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Thesis calls
27
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Past bets that played out

These are the clearest thesis calls with observable outcomes, linked back to the original videos.

WPMopen

USGS/Interior published the final 2025 List of Critical Minerals (60 minerals) and added 10 new minerals (boron, copper, lead, metallurgical coal, phosphate, potash, rhenium, silicon, silver, uranium) citing supply-chain disruption risk, import dependence, and importance to U.S. economy/national security. This is a policy/supply-chain signal that can support longer-horizon demand/security narratives for U.S.-aligned producers and developers in the newly added commodities.

Mentioned: Jul 9, 2026, 2:26 PM EDTConviction: 40 / 100
Source: Interior Department releases final 2025 List of Critical Minerals
PAASopen

USGS/Interior published the final 2025 List of Critical Minerals (60 minerals) and added 10 new minerals (boron, copper, lead, metallurgical coal, phosphate, potash, rhenium, silicon, silver, uranium) citing supply-chain disruption risk, import dependence, and importance to U.S. economy/national security. This is a policy/supply-chain signal that can support longer-horizon demand/security narratives for U.S.-aligned producers and developers in the newly added commodities.

Mentioned: Jul 9, 2026, 2:26 PM EDTConviction: 43 / 100
Source: Interior Department releases final 2025 List of Critical Minerals
HCCopen

USGS/Interior published the final 2025 List of Critical Minerals (60 minerals) and added 10 new minerals (boron, copper, lead, metallurgical coal, phosphate, potash, rhenium, silicon, silver, uranium) citing supply-chain disruption risk, import dependence, and importance to U.S. economy/national security. This is a policy/supply-chain signal that can support longer-horizon demand/security narratives for U.S.-aligned producers and developers in the newly added commodities.

Mentioned: Jul 9, 2026, 2:26 PM EDTConviction: 42 / 100
Source: Interior Department releases final 2025 List of Critical Minerals

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About the 2025 List of Critical Minerals

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USGS describes the 2025 U.S. Critical Minerals List (expanded vs. 2022) and an updated USGS methodology to quantify U.S. economic risk from foreign trade/supply-chain disruptions across mineral commodities. This is primarily policy/methodology context (not an investment call), but it reinforces a multi-year U.S. focus on de-risking critical mineral supply chains, which can indirectly support domestic/allied sourcing, processing, and recycling themes.

Interior Department releases final 2025 List of Critical Minerals

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USGS/Interior published the final 2025 List of Critical Minerals (60 minerals) and added 10 new minerals (boron, copper, lead, metallurgical coal, phosphate, potash, rhenium, silicon, silver, uranium) citing supply-chain disruption risk, import dependence, and importance to U.S. economy/national security. This is a policy/supply-chain signal that can support longer-horizon demand/security narratives for U.S.-aligned producers and developers in the newly added commodities.

Germanium Statistics and Information

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USGS-style overview of germanium: byproduct of zinc processing; demand shifted from early electronics to fiber optics, infrared/night vision, and polymerization catalysts; recent (as of text) consumption > primary production offset by stockpiles and recycling; includes a historical 2000 year-end price ($1,150/kg).

Tin Statistics and Information

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General background/educational overview of the tin market (uses, supply sources, scarcity, recycling) with no new datapoints, price catalysts, or near-term event signals. Limited direct trading actionability.

Proof-backed call history

These are recent thesis calls tied to original source content where available.

WPMopen

USGS/Interior published the final 2025 List of Critical Minerals (60 minerals) and added 10 new minerals (boron, copper, lead, metallurgical coal, phosphate, potash, rhenium, silicon, silver, uranium) citing supply-chain disruption risk, import dependence, and importance to U.S. economy/national security. This is a policy/supply-chain signal that can support longer-horizon demand/security narratives for U.S.-aligned producers and developers in the newly added commodities.

Mentioned: Jul 9, 2026, 2:26 PM EDTConviction: 40 / 100
Source: Interior Department releases final 2025 List of Critical Minerals
PAASopen

USGS/Interior published the final 2025 List of Critical Minerals (60 minerals) and added 10 new minerals (boron, copper, lead, metallurgical coal, phosphate, potash, rhenium, silicon, silver, uranium) citing supply-chain disruption risk, import dependence, and importance to U.S. economy/national security. This is a policy/supply-chain signal that can support longer-horizon demand/security narratives for U.S.-aligned producers and developers in the newly added commodities.

Mentioned: Jul 9, 2026, 2:26 PM EDTConviction: 43 / 100
Source: Interior Department releases final 2025 List of Critical Minerals
HCCopen

USGS/Interior published the final 2025 List of Critical Minerals (60 minerals) and added 10 new minerals (boron, copper, lead, metallurgical coal, phosphate, potash, rhenium, silicon, silver, uranium) citing supply-chain disruption risk, import dependence, and importance to U.S. economy/national security. This is a policy/supply-chain signal that can support longer-horizon demand/security narratives for U.S.-aligned producers and developers in the newly added commodities.

Mentioned: Jul 9, 2026, 2:26 PM EDTConviction: 42 / 100
Source: Interior Department releases final 2025 List of Critical Minerals
AMRopen

USGS/Interior published the final 2025 List of Critical Minerals (60 minerals) and added 10 new minerals (boron, copper, lead, metallurgical coal, phosphate, potash, rhenium, silicon, silver, uranium) citing supply-chain disruption risk, import dependence, and importance to U.S. economy/national security. This is a policy/supply-chain signal that can support longer-horizon demand/security narratives for U.S.-aligned producers and developers in the newly added commodities.

Mentioned: Jul 9, 2026, 2:26 PM EDTConviction: 44 / 100
Source: Interior Department releases final 2025 List of Critical Minerals
MOSopen

USGS/Interior published the final 2025 List of Critical Minerals (60 minerals) and added 10 new minerals (boron, copper, lead, metallurgical coal, phosphate, potash, rhenium, silicon, silver, uranium) citing supply-chain disruption risk, import dependence, and importance to U.S. economy/national security. This is a policy/supply-chain signal that can support longer-horizon demand/security narratives for U.S.-aligned producers and developers in the newly added commodities.

Mentioned: Jul 9, 2026, 2:26 PM EDTConviction: 46 / 100
Source: Interior Department releases final 2025 List of Critical Minerals
NTRopen

USGS/Interior published the final 2025 List of Critical Minerals (60 minerals) and added 10 new minerals (boron, copper, lead, metallurgical coal, phosphate, potash, rhenium, silicon, silver, uranium) citing supply-chain disruption risk, import dependence, and importance to U.S. economy/national security. This is a policy/supply-chain signal that can support longer-horizon demand/security narratives for U.S.-aligned producers and developers in the newly added commodities.

Mentioned: Jul 9, 2026, 2:26 PM EDTConviction: 47 / 100
Source: Interior Department releases final 2025 List of Critical Minerals
UUUUopen

USGS/Interior published the final 2025 List of Critical Minerals (60 minerals) and added 10 new minerals (boron, copper, lead, metallurgical coal, phosphate, potash, rhenium, silicon, silver, uranium) citing supply-chain disruption risk, import dependence, and importance to U.S. economy/national security. This is a policy/supply-chain signal that can support longer-horizon demand/security narratives for U.S.-aligned producers and developers in the newly added commodities.

Mentioned: Jul 9, 2026, 2:26 PM EDTConviction: 52 / 100
Source: Interior Department releases final 2025 List of Critical Minerals
CCJopen

USGS/Interior published the final 2025 List of Critical Minerals (60 minerals) and added 10 new minerals (boron, copper, lead, metallurgical coal, phosphate, potash, rhenium, silicon, silver, uranium) citing supply-chain disruption risk, import dependence, and importance to U.S. economy/national security. This is a policy/supply-chain signal that can support longer-horizon demand/security narratives for U.S.-aligned producers and developers in the newly added commodities.

Mentioned: Jul 9, 2026, 2:26 PM EDTConviction: 56 / 100
Source: Interior Department releases final 2025 List of Critical Minerals
SCCOopen

USGS/Interior published the final 2025 List of Critical Minerals (60 minerals) and added 10 new minerals (boron, copper, lead, metallurgical coal, phosphate, potash, rhenium, silicon, silver, uranium) citing supply-chain disruption risk, import dependence, and importance to U.S. economy/national security. This is a policy/supply-chain signal that can support longer-horizon demand/security narratives for U.S.-aligned producers and developers in the newly added commodities.

Mentioned: Jul 9, 2026, 2:26 PM EDTConviction: 50 / 100
Source: Interior Department releases final 2025 List of Critical Minerals
FCXopen

USGS/Interior published the final 2025 List of Critical Minerals (60 minerals) and added 10 new minerals (boron, copper, lead, metallurgical coal, phosphate, potash, rhenium, silicon, silver, uranium) citing supply-chain disruption risk, import dependence, and importance to U.S. economy/national security. This is a policy/supply-chain signal that can support longer-horizon demand/security narratives for U.S.-aligned producers and developers in the newly added commodities.

Mentioned: Jul 9, 2026, 2:26 PM EDTConviction: 55 / 100
Source: Interior Department releases final 2025 List of Critical Minerals
BASFYopen

USGS-style overview of germanium: byproduct of zinc processing; demand shifted from early electronics to fiber optics, infrared/night vision, and polymerization catalysts; recent (as of text) consumption > primary production offset by stockpiles and recycling; includes a historical 2000 year-end price ($1,150/kg).

Mentioned: Jul 5, 2026, 7:17 AM EDTConviction: 30 / 100
Source: Germanium Statistics and Information
TDYopen

USGS-style overview of germanium: byproduct of zinc processing; demand shifted from early electronics to fiber optics, infrared/night vision, and polymerization catalysts; recent (as of text) consumption > primary production offset by stockpiles and recycling; includes a historical 2000 year-end price ($1,150/kg).

Mentioned: Jul 5, 2026, 7:17 AM EDTConviction: 36 / 100
Source: Germanium Statistics and Information

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