: 50 / 100
Source: Грязные трусы мировой экономики - Инфляция, Рост, Ставки
Graham Stephanyoutubeopen

The source claims a sharp downturn/collapse in China’s housing market driven by high leverage, presales, buyer confidence loss, developer defaults, and knock-on effects to banks, local government revenue, commodities, and globally exposed consumer/luxury firms. It is high-level and sensational, with limited verifiable data points, but it maps to known China property stress channels and yields tradable macro/sector expressions via liquid ETFs and large-cap global cyclicals.

Mentioned: Jul 15, 2026, 4:00 PM EDTConviction: 62 / 100
Source: BREAKING: China’s ENTIRE Housing Market Just Collapsed

Bloomberg Daybreak Europe highlights: ASML raises its 2026 sales outlook again (Q3 net sales guide €11B vs €10.3B est; full-year/net sales outlook raised), reinforcing strength in leading-edge semiconductor capex tied to AI. Macro overlay: escalating U.S. strikes on Iran pushing oil prices higher; U.S. 2Y yields falling ahead of U.S. PPI and Fed Beige Book; China growth slows below target to weakest in ~3 years (risk-off/EM-China negative).

Mentioned: Jul 15, 2026, 2:50 AM EDTConviction: 60 / 100
Source: ASML Raises Full-Year Sales Forecast Again | Daybreak Europe 7/15/2026

Bloomberg clip headlines/themes: China promotes yuan while US pushes a strong dollar; Samsung earnings; Korean equities; a jump in JGB yields. The content is high-level and light on specifics (no numbers/guidance), so trade actionability is limited and mostly expressible via liquid macro/region proxies (USD, CNH, China/Korea/Japan equity ETFs) rather than single-name precision.

Mentioned: Jul 7, 2026, 3:36 AM EDTConviction: 52 / 100
Source: China Touts Yuan as US Ups Strong Dollar: 3-Minutes MLIV

Bloomberg "The China Show" highlights multiple tradable themes: (1) reduced perceived Hormuz disruption risk for China and OPEC+ output hike pushing oil lower; (2) memory/AI hardware cycle signals (reported Samsung DRAM +20% in 3Q; Hon Hai sales beat; SK Hynix US listing); (3) China/HK market/regulatory items (HK IPO bookbuilding scrutiny; A-shares vs H-shares preference); (4) CATL investing in a NZ graphite-related firm, supporting battery supply-chain narrative.

Mentioned: Jul 6, 2026, 2:10 AM EDTConviction: 47 / 100
Source: Iran Gives China Concessions for Hormuz Transits | The China Show | 7/6/2026

Bloomberg “The China Show” episode outlines several potentially market-moving threads: China equities outperforming rest of Asia on tech strength; Meta exploring an AI-compute cloud offering; Apple reportedly seeking chips from Chinese firms on a US Pentagon blacklist; AI-bubble/crash discussion and “AI jitters” pressuring Asian chipmakers; a China-related iron ore delivery blocking plan affecting Fortescue; commentary that inflation risks are down (rates-sensitive); and a China chip-smuggling p

Mentioned: Jul 2, 2026, 2:37 AM EDTConviction: 50 / 100
Source: Tech Giants Lift China Stocks as Rest of Asia Slumps | The China Show | 7/2/2026

Video chapter list (no full transcript) covering: China politics/Xi speech, Japan yen “red line,” mixed outlook for Chinese markets, Nike “reset” in Greater China, China June manufacturing PMI 51.7 vs est 52, AI boom supporting EM stocks, ECB inflation outlook, and a headline about US lifting restrictions related to “Fable 5” (unclear entity). Limited actionable, trade-ready detail due to lack of quotes/figures beyond PMI.

Mentioned: Jul 1, 2026, 2:38 AM EDTConviction: 56 / 100
Source: Xi Positions China’s Ruling Party as Global Force for Progress | The China Show 7/1/2026

Bloomberg’s China Show highlights: China factory activity back in growth territory; yen weak near 162/USD with Japanese officials signaling readiness to respond; EU–China set an October deadline on trade issues; China investors reviewing bond holdings and authorities clamping down on higher-yielding offshore debt issuance; Korea (Samsung, SK Hynix) outlines massive AI/semicapex ambitions; discussion of luxury watch demand; and Miniso growth plans. Overall it points to a cyclical China data uptic

Mentioned: Jun 30, 2026, 5:06 PM EDTConviction: 57 / 100
Source: China’s Factory Activity Returns to Growth | The China Show 6/30/2026

Headline-level signal: China’s Premier frames China’s tech industry as “not a global threat,” implying an attempt to reduce geopolitical risk premia and support outbound business/FDI sentiment. Without a transcript or concrete policy actions (e.g., export-control relief, regulatory rollback, stimulus, market access changes), this is more narrative-management than a directly tradeable catalyst.

Mentioned: Jun 24, 2026, 2:51 AM EDTConviction: 34 / 100
Source: Chinese Premier Says Tech Industry Not a Global Threat | The China Show 6/24/2026

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