Trust score
0 / 100
Track record
0 / 100
Thesis calls
12
Evaluated calls
0
Average return
n/a
Win rate
n/a

Past bets that played out

These are the clearest thesis calls with observable outcomes, linked back to the original videos.

MSFTopen

Social post highlights PoolsideAI’s rapid iteration (“10k–20k experiments/month”), focus on coding models as a path to AGI, and unusual openness/open-model posture. No public-company financials disclosed, but it reinforces the ongoing buildout/competition in code-gen LLMs and the need for large-scale AI training/inference infrastructure.

Mentioned: Jul 23, 2026, 4:18 PM EDTConviction: 50 / 100
Source: swyx @swyx 11h one thing i think people dont appreciate enough about @poolsideai is their unusual degree of openness ...
AMZNopen

Social post highlights PoolsideAI’s rapid iteration (“10k–20k experiments/month”), focus on coding models as a path to AGI, and unusual openness/open-model posture. No public-company financials disclosed, but it reinforces the ongoing buildout/competition in code-gen LLMs and the need for large-scale AI training/inference infrastructure.

Mentioned: Jul 23, 2026, 4:18 PM EDTConviction: 52 / 100
Source: swyx @swyx 11h one thing i think people dont appreciate enough about @poolsideai is their unusual degree of openness ...
AVGOopen

Social post highlights PoolsideAI’s rapid iteration (“10k–20k experiments/month”), focus on coding models as a path to AGI, and unusual openness/open-model posture. No public-company financials disclosed, but it reinforces the ongoing buildout/competition in code-gen LLMs and the need for large-scale AI training/inference infrastructure.

Mentioned: Jul 23, 2026, 4:18 PM EDTConviction: 55 / 100
Source: swyx @swyx 11h one thing i think people dont appreciate enough about @poolsideai is their unusual degree of openness ...

Latest videos and market context

Recent source posts from this author. Create an account to inspect the complete persisted research trail.

swyx @swyx 1m ok fine 4 new features - SmolForge is now getting customizable skins and spritesheet animations swyx @s...

Jul 24, 2026, 4:22 PM EDT

A developer (swyx) mentions "SmolForge" adding customizable skins/spritesheet animations and dogfooding an "agentic GitHub clone" with built-in CI/CD "thanks to Workers for Platforms" before launch. This is an anecdotal early signal of developer adoption/experimentation around edge/serverless app platforms (most directly Cloudflare Workers/Workers for Platforms), but lacks concrete metrics, dates, or company attribution beyond the implied platform.

swyx @swyx 57m the reason i am working on a new gsuite is because of extremely stupid defaults like this bullshit 8 1...

Jul 24, 2026, 1:23 PM EDT

A social media post complains about “extremely stupid defaults” in Google’s GSuite/Workspace and says the author is working on a “new gsuite” alternative. This is weak, anecdotal signal; at most it reflects minor dissatisfaction/competitive intent in the productivity suite market.

swyx @swyx 3h btw ive been dogfooding an agentic github clone over the past month or so and its gotten quite quite en...

Jul 23, 2026, 11:50 PM EDT

A developer reports dogfooding an “agentic GitHub clone” with built-in CI/CD enabled by “Workers for Platforms” (likely Cloudflare). This is anecdotal but directionally supports a thesis that edge/serverless platforms are becoming credible devtool primitives and could expand into adjacent workflows (code hosting, CI/CD, agentic automation).

swyx @swyx 11h one thing i think people dont appreciate enough about @poolsideai is their unusual degree of openness ...

Jul 23, 2026, 4:18 PM EDT

Social post highlights PoolsideAI’s rapid iteration (“10k–20k experiments/month”), focus on coding models as a path to AGI, and unusual openness/open-model posture. No public-company financials disclosed, but it reinforces the ongoing buildout/competition in code-gen LLMs and the need for large-scale AI training/inference infrastructure.

Proof-backed call history

These are recent thesis calls tied to original source content where available.

MSFTopen

Social post highlights PoolsideAI’s rapid iteration (“10k–20k experiments/month”), focus on coding models as a path to AGI, and unusual openness/open-model posture. No public-company financials disclosed, but it reinforces the ongoing buildout/competition in code-gen LLMs and the need for large-scale AI training/inference infrastructure.

Mentioned: Jul 23, 2026, 4:18 PM EDTConviction: 50 / 100
Source: swyx @swyx 11h one thing i think people dont appreciate enough about @poolsideai is their unusual degree of openness ...
AMZNopen

Social post highlights PoolsideAI’s rapid iteration (“10k–20k experiments/month”), focus on coding models as a path to AGI, and unusual openness/open-model posture. No public-company financials disclosed, but it reinforces the ongoing buildout/competition in code-gen LLMs and the need for large-scale AI training/inference infrastructure.

Mentioned: Jul 23, 2026, 4:18 PM EDTConviction: 52 / 100
Source: swyx @swyx 11h one thing i think people dont appreciate enough about @poolsideai is their unusual degree of openness ...
AVGOopen

Social post highlights PoolsideAI’s rapid iteration (“10k–20k experiments/month”), focus on coding models as a path to AGI, and unusual openness/open-model posture. No public-company financials disclosed, but it reinforces the ongoing buildout/competition in code-gen LLMs and the need for large-scale AI training/inference infrastructure.

Mentioned: Jul 23, 2026, 4:18 PM EDTConviction: 55 / 100
Source: swyx @swyx 11h one thing i think people dont appreciate enough about @poolsideai is their unusual degree of openness ...
ANETopen

Social post highlights PoolsideAI’s rapid iteration (“10k–20k experiments/month”), focus on coding models as a path to AGI, and unusual openness/open-model posture. No public-company financials disclosed, but it reinforces the ongoing buildout/competition in code-gen LLMs and the need for large-scale AI training/inference infrastructure.

Mentioned: Jul 23, 2026, 4:18 PM EDTConviction: 57 / 100
Source: swyx @swyx 11h one thing i think people dont appreciate enough about @poolsideai is their unusual degree of openness ...
NVDAopen

Social post highlights PoolsideAI’s rapid iteration (“10k–20k experiments/month”), focus on coding models as a path to AGI, and unusual openness/open-model posture. No public-company financials disclosed, but it reinforces the ongoing buildout/competition in code-gen LLMs and the need for large-scale AI training/inference infrastructure.

Mentioned: Jul 23, 2026, 4:18 PM EDTConviction: 64 / 100
Source: swyx @swyx 11h one thing i think people dont appreciate enough about @poolsideai is their unusual degree of openness ...
ANTHROPICopen

swyx @swyx Sep 1, 2024 I saw an AI engineer today No cursor. No claude 3.5 sonnet. No aider. He just sat there. Codin... swyx @swyx Sep 1, 2024 I saw an AI engineer today No cursor. No claude 3.5 sonnet. No aider. He just sat there. Coding without running an LLM every other minute. Like a psychopath. swyx @swyx Sep...

Mentioned: Jun 17, 2026, 11:43 PM EDTConviction: 12 / 100
Source: swyx @swyx Sep 1, 2024 I saw an AI engineer today No cursor. No claude 3.5 sonnet. No aider. He just sat there. Codin...
NVDAopen

A humorous anecdote implying heavy reliance on LLM coding assistants is becoming normal, but it contains no concrete data, product update, adoption metric, or catalyst. Actionability is very low.

Mentioned: Jun 17, 2026, 11:43 PM EDTConviction: 20 / 100
Source: swyx @swyx Sep 1, 2024 I saw an AI engineer today No cursor. No claude 3.5 sonnet. No aider. He just sat there. Codin...
GOOGLopen

A humorous anecdote implying heavy reliance on LLM coding assistants is becoming normal, but it contains no concrete data, product update, adoption metric, or catalyst. Actionability is very low.

Mentioned: Jun 17, 2026, 11:43 PM EDTConviction: 17 / 100
Source: swyx @swyx Sep 1, 2024 I saw an AI engineer today No cursor. No claude 3.5 sonnet. No aider. He just sat there. Codin...
AMZNopen

A humorous anecdote implying heavy reliance on LLM coding assistants is becoming normal, but it contains no concrete data, product update, adoption metric, or catalyst. Actionability is very low.

Mentioned: Jun 17, 2026, 11:43 PM EDTConviction: 18 / 100
Source: swyx @swyx Sep 1, 2024 I saw an AI engineer today No cursor. No claude 3.5 sonnet. No aider. He just sat there. Codin...
MSFTopen

A humorous anecdote implying heavy reliance on LLM coding assistants is becoming normal, but it contains no concrete data, product update, adoption metric, or catalyst. Actionability is very low.

Mentioned: Jun 17, 2026, 11:43 PM EDTConviction: 24 / 100
Source: swyx @swyx Sep 1, 2024 I saw an AI engineer today No cursor. No claude 3.5 sonnet. No aider. He just sat there. Codin...
CSCOopen

Non-financial motivational hierarchy (“Systems > Goals … People > Projects”). No market, company, or asset-specific information; not directly tradable.

Mentioned: Jun 17, 2026, 11:43 PM EDTConviction: 32 / 100
Source: Pinned swyx @swyx Jul 10, 2020 💁‍♂️ How to Play Long Term Games: Systems > Goals Discipline > Motivation Trust > Dist...
OPENAIopen

...ttraining for it @TheAnirudh i saw it in oai when it came out but i think this is all about posttraining for it @TheAnirudh i saw it in oai when it came out but i think this is all about posttraining for it Brief comment referencing "oai" (likely OpenAI) and that something is "all about posttraining"; no concrete market, product, or company details provided.

Mentioned: May 28, 2026, 2:39 PM EDTConviction: 10 / 100
Source: @TheAnirudh i saw it in oai when it came out but i think this is all about posttraining for it

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