AEHR
Author characterizes a demand inflection in photonics/CPO/AI optical hardware. Earlier U.S. photonics leaders (including AEHR) have already rallied and are described as richly valued; the actionable idea is to seek value in lower-priced European photonics names for potential multiple expansion.
Recent proof-backed thesis calls
One recent post argues the photonics/CPO/AI optical supply chain opportunity has arrived. The author notes that U.S. photonics stocks (AAOI, LITE, CIEN, AEHR) have already surged and are now ‘expensive,’ and frames the trade as finding cheaper European photonics/AI-hardware companies for multiple expansion.
Post argues photonics/CPO/AI optical supply chain has arrived; earlier US photonics names (AAOI, LITE, CIEN, AEHR) already surged and are now “expensive.” Author frames opportunity as multiple-expansion in undervalued European photonics/AI-hardware names vs richly valued peers (BESI, ASML), but the specific “5 European stocks” are not visible in the provided excerpt, limiting tradability.
Post highlights “Photonics” as a leading market theme this year and lists several related equities with very large year-to-date gains. It’s momentum/theme framing rather than a specific catalyst, but it can still inform a momentum basket or relative-strength watchlist.
Current stance
Hold. The author’s basket exposure is characterized as a hold given that leading U.S. photonics names are crowded/expensive and the preferred trade is exposure to cheaper European analogs rather than adding to U.S. leaders.
- beneficiary via Photonics theme momentum basket (trend-following, short horizon). from https://x.com/speculator_io (confidence 0.41)
- hold via Photonics/CPO demand inflection supports optical/photonics supply chain, but leaders are crowded/expensive—look for cheaper European analogs for multiple expansion. from https://asymmetricalbets.substack.com/feed (confidence 0.40)
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Active and historical ticker theses
Photonics/CPO demand inflection supports the optical/photonics supply chain thesis, but leaders are crowded and pricey. The author highlights cheaper European names as the target for multiple-expansion upside rather than further investment in U.S. leaders.
Photonics theme momentum basket (trend-following, short horizon).
Photonics/CPO demand inflection supports optical/photonics supply chain, but leaders are crowded/expensive—look for cheaper European analogs for multiple expansion.
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Read the author's original post for full context: https://asymmetricalbets.substack.com/feed