M

mkfilko

Short-form, technically focused market commentary centered on TSLA. Posts emphasize chart patterns, momentum indicators, and key technical confluences rather than fundamental catalysts or detailed risk sizing.

Trust score
0 / 100
Track record
0 / 100
Thesis calls
21
Evaluated calls
21
Average return
+36.09%
Win rate
71%

Past bets that played out

Notable threads highlight technical setups on TSLA: observations of potential cup‑and‑handle patterns, mean‑reversion signals when price touches the lower daily Bollinger Band, and repeated use of Williams %R and other momentum tools. These calls are primarily chart-driven, lack explicit catalysts, timing, or position sizing, and are actionable mainly as short‑term technical setups to monitor.

EOS.AXrightbacktest PROMOTE

Single short post asserting 1–2 year upside price targets for several tickers (multi-market: US, Australia, UK, Korea). No supporting catalysts included in the text beyond the author claiming they are not random targets and that prior posts exist (not provided here). Actionability is low-to-moderate: directional and horizon are clear, but no thesis details, timing catalysts, valuation, or risk framing are provided in the post itself.

Mentioned: Jun 30, 2026, 3:08 PM EDTConviction: 29 / 100Return: +578.74%Observed price: $10.30
Source: Pinned leki ⚔️ @mkfilko Jun 25 In 1-2 years: You will be kicking yourself because: $BRUN would have ran to $120 $MRLN...
SILCrightbacktest PROMOTE

Single short post asserting 1–2 year upside price targets for several tickers (multi-market: US, Australia, UK, Korea). No supporting catalysts included in the text beyond the author claiming they are not random targets and that prior posts exist (not provided here). Actionability is low-to-moderate: directional and horizon are clear, but no thesis details, timing catalysts, valuation, or risk framing are provided in the post itself.

Mentioned: Jun 30, 2026, 3:08 PM EDTConviction: 34 / 100Return: +87.61%Observed price: $47.43
Source: Pinned leki ⚔️ @mkfilko Jun 25 In 1-2 years: You will be kicking yourself because: $BRUN would have ran to $120 $MRLN...
BRUNrightbacktest PROMOTE

Single short post asserting 1–2 year upside price targets for several tickers (multi-market: US, Australia, UK, Korea). No supporting catalysts included in the text beyond the author claiming they are not random targets and that prior posts exist (not provided here). Actionability is low-to-moderate: directional and horizon are clear, but no thesis details, timing catalysts, valuation, or risk framing are provided in the post itself.

Mentioned: Jun 30, 2026, 3:08 PM EDTConviction: 27 / 100Return: +74.70%Observed price: $37.24
Source: Pinned leki ⚔️ @mkfilko Jun 25 In 1-2 years: You will be kicking yourself because: $BRUN would have ran to $120 $MRLN...

What this channel is watching now

Primary focus: TSLA (13 mentions, average conviction 0.4858). Occasional single‑mention commentary on EOD and PAY (each with avg conviction 0.6). The content mix is overwhelmingly technical — pattern recognition, indicator reads (Williams %R, RSI, EMAs), and price‑level confluences — with limited fundamental discussion.

Latest videos and market context

No recent long‑form videos. Activity is concentrated in short posts and micro‑analyses on technical price action.

leki ⚔️ @mkfilko 1h The relative strength in $IQE compared to the markets is absolutely incredible. Seriously wow. Th...

Jul 24, 2026, 10:42 AM EDT

Post highlights unusual relative strength in IQE versus broader markets; no explicit catalyst, valuation, or fundamental driver given. Actionable mainly as a momentum/relative-strength observation.

leki ⚔️ @mkfilko 14m Subs —— Remember super small positions if you w… Subscribe to unlock 3 157

Jul 24, 2026, 10:12 AM EDT

Post appears paywalled/truncated (“Subscribe to unlock”) and contains no readable investment thesis, ticker mention, catalyst, or position details beyond a generic reminder about “super small positions.” Not actionable as source evidence.

leki ⚔️ @mkfilko 26m $MRLN Ok on a more serious note. Let me share some additional analysis on the stock. The stock h...

Jul 24, 2026, 3:55 AM EDT

Post is a bearish, technical-analysis driven take on $MRLN: persistent rejection at the 10EMA for ~2 months, a wedge pattern failing, and a recent PR (7/23) not moving the stock. Includes hyperbolic downside language (“going to 0”).

Pinned leki ⚔️ @mkfilko Jun 25 In 1-2 years: You will be kicking yourself because: $BRUN would have ran to $120 $MRLN...

Jun 24, 2026, 10:36 PM EDT

Single short post asserting 1–2 year upside price targets for several tickers (multi-market: US, Australia, UK, Korea). No supporting catalysts included in the text beyond the author claiming they are not random targets and that prior posts exist (not provided here). Actionability is low-to-moderate: directional and horizon are clear, but no thesis details, timing catalysts, valuation, or risk framing are provided in the post itself.

Proof-backed call history

Active short‑form commentator with 16 evaluated items. Track record here shows a 75% win rate and average return of 0.3828% across evaluated recommendations. Posts frequently disclose past losses and emphasize iterative learning and patience, but rarely specify trade sizing, stop levels, or multi‑period fundamental theses.

MRLNwrongbacktest HOLD

Post is a bearish, technical-analysis driven take on $MRLN: persistent rejection at the 10EMA for ~2 months, a wedge pattern failing, and a recent PR (7/23) not moving the stock. Includes hyperbolic downside language (“going to 0”).

Mentioned: Jul 24, 2026, 3:55 AM EDTConviction: 53 / 100Return: +17.35%
Source: leki ⚔️ @mkfilko 26m $MRLN Ok on a more serious note. Let me share some additional analysis on the stock. The stock h...
BRUNrightbacktest PROMOTE

Single short post asserting 1–2 year upside price targets for several tickers (multi-market: US, Australia, UK, Korea). No supporting catalysts included in the text beyond the author claiming they are not random targets and that prior posts exist (not provided here). Actionability is low-to-moderate: directional and horizon are clear, but no thesis details, timing catalysts, valuation, or risk framing are provided in the post itself.

Mentioned: Jun 30, 2026, 3:08 PM EDTConviction: 27 / 100Return: +74.70%Observed price: $37.24
Source: Pinned leki ⚔️ @mkfilko Jun 25 In 1-2 years: You will be kicking yourself because: $BRUN would have ran to $120 $MRLN...
EOS.AXrightbacktest PROMOTE

Single short post asserting 1–2 year upside price targets for several tickers (multi-market: US, Australia, UK, Korea). No supporting catalysts included in the text beyond the author claiming they are not random targets and that prior posts exist (not provided here). Actionability is low-to-moderate: directional and horizon are clear, but no thesis details, timing catalysts, valuation, or risk framing are provided in the post itself.

Mentioned: Jun 30, 2026, 3:08 PM EDTConviction: 29 / 100Return: +578.74%Observed price: $10.30
Source: Pinned leki ⚔️ @mkfilko Jun 25 In 1-2 years: You will be kicking yourself because: $BRUN would have ran to $120 $MRLN...
MRLNwrongbacktest DEMOTE

Single short post asserting 1–2 year upside price targets for several tickers (multi-market: US, Australia, UK, Korea). No supporting catalysts included in the text beyond the author claiming they are not random targets and that prior posts exist (not provided here). Actionability is low-to-moderate: directional and horizon are clear, but no thesis details, timing catalysts, valuation, or risk framing are provided in the post itself.

Mentioned: Jun 30, 2026, 3:08 PM EDTConviction: 30 / 100Return: -6.65%Observed price: $5.71
Source: Pinned leki ⚔️ @mkfilko Jun 25 In 1-2 years: You will be kicking yourself because: $BRUN would have ran to $120 $MRLN...
SILCrightbacktest PROMOTE

Single short post asserting 1–2 year upside price targets for several tickers (multi-market: US, Australia, UK, Korea). No supporting catalysts included in the text beyond the author claiming they are not random targets and that prior posts exist (not provided here). Actionability is low-to-moderate: directional and horizon are clear, but no thesis details, timing catalysts, valuation, or risk framing are provided in the post itself.

Mentioned: Jun 30, 2026, 3:08 PM EDTConviction: 34 / 100Return: +87.61%Observed price: $47.43
Source: Pinned leki ⚔️ @mkfilko Jun 25 In 1-2 years: You will be kicking yourself because: $BRUN would have ran to $120 $MRLN...
TSLArightbacktest DEMOTE

Single-ticker technical sentiment post on TSLA: slight red day but author remains bullish due to holding ~$420, described as key technical confluence (POC, AVWAP from ATH, 20SMA). No fundamental catalyst or timeframe beyond near-term implied.

Mentioned: Jun 17, 2026, 8:01 PM EDTConviction: 46 / 100Return: +1.49%
Source: leki ⚔️ @mkfilko Jan 22, 2025 $TSLA Closed slightly down compared to last trading session today. Still bullish. Bulli...
TSLAwrongbacktest DEMOTE

Post is a single-ticker technical observation: author notes a potential cup-and-handle pattern in $TSLA. No catalyst, levels, timeframe, or position sizing provided; actionable only as a near-term technical setup watch.

Mentioned: Jun 17, 2026, 8:00 PM EDTConviction: 42 / 100Return: -5.74%
Source: leki ⚔️ @mkfilko Mar 14, 2025 $TSLA I spy with my little eye a potential Cup and Handle 👀
TSLAwrongbacktest DEMOTE

Very short, vague technical-analysis prompt on $TSLA (“Pull up 1H… do you see what I’m seeing?”) with no explicit pattern, level, catalyst, or direction stated. Actionability is low; at most it implies a near-term technical setup worth monitoring.

Mentioned: Jun 17, 2026, 8:00 PM EDTConviction: 25 / 100Return: -5.74%
Source: leki ⚔️ @mkfilko Dec 26, 2024 Pull up 1H on $TSLA, do you see what I’m seeing? 👀👀
TSLArightbacktest DEMOTE

Post argues $TSLA is bullish based on technical indicators: inverted hammer candle close, proprietary trend tool “BX‑Trender” green tape, Williams %R above -50, and 9EMA holding as support. No fundamentals, catalyst, sizing, or risk levels provided.

Mentioned: Jun 17, 2026, 8:00 PM EDTConviction: 46 / 100Return: +1.49%
Source: leki ⚔️ @mkfilko Jan 23, 2025 $TSLA It closed with an inverted hammer candle today. Is it bullish or bearish? Bullish...
PAYwrongbacktest DEMOTE

Single short post disclosing prior losses in $TSLA and emphasizing patience/learning; no explicit forward-looking thesis, catalyst, valuation, product-cycle, or position-change detail.

Mentioned: Jun 17, 2026, 8:00 PM EDTConviction: 60 / 100Return: -0.74%
Source: leki ⚔️ @mkfilko Feb 10, 2025 $TSLA Total losses from $TSLA for transparency's sake. I'm not one to shy from making m...
TSLArightbacktest HOLD

Single short post disclosing prior losses in $TSLA and emphasizing patience/learning; no explicit forward-looking thesis, catalyst, valuation, product-cycle, or position-change detail.

Mentioned: Jun 17, 2026, 8:00 PM EDTConviction: 85 / 100Return: +2.18%
Source: leki ⚔️ @mkfilko Feb 10, 2025 $TSLA Total losses from $TSLA for transparency's sake. I'm not one to shy from making m...
TSLArightbacktest DEMOTE

Single-ticker technical-analysis comment on $TSLA suggesting RSI ~50 (midline) may indicate a potential bottom, referencing a prior instance (Nov 4) where RSI at 50 preceded a bounce and “post election run.” Low-to-moderate actionability due to purely technical/analog framing and lack of defined catalyst/levels.

Mentioned: Jun 17, 2026, 8:00 PM EDTConviction: 46 / 100Return: +1.49%
Source: leki ⚔️ @mkfilko Jan 1, 2025 $TSLA This can be a sign of a potential bottom. RSI on 4th November was at 50 and litera...

About this channel

mkfilko publishes concise, technical market observations and sentiment posts, predominantly focused on TSLA. Typical content includes chart patterns (cup‑and‑handle, Bollinger Band setups), momentum indicator reads (Williams %R, RSI), and proprietary/third‑party trend signals. Posts are intended for near‑term technical monitoring rather than long‑term fundamental investment advice.

Subscribersn/a
Videosn/a
Win rate71%
Average return+36.09%

@mkfilko

Unlock the full track record

Follow @mkfilko for frequent short technical takes on TSLA and occasional observations on other tickers. Use posts as prompts to review charts and manage your own risk — they generally do not include explicit entry, exit, or sizing guidance.

9 more thesis calls are available after sign-up.