x@yanpei_cao
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Thesis calls
10
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Past bets that played out

These are the clearest thesis calls with observable outcomes, linked back to the original videos.

ADBEopen

A research post announces “HoloPart,” an open‑source generative model that decomposes 3D shapes into complete parts (including occluded/hidden components), enabling easier 3D editing, animation rigging, and content creation. This is an enabling technology signal for faster 3D asset pipelines rather than a direct, near-term revenue catalyst for any single public company.

Mentioned: Jun 17, 2026, 10:37 PM EDTConviction: 24 / 100
Source: Yanpei Cao @yanpei_cao Apr 11, 2025 HoloPart is here, and it’s open-source! Our generative model splits 3D shapes int...
RBLXopen

A research post announces “HoloPart,” an open‑source generative model that decomposes 3D shapes into complete parts (including occluded/hidden components), enabling easier 3D editing, animation rigging, and content creation. This is an enabling technology signal for faster 3D asset pipelines rather than a direct, near-term revenue catalyst for any single public company.

Mentioned: Jun 17, 2026, 10:37 PM EDTConviction: 30 / 100
Source: Yanpei Cao @yanpei_cao Apr 11, 2025 HoloPart is here, and it’s open-source! Our generative model splits 3D shapes int...
Uopen

A research post announces “HoloPart,” an open‑source generative model that decomposes 3D shapes into complete parts (including occluded/hidden components), enabling easier 3D editing, animation rigging, and content creation. This is an enabling technology signal for faster 3D asset pipelines rather than a direct, near-term revenue catalyst for any single public company.

Mentioned: Jun 17, 2026, 10:37 PM EDTConviction: 34 / 100
Source: Yanpei Cao @yanpei_cao Apr 11, 2025 HoloPart is here, and it’s open-source! Our generative model splits 3D shapes int...

Latest videos and market context

Recent source posts from this author. Create an account to inspect the complete persisted research trail.

Yanpei Cao @yanpei_cao Jul 22 We @tripoai won Best in Show at #SIGGRAPH2026 Real-Time Live! last night! 🏆 What a blas...

Jul 22, 2026, 11:37 AM EDT

A private company (Tripo AI) won “Best in Show” at SIGGRAPH 2026 Real-Time Live. This is positive validation for real-time/AI-generated 3D content tooling, but it’s not directly tradable unless there are public comparables; impact on public tickers is second-order and low-confidence.

@alightinastorm @rms80 @tripoai Yes, improvements are in the works! We noticed this issue too (it impacts smart mesh ...

May 13, 2026, 9:54 AM EDT

A social reply indicating TripoAI is working on improvements to an issue affecting “smart mesh,” with no concrete timeline. This is a minor, non-quantified product-update signal for AI-generated 3D/mesh workflows, not a market-moving catalyst by itself.

@alightinastorm @rms80 @tripoai Forget the old stereotypes about AI meshes!😉 Tripo (Smart Mesh) now generates clean, ...

May 13, 2026, 9:25 AM EDT

Post claims Tripo (Smart Mesh) can generate clean, artist-friendly polygon meshes quickly (improved topology vs older AI meshes that produced very dense ~1M-face outputs). This suggests accelerating quality improvements in AI-assisted 3D asset creation pipelines.

Pinned Yanpei Cao @yanpei_cao Mar 6 Generative 3D has been stuck in a representational compromise. When you serialize...

Mar 6, 2026, 11:18 AM EST

The source is a technical comment about generative 3D models being constrained by current representations (serialization causing unidirectional bias), implying potential innovation/cycle shift toward better 3D-native architectures. It is conceptually relevant to AI/graphics compute and 3D content tools, but contains no concrete company/news catalyst, timing, or adoption signal—so near-term trading actionability is low.

Proof-backed call history

These are recent thesis calls tied to original source content where available.

ADBEopen

A research post announces “HoloPart,” an open‑source generative model that decomposes 3D shapes into complete parts (including occluded/hidden components), enabling easier 3D editing, animation rigging, and content creation. This is an enabling technology signal for faster 3D asset pipelines rather than a direct, near-term revenue catalyst for any single public company.

Mentioned: Jun 17, 2026, 10:37 PM EDTConviction: 24 / 100
Source: Yanpei Cao @yanpei_cao Apr 11, 2025 HoloPart is here, and it’s open-source! Our generative model splits 3D shapes int...
RBLXopen

A research post announces “HoloPart,” an open‑source generative model that decomposes 3D shapes into complete parts (including occluded/hidden components), enabling easier 3D editing, animation rigging, and content creation. This is an enabling technology signal for faster 3D asset pipelines rather than a direct, near-term revenue catalyst for any single public company.

Mentioned: Jun 17, 2026, 10:37 PM EDTConviction: 30 / 100
Source: Yanpei Cao @yanpei_cao Apr 11, 2025 HoloPart is here, and it’s open-source! Our generative model splits 3D shapes int...
Uopen

A research post announces “HoloPart,” an open‑source generative model that decomposes 3D shapes into complete parts (including occluded/hidden components), enabling easier 3D editing, animation rigging, and content creation. This is an enabling technology signal for faster 3D asset pipelines rather than a direct, near-term revenue catalyst for any single public company.

Mentioned: Jun 17, 2026, 10:37 PM EDTConviction: 34 / 100
Source: Yanpei Cao @yanpei_cao Apr 11, 2025 HoloPart is here, and it’s open-source! Our generative model splits 3D shapes int...
ADSKopen

A research post announces “HoloPart,” an open‑source generative model that decomposes 3D shapes into complete parts (including occluded/hidden components), enabling easier 3D editing, animation rigging, and content creation. This is an enabling technology signal for faster 3D asset pipelines rather than a direct, near-term revenue catalyst for any single public company.

Mentioned: Jun 17, 2026, 10:37 PM EDTConviction: 32 / 100
Source: Yanpei Cao @yanpei_cao Apr 11, 2025 HoloPart is here, and it’s open-source! Our generative model splits 3D shapes int...
AMDopen

A research post announces “HoloPart,” an open‑source generative model that decomposes 3D shapes into complete parts (including occluded/hidden components), enabling easier 3D editing, animation rigging, and content creation. This is an enabling technology signal for faster 3D asset pipelines rather than a direct, near-term revenue catalyst for any single public company.

Mentioned: Jun 17, 2026, 10:37 PM EDTConviction: 38 / 100
Source: Yanpei Cao @yanpei_cao Apr 11, 2025 HoloPart is here, and it’s open-source! Our generative model splits 3D shapes int...
NVDAopen

A research post announces “HoloPart,” an open‑source generative model that decomposes 3D shapes into complete parts (including occluded/hidden components), enabling easier 3D editing, animation rigging, and content creation. This is an enabling technology signal for faster 3D asset pipelines rather than a direct, near-term revenue catalyst for any single public company.

Mentioned: Jun 17, 2026, 10:37 PM EDTConviction: 46 / 100
Source: Yanpei Cao @yanpei_cao Apr 11, 2025 HoloPart is here, and it’s open-source! Our generative model splits 3D shapes int...
AMDopen

The source is a technical comment about generative 3D models being constrained by current representations (serialization causing unidirectional bias), implying potential innovation/cycle shift toward better 3D-native architectures. It is conceptually relevant to AI/graphics compute and 3D content tools, but contains no concrete company/news catalyst, timing, or adoption signal—so near-term trading actionability is low.

Mentioned: Jun 17, 2026, 10:36 PM EDTConviction: 38 / 100
Source: Pinned Yanpei Cao @yanpei_cao Mar 6 Generative 3D has been stuck in a representational compromise. When you serialize...
Uopen

The source is a technical comment about generative 3D models being constrained by current representations (serialization causing unidirectional bias), implying potential innovation/cycle shift toward better 3D-native architectures. It is conceptually relevant to AI/graphics compute and 3D content tools, but contains no concrete company/news catalyst, timing, or adoption signal—so near-term trading actionability is low.

Mentioned: Jun 17, 2026, 10:36 PM EDTConviction: 40 / 100
Source: Pinned Yanpei Cao @yanpei_cao Mar 6 Generative 3D has been stuck in a representational compromise. When you serialize...
ADBEopen

The source is a technical comment about generative 3D models being constrained by current representations (serialization causing unidirectional bias), implying potential innovation/cycle shift toward better 3D-native architectures. It is conceptually relevant to AI/graphics compute and 3D content tools, but contains no concrete company/news catalyst, timing, or adoption signal—so near-term trading actionability is low.

Mentioned: Jun 17, 2026, 10:36 PM EDTConviction: 44 / 100
Source: Pinned Yanpei Cao @yanpei_cao Mar 6 Generative 3D has been stuck in a representational compromise. When you serialize...
NVDAopen

The source is a technical comment about generative 3D models being constrained by current representations (serialization causing unidirectional bias), implying potential innovation/cycle shift toward better 3D-native architectures. It is conceptually relevant to AI/graphics compute and 3D content tools, but contains no concrete company/news catalyst, timing, or adoption signal—so near-term trading actionability is low.

Mentioned: Jun 17, 2026, 10:36 PM EDTConviction: 52 / 100
Source: Pinned Yanpei Cao @yanpei_cao Mar 6 Generative 3D has been stuck in a representational compromise. When you serialize...

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