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Thesis calls
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Past bets that played out

These are the clearest thesis calls with observable outcomes, linked back to the original videos.

C28.Fopen

Speaker is in capital-preservation mode: holding/accumulating cash, prefers averaging up into core positions rather than calling a bottom. They argue semiconductor equities are currently being driven primarily by macro uncertainty and upcoming Fed policy risk, with institutions cautious ahead of next week’s meeting.

Mentioned: Jul 24, 2026, 3:59 PM EDTConviction: 32 / 100
Source: Paradis Labs @ParadisLabs 37m If you're curious about my personal strategy right now: I'm currently doing nothing apa...
BMAopen

Speaker is in capital-preservation mode: holding/accumulating cash, prefers averaging up into core positions rather than calling a bottom. They argue semiconductor equities are currently being driven primarily by macro uncertainty and upcoming Fed policy risk, with institutions cautious ahead of next week’s meeting.

Mentioned: Jul 24, 2026, 3:59 PM EDTConviction: 32 / 100
Source: Paradis Labs @ParadisLabs 37m If you're curious about my personal strategy right now: I'm currently doing nothing apa...
OPENAIopen

Paradis Labs @ParadisLabs 50m Why was Jensen's letter on open models not endorsed by Anthropic or OpenAI? It's pretty... Paradis Labs @ParadisLabs 50m Why was Jensen's letter on open models not endorsed by Anthropic or OpenAI? It's pretty clear by now that both OAI & Anthropic care more about their business models and valuations above all else... Je...

Mentioned: Jul 24, 2026, 12:39 PM EDTConviction: 100 / 100
Source: Paradis Labs @ParadisLabs 50m Why was Jensen's letter on open models not endorsed by Anthropic or OpenAI? It's pretty...

Latest videos and market context

Recent source posts from this author. Create an account to inspect the complete persisted research trail.

Paradis Labs @ParadisLabs 21m Recommended reading for the weekend: 1. Jensen Huang — Open Weights and American AI Lea...

Jul 24, 2026, 6:18 PM EDT

Very low-actionability social post: a weekend reading list referencing (1) Jensen Huang on “Open Weights and American AI Leadership” and (2) J.P. Morgan note on “Patchmageddon” (rising urgency to patch vulnerabilities ahead of proliferating zero-day exploits). No explicit tickers/cashtags, no price levels, and no stated positioning. Still implies two investable narratives: AI compute/platform leadership and sustained cybersecurity patch/vuln-management demand.

Paradis Labs @ParadisLabs 37m If you're curious about my personal strategy right now: I'm currently doing nothing apa...

Jul 24, 2026, 3:59 PM EDT

Speaker is in capital-preservation mode: holding/accumulating cash, prefers averaging up into core positions rather than calling a bottom. They argue semiconductor equities are currently being driven primarily by macro uncertainty and upcoming Fed policy risk, with institutions cautious ahead of next week’s meeting.

Paradis Labs @ParadisLabs 50m Why was Jensen's letter on open models not endorsed by Anthropic or OpenAI? It's pretty...

Jul 24, 2026, 12:39 PM EDT

Post discusses Jensen Huang/NVIDIA advocating for open AI models; author speculates OpenAI and Anthropic did not endorse due to prioritizing their business models/valuations. Actionable implication is mostly thematic (open vs closed model ecosystems) with limited direct, tradable catalyst detail.

Paradis Labs @ParadisLabs 1h Macro uncertainty is what's driving semis equities right now. More than hyperscaler cape...

Jul 24, 2026, 11:01 AM EDT

Post argues semiconductor equities are currently driven more by macro uncertainty than by hyperscaler capex forecasts/earnings. It highlights next week’s Fed policy meeting as a potential hawkish-surprise catalyst, leading institutions to be cautious.

Proof-backed call history

These are recent thesis calls tied to original source content where available.

C28.Fopen

Speaker is in capital-preservation mode: holding/accumulating cash, prefers averaging up into core positions rather than calling a bottom. They argue semiconductor equities are currently being driven primarily by macro uncertainty and upcoming Fed policy risk, with institutions cautious ahead of next week’s meeting.

Mentioned: Jul 24, 2026, 3:59 PM EDTConviction: 32 / 100
Source: Paradis Labs @ParadisLabs 37m If you're curious about my personal strategy right now: I'm currently doing nothing apa...
BMAopen

Speaker is in capital-preservation mode: holding/accumulating cash, prefers averaging up into core positions rather than calling a bottom. They argue semiconductor equities are currently being driven primarily by macro uncertainty and upcoming Fed policy risk, with institutions cautious ahead of next week’s meeting.

Mentioned: Jul 24, 2026, 3:59 PM EDTConviction: 32 / 100
Source: Paradis Labs @ParadisLabs 37m If you're curious about my personal strategy right now: I'm currently doing nothing apa...
OPENAIopen

Paradis Labs @ParadisLabs 50m Why was Jensen's letter on open models not endorsed by Anthropic or OpenAI? It's pretty... Paradis Labs @ParadisLabs 50m Why was Jensen's letter on open models not endorsed by Anthropic or OpenAI? It's pretty clear by now that both OAI & Anthropic care more about their business models and valuations above all else... Je...

Mentioned: Jul 24, 2026, 12:39 PM EDTConviction: 100 / 100
Source: Paradis Labs @ParadisLabs 50m Why was Jensen's letter on open models not endorsed by Anthropic or OpenAI? It's pretty...
ANTHROPICopen

Paradis Labs @ParadisLabs 50m Why was Jensen's letter on open models not endorsed by Anthropic or OpenAI? It's pretty... Paradis Labs @ParadisLabs 50m Why was Jensen's letter on open models not endorsed by Anthropic or OpenAI? It's pretty clear by now that both OAI & Anthropic care more about their business models and valuations above al...

Mentioned: Jul 24, 2026, 12:39 PM EDTConviction: 100 / 100
Source: Paradis Labs @ParadisLabs 50m Why was Jensen's letter on open models not endorsed by Anthropic or OpenAI? It's pretty...
GOOGLopen

Post discusses Jensen Huang/NVIDIA advocating for open AI models; author speculates OpenAI and Anthropic did not endorse due to prioritizing their business models/valuations. Actionable implication is mostly thematic (open vs closed model ecosystems) with limited direct, tradable catalyst detail.

Mentioned: Jul 24, 2026, 12:39 PM EDTConviction: 20 / 100
Source: Paradis Labs @ParadisLabs 50m Why was Jensen's letter on open models not endorsed by Anthropic or OpenAI? It's pretty...
AMZNopen

Post discusses Jensen Huang/NVIDIA advocating for open AI models; author speculates OpenAI and Anthropic did not endorse due to prioritizing their business models/valuations. Actionable implication is mostly thematic (open vs closed model ecosystems) with limited direct, tradable catalyst detail.

Mentioned: Jul 24, 2026, 12:39 PM EDTConviction: 20 / 100
Source: Paradis Labs @ParadisLabs 50m Why was Jensen's letter on open models not endorsed by Anthropic or OpenAI? It's pretty...
MSFTopen

Post discusses Jensen Huang/NVIDIA advocating for open AI models; author speculates OpenAI and Anthropic did not endorse due to prioritizing their business models/valuations. Actionable implication is mostly thematic (open vs closed model ecosystems) with limited direct, tradable catalyst detail.

Mentioned: Jul 24, 2026, 12:39 PM EDTConviction: 22 / 100
Source: Paradis Labs @ParadisLabs 50m Why was Jensen's letter on open models not endorsed by Anthropic or OpenAI? It's pretty...
NVDAopen

Post discusses Jensen Huang/NVIDIA advocating for open AI models; author speculates OpenAI and Anthropic did not endorse due to prioritizing their business models/valuations. Actionable implication is mostly thematic (open vs closed model ecosystems) with limited direct, tradable catalyst detail.

Mentioned: Jul 24, 2026, 12:39 PM EDTConviction: 42 / 100
Source: Paradis Labs @ParadisLabs 50m Why was Jensen's letter on open models not endorsed by Anthropic or OpenAI? It's pretty...
C28.Fopen

Post argues semiconductor equities are currently driven more by macro uncertainty than by hyperscaler capex forecasts/earnings. It highlights next week’s Fed policy meeting as a potential hawkish-surprise catalyst, leading institutions to be cautious.

Mentioned: Jul 24, 2026, 11:01 AM EDTConviction: 32 / 100
Source: Paradis Labs @ParadisLabs 1h Macro uncertainty is what's driving semis equities right now. More than hyperscaler cape...
BMAopen

Post argues semiconductor equities are currently driven more by macro uncertainty than by hyperscaler capex forecasts/earnings. It highlights next week’s Fed policy meeting as a potential hawkish-surprise catalyst, leading institutions to be cautious.

Mentioned: Jul 24, 2026, 11:01 AM EDTConviction: 32 / 100
Source: Paradis Labs @ParadisLabs 1h Macro uncertainty is what's driving semis equities right now. More than hyperscaler cape...
LPK.DEopen

Post discusses LPKF Laser H1 earnings, highlighting sharp revenue decline, negative adjusted EBIT, negative free cash flow, and shrinking cash balance. Author notes the situation may be “more nuanced,” but no specific bullish catalyst is provided in the excerpt.

Mentioned: Jul 23, 2026, 10:32 AM EDTConviction: 53 / 100
Source: Paradis Labs @ParadisLabs 17h Just some thoughts on LPKF Laser / $LPK / $LPKFF earnings: If you just look at H1 finan...
LPKFFopen

Post discusses LPKF Laser H1 earnings, highlighting sharp revenue decline, negative adjusted EBIT, negative free cash flow, and shrinking cash balance. Author notes the situation may be “more nuanced,” but no specific bullish catalyst is provided in the excerpt.

Mentioned: Jul 23, 2026, 10:32 AM EDTConviction: 53 / 100
Source: Paradis Labs @ParadisLabs 17h Just some thoughts on LPKF Laser / $LPK / $LPKFF earnings: If you just look at H1 finan...

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