x@skundojjala
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Thesis calls
31
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Past bets that played out

These are the clearest thesis calls with observable outcomes, linked back to the original videos.

ASMLopen

Post claims Intel delivered a “seventh consecutive beat” in 2Q26, says semiconductor demand remains far ahead of supply, and that Intel is finally raising capex (2026 capex from $18B to >$20B; 2027 “significantly above”). Also asserts ASML EUV output will grow ~30% for the next two years. Actionability: moderate—clear capex and supply/demand assertions with obvious ticker linkages (INTC, ASML), but lacks detail on margins/FCF impact, timing, and product mix.

Mentioned: Jul 24, 2026, 7:45 AM EDTConviction: 60 / 100
Source: Sravan Kundojjala @SKundojjala 20m Intel 2Q26 - seventh consecutive beat; demand still far ahead of supply - Intel fi...
INTCopen

Post claims Intel delivered a “seventh consecutive beat” in 2Q26, says semiconductor demand remains far ahead of supply, and that Intel is finally raising capex (2026 capex from $18B to >$20B; 2027 “significantly above”). Also asserts ASML EUV output will grow ~30% for the next two years. Actionability: moderate—clear capex and supply/demand assertions with obvious ticker linkages (INTC, ASML), but lacks detail on margins/FCF impact, timing, and product mix.

Mentioned: Jul 24, 2026, 7:45 AM EDTConviction: 56 / 100
Source: Sravan Kundojjala @SKundojjala 20m Intel 2Q26 - seventh consecutive beat; demand still far ahead of supply - Intel fi...
STMopen

Post highlights STMicro (STM) 2Q26 results and guidance: accelerating recovery and AI-datacenter driven upside, with datacenter targets “2x vs 1Q26,” improving revenue and expanding gross margin, plus upbeat next-quarter guide. Actionable primarily as a near-term fundamental momentum/earnings-guide strength signal for STM.

Mentioned: Jul 23, 2026, 4:45 AM EDTConviction: 63 / 100
Source: Sravan Kundojjala @SKundojjala 23h STMicro 2Q26 - Accelerating recovery/ AI-datacenter story, with the DC targets 2x ...

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Sravan Kundojjala @SKundojjala 20m Intel 2Q26 - seventh consecutive beat; demand still far ahead of supply - Intel fi...

Jul 24, 2026, 7:45 AM EDT

Post claims Intel delivered a “seventh consecutive beat” in 2Q26, says semiconductor demand remains far ahead of supply, and that Intel is finally raising capex (2026 capex from $18B to >$20B; 2027 “significantly above”). Also asserts ASML EUV output will grow ~30% for the next two years. Actionability: moderate—clear capex and supply/demand assertions with obvious ticker linkages (INTC, ASML), but lacks detail on margins/FCF impact, timing, and product mix.

Sravan Kundojjala @SKundojjala 23h STMicro 2Q26 - Accelerating recovery/ AI-datacenter story, with the DC targets 2x ...

Jul 23, 2026, 4:45 AM EDT

Post highlights STMicro (STM) 2Q26 results and guidance: accelerating recovery and AI-datacenter driven upside, with datacenter targets “2x vs 1Q26,” improving revenue and expanding gross margin, plus upbeat next-quarter guide. Actionable primarily as a near-term fundamental momentum/earnings-guide strength signal for STM.

Sravan Kundojjala @SKundojjala 23h Texas Instruments 2Q26 - Revenue up +13% q/q, +23% y/y to $5.46B at 61.4% GM (+340...

Jul 23, 2026, 4:39 AM EDT

Post summarizes Texas Instruments (TXN) 2Q26 results and 3Q26 guide, highlighting above-seasonal revenue growth, margin expansion, and a favorable inventory/capacity position that could enable share gains as growth broadens from industrial/data center into automotive.

Sravan Kundojjala @SKundojjala Jul 17, 2025 TSMC 2Q25; Beats the high-end of rev guidance, despite FX impact, GM clos...

Jul 17, 2025, 1:51 AM EDT

Post summarizes TSMC 2Q25 results: revenue beat high-end of guidance despite FX, gross margin near high-end of guidance, operating margin above high-end, and CapEx up +51% YoY. This is directly actionable for TSMC and second-order for semiconductor capex beneficiaries, though the post itself is primarily about TSMC’s fundamentals vs guidance (not an explicit trade call).

Proof-backed call history

These are recent thesis calls tied to original source content where available.

ASMLopen

Post claims Intel delivered a “seventh consecutive beat” in 2Q26, says semiconductor demand remains far ahead of supply, and that Intel is finally raising capex (2026 capex from $18B to >$20B; 2027 “significantly above”). Also asserts ASML EUV output will grow ~30% for the next two years. Actionability: moderate—clear capex and supply/demand assertions with obvious ticker linkages (INTC, ASML), but lacks detail on margins/FCF impact, timing, and product mix.

Mentioned: Jul 24, 2026, 7:45 AM EDTConviction: 60 / 100
Source: Sravan Kundojjala @SKundojjala 20m Intel 2Q26 - seventh consecutive beat; demand still far ahead of supply - Intel fi...
INTCopen

Post claims Intel delivered a “seventh consecutive beat” in 2Q26, says semiconductor demand remains far ahead of supply, and that Intel is finally raising capex (2026 capex from $18B to >$20B; 2027 “significantly above”). Also asserts ASML EUV output will grow ~30% for the next two years. Actionability: moderate—clear capex and supply/demand assertions with obvious ticker linkages (INTC, ASML), but lacks detail on margins/FCF impact, timing, and product mix.

Mentioned: Jul 24, 2026, 7:45 AM EDTConviction: 56 / 100
Source: Sravan Kundojjala @SKundojjala 20m Intel 2Q26 - seventh consecutive beat; demand still far ahead of supply - Intel fi...
STMopen

Post highlights STMicro (STM) 2Q26 results and guidance: accelerating recovery and AI-datacenter driven upside, with datacenter targets “2x vs 1Q26,” improving revenue and expanding gross margin, plus upbeat next-quarter guide. Actionable primarily as a near-term fundamental momentum/earnings-guide strength signal for STM.

Mentioned: Jul 23, 2026, 4:45 AM EDTConviction: 63 / 100
Source: Sravan Kundojjala @SKundojjala 23h STMicro 2Q26 - Accelerating recovery/ AI-datacenter story, with the DC targets 2x ...
TXNopen

Post summarizes Texas Instruments (TXN) 2Q26 results and 3Q26 guide, highlighting above-seasonal revenue growth, margin expansion, and a favorable inventory/capacity position that could enable share gains as growth broadens from industrial/data center into automotive.

Mentioned: Jul 23, 2026, 4:39 AM EDTConviction: 64 / 100
Source: Sravan Kundojjala @SKundojjala 23h Texas Instruments 2Q26 - Revenue up +13% q/q, +23% y/y to $5.46B at 61.4% GM (+340...
TSMopen

Post summarizes TSMC 2Q25 results: revenue beat high-end of guidance despite FX, gross margin near high-end of guidance, operating margin above high-end, and CapEx up +51% YoY. This is directly actionable for TSMC and second-order for semiconductor capex beneficiaries, though the post itself is primarily about TSMC’s fundamentals vs guidance (not an explicit trade call).

Mentioned: Jun 17, 2026, 7:46 PM EDTConviction: 64 / 100
Source: Sravan Kundojjala @SKundojjala Jul 17, 2025 TSMC 2Q25; Beats the high-end of rev guidance, despite FX impact, GM clos...
INTCopen

Post relays Intel management commentary (UBS conference) that 18A is on track for 2H25 production; 18A may be “overkill” for mobile, while 14A expands Intel’s addressable market; and early 18A wafer volume will be predominantly for Intel’s own products for the first 2–3 years. Actionable mainly as a medium/long-horizon foundry execution signal for INTC, with an implied caution that external foundry ramp may be slower than bulls expect.

Mentioned: Jun 17, 2026, 7:46 PM EDTConviction: 56 / 100
Source: Sravan Kundojjala @SKundojjala Dec 5, 2024 Intel reiterates 18A process node progress. 2H25 production. 18A is overki...
TSMopen

Post argues TSMC’s high-performance computing (HPC) revenue is set to surpass smartphones in 2022 (earlier than expected) due to accelerated smartphone weakness, and cites higher 5-year revenue CAGR for HPC (27%) vs smartphones (15%). Implies a favorable long-term mix shift for TSMC toward faster-growing compute demand.

Mentioned: Jun 17, 2026, 7:46 PM EDTConviction: 56 / 100
Source: Sravan Kundojjala @SKundojjala Sep 25, 2022 TSMC's high-performance computing (HPC) is set to overtake smartphones in...
AAPLopen

Post references an interview/podcast with Dr. Morris Chang about TSMC history: Apple allegedly offered favorable gross margin terms and Apple’s 20nm choice reportedly delayed 16nm due to TSMC’s R&D constraints at the time. This is largely historical/color rather than a current catalyst; modestly actionable only as supporting evidence for TSMC pricing power and strategic leverage with key customers.

Mentioned: Jun 17, 2026, 7:45 PM EDTConviction: 28 / 100
Source: Sravan Kundojjala @SKundojjala Jan 28, 2025 An inside view from Dr. Morris Chang on TSMC business. Interesting listen...
TSMopen

Post references an interview/podcast with Dr. Morris Chang about TSMC history: Apple allegedly offered favorable gross margin terms and Apple’s 20nm choice reportedly delayed 16nm due to TSMC’s R&D constraints at the time. This is largely historical/color rather than a current catalyst; modestly actionable only as supporting evidence for TSMC pricing power and strategic leverage with key customers.

Mentioned: Jun 17, 2026, 7:45 PM EDTConviction: 46 / 100
Source: Sravan Kundojjala @SKundojjala Jan 28, 2025 An inside view from Dr. Morris Chang on TSMC business. Interesting listen...
SOXXopen

Post summarizes ASML Investor Day 2022: ASML reaffirmed prior guidance to expand EUV/DUV tool capacity through 2025–2026 and High-NA EUV capacity through 2027–2028, alongside an increased long-term (2020–2030) semiconductor market CAGR estimate (9% vs 7% previously). This is moderately actionable as a long-horizon demand/capacity signal for leading-edge lithography and broader semi capex intensity, but lacks near-term catalysts, valuation, or positioning language.

Mentioned: Jun 17, 2026, 7:45 PM EDTConviction: 55 / 100
Source: Sravan Kundojjala @SKundojjala Nov 11, 2022 ASML Investor Day 2022: Reconfirms April guidance on increasing the capac...
ASMLopen

Post summarizes ASML Investor Day 2022: ASML reaffirmed prior guidance to expand EUV/DUV tool capacity through 2025–2026 and High-NA EUV capacity through 2027–2028, alongside an increased long-term (2020–2030) semiconductor market CAGR estimate (9% vs 7% previously). This is moderately actionable as a long-horizon demand/capacity signal for leading-edge lithography and broader semi capex intensity, but lacks near-term catalysts, valuation, or positioning language.

Mentioned: Jun 17, 2026, 7:45 PM EDTConviction: 66 / 100
Source: Sravan Kundojjala @SKundojjala Nov 11, 2022 ASML Investor Day 2022: Reconfirms April guidance on increasing the capac...
INTCopen

Post summarizes 2Q22 semiconductor foundry revenue performance: all listed foundries grew revenue except Intel, which declined sharply. It’s a comparative fundamental datapoint (not a trade call) but implies relative strength for pure-play foundries vs INTC.

Mentioned: Jun 17, 2026, 7:45 PM EDTConviction: 58 / 100
Source: Sravan Kundojjala @SKundojjala Aug 12, 2022 Semiconductor foundry performance in 2Q22. Thread. Except for Intel, all ...

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