K

karpathy

karpathy (X: @karpathy) publishes short, often technical social posts and career updates focused on AI, large-language-model R&D, and compute availability. Content ranges from personal updates to observational commentary; not all posts are directly tradable.

Trust score
0 / 100
Track record
0 / 100
Thesis calls
12
Evaluated calls
12
Average return
-4.45%
Win rate
42%

Past bets that played out

Standout entry: a short post praising an unnamed large company for "calling bs" and referencing "One group of MTS on a mission, clean." The post contains no explicit company identifiers, products, catalysts, sectors, or timeframes and is not directly tradeable as presented.

ADBEwrongbacktest DEMOTE

The post argues that “agency” (ability to execute, iterate, drive outcomes) is more scarce and valuable than “intelligence,” especially now that intelligence is becoming commoditized/accessible via AI. As an investable signal, this is mainly a narrative tailwind for enterprise automation/productivity software and AI tooling that amplifies execution, but it is not a concrete catalyst with near-term price impact by itself.

Mentioned: Jun 18, 2026, 12:36 AM EDTConviction: 48 / 100Return: -27.95%
Source: Andrej Karpathy @karpathy Feb 24, 2025 Agency > Intelligence I had this intuitively wrong for decades, I think due to...
GOOGLrightbacktest PROMOTE

The post argues that “agency” (ability to execute, iterate, drive outcomes) is more scarce and valuable than “intelligence,” especially now that intelligence is becoming commoditized/accessible via AI. As an investable signal, this is mainly a narrative tailwind for enterprise automation/productivity software and AI tooling that amplifies execution, but it is not a concrete catalyst with near-term price impact by itself.

Mentioned: Jun 18, 2026, 12:36 AM EDTConviction: 45 / 100Return: +27.88%
Source: Andrej Karpathy @karpathy Feb 24, 2025 Agency > Intelligence I had this intuitively wrong for decades, I think due to...
CRMwrongbacktest DEMOTE

The post argues that “agency” (ability to execute, iterate, drive outcomes) is more scarce and valuable than “intelligence,” especially now that intelligence is becoming commoditized/accessible via AI. As an investable signal, this is mainly a narrative tailwind for enterprise automation/productivity software and AI tooling that amplifies execution, but it is not a concrete catalyst with near-term price impact by itself.

Mentioned: Jun 18, 2026, 12:36 AM EDTConviction: 46 / 100Return: -25.46%
Source: Andrej Karpathy @karpathy Feb 24, 2025 Agency > Intelligence I had this intuitively wrong for decades, I think due to...

Latest videos and market context

No full-length videos indexed. Recent short-form posts reference compute hardware (e.g., H100-class servers) and quick commentary on industry topics.

Andrej Karpathy @karpathy Feb 24, 2025 Agency > Intelligence I had this intuitively wrong for decades, I think due to...

n/a

The post argues that “agency” (ability to execute, iterate, drive outcomes) is more scarce and valuable than “intelligence,” especially now that intelligence is becoming commoditized/accessible via AI. As an investable signal, this is mainly a narrative tailwind for enterprise automation/productivity software and AI tooling that amplifies execution, but it is not a concrete catalyst with near-term price impact by itself.

Pinned Andrej Karpathy @karpathy Jan 24, 2023 The hottest new programming language is English

n/a

A short, high-level statement implying that natural language (English) is becoming a primary interface for programming via large language models (LLMs). Actionable mainly as a long-term AI/software productivity theme rather than a near-term catalyst.

@yash1_ @shreyansj iirc Geoff Hinton’s official title at Google at one point was “intern” :D

May 24, 2026, 12:22 PM EDT

A humorous anecdote noting that Geoff Hinton’s official title at Google was once reportedly “intern.” No market-relevant information, catalyst, or tradeable detail is provided.

@shreyansj It’s refreshing to see a company of this size successfully call bs on the whole thing to this extent. One ...

May 24, 2026, 11:49 AM EDT

Very short social post praising an unnamed large company for “calling bs” and referencing “One group of MTS on a mission, clean.” No explicit company, catalyst, product, sector, or timeframe is provided, so it is not directly tradable as-is.

Proof-backed call history

Recent notable posts include a personal update announcing a move to Anthropic to work on frontier LLM R&D (no commercialization or partnership details), light commentary on AI compute scarcity (e.g., difficulty obtaining an "8x H100" server), and anecdotal or humorous social notes (e.g., Geoff Hinton’s historical Google title).

GOOGLrightbacktest PROMOTE

The post argues that “agency” (ability to execute, iterate, drive outcomes) is more scarce and valuable than “intelligence,” especially now that intelligence is becoming commoditized/accessible via AI. As an investable signal, this is mainly a narrative tailwind for enterprise automation/productivity software and AI tooling that amplifies execution, but it is not a concrete catalyst with near-term price impact by itself.

Mentioned: Jun 18, 2026, 12:36 AM EDTConviction: 45 / 100Return: +27.88%
Source: Andrej Karpathy @karpathy Feb 24, 2025 Agency > Intelligence I had this intuitively wrong for decades, I think due to...
CRMwrongbacktest DEMOTE

The post argues that “agency” (ability to execute, iterate, drive outcomes) is more scarce and valuable than “intelligence,” especially now that intelligence is becoming commoditized/accessible via AI. As an investable signal, this is mainly a narrative tailwind for enterprise automation/productivity software and AI tooling that amplifies execution, but it is not a concrete catalyst with near-term price impact by itself.

Mentioned: Jun 18, 2026, 12:36 AM EDTConviction: 46 / 100Return: -25.46%
Source: Andrej Karpathy @karpathy Feb 24, 2025 Agency > Intelligence I had this intuitively wrong for decades, I think due to...
ADBEwrongbacktest DEMOTE

The post argues that “agency” (ability to execute, iterate, drive outcomes) is more scarce and valuable than “intelligence,” especially now that intelligence is becoming commoditized/accessible via AI. As an investable signal, this is mainly a narrative tailwind for enterprise automation/productivity software and AI tooling that amplifies execution, but it is not a concrete catalyst with near-term price impact by itself.

Mentioned: Jun 18, 2026, 12:36 AM EDTConviction: 48 / 100Return: -27.95%
Source: Andrej Karpathy @karpathy Feb 24, 2025 Agency > Intelligence I had this intuitively wrong for decades, I think due to...
MSFTwrongbacktest DEMOTE

The post argues that “agency” (ability to execute, iterate, drive outcomes) is more scarce and valuable than “intelligence,” especially now that intelligence is becoming commoditized/accessible via AI. As an investable signal, this is mainly a narrative tailwind for enterprise automation/productivity software and AI tooling that amplifies execution, but it is not a concrete catalyst with near-term price impact by itself.

Mentioned: Jun 18, 2026, 12:36 AM EDTConviction: 56 / 100Return: -19.92%
Source: Andrej Karpathy @karpathy Feb 24, 2025 Agency > Intelligence I had this intuitively wrong for decades, I think due to...
SNOWwrongbacktest DEMOTE

A short, high-level statement implying that natural language (English) is becoming a primary interface for programming via large language models (LLMs). Actionable mainly as a long-term AI/software productivity theme rather than a near-term catalyst.

Mentioned: Jun 18, 2026, 12:36 AM EDTConviction: 34 / 100Return: +3.27%
Source: Pinned Andrej Karpathy @karpathy Jan 24, 2023 The hottest new programming language is English
TEAMwrongbacktest HOLD

A short, high-level statement implying that natural language (English) is becoming a primary interface for programming via large language models (LLMs). Actionable mainly as a long-term AI/software productivity theme rather than a near-term catalyst.

Mentioned: Jun 18, 2026, 12:36 AM EDTConviction: 35 / 100Return: +10.43%
Source: Pinned Andrej Karpathy @karpathy Jan 24, 2023 The hottest new programming language is English
CRMwrongbacktest DEMOTE

A short, high-level statement implying that natural language (English) is becoming a primary interface for programming via large language models (LLMs). Actionable mainly as a long-term AI/software productivity theme rather than a near-term catalyst.

Mentioned: Jun 18, 2026, 12:36 AM EDTConviction: 50 / 100Return: -25.46%
Source: Pinned Andrej Karpathy @karpathy Jan 24, 2023 The hottest new programming language is English
ANETrightbacktest HOLD

A short, high-level statement implying that natural language (English) is becoming a primary interface for programming via large language models (LLMs). Actionable mainly as a long-term AI/software productivity theme rather than a near-term catalyst.

Mentioned: Jun 18, 2026, 12:36 AM EDTConviction: 53 / 100Return: +7.07%
Source: Pinned Andrej Karpathy @karpathy Jan 24, 2023 The hottest new programming language is English
AMZNrightbacktest HOLD

A short, high-level statement implying that natural language (English) is becoming a primary interface for programming via large language models (LLMs). Actionable mainly as a long-term AI/software productivity theme rather than a near-term catalyst.

Mentioned: Jun 18, 2026, 12:36 AM EDTConviction: 56 / 100Return: +5.78%
Source: Pinned Andrej Karpathy @karpathy Jan 24, 2023 The hottest new programming language is English
MSFTwrongbacktest DEMOTE

A short, high-level statement implying that natural language (English) is becoming a primary interface for programming via large language models (LLMs). Actionable mainly as a long-term AI/software productivity theme rather than a near-term catalyst.

Mentioned: Jun 18, 2026, 12:36 AM EDTConviction: 60 / 100Return: -19.92%
Source: Pinned Andrej Karpathy @karpathy Jan 24, 2023 The hottest new programming language is English
NVDArightbacktest PROMOTE

A short, high-level statement implying that natural language (English) is becoming a primary interface for programming via large language models (LLMs). Actionable mainly as a long-term AI/software productivity theme rather than a near-term catalyst.

Mentioned: Jun 18, 2026, 12:36 AM EDTConviction: 63 / 100Return: +8.36%
Source: Pinned Andrej Karpathy @karpathy Jan 24, 2023 The hottest new programming language is English
MTSrightbacktest HOLD

Very short social post praising an unnamed large company for “calling bs” and referencing “One group of MTS on a mission, clean.” No explicit company, catalyst, product, sector, or timeframe is provided, so it is not directly tradable as-is.

Mentioned: May 24, 2026, 11:49 AM EDTConviction: 60 / 100Return: +2.49%Observed price: $84595.48
Source: @shreyansj It’s refreshing to see a company of this size successfully call bs on the whole thing to this extent. One ...

About this channel

Author handle: @karpathy on X. Posts are brief, technically minded, and observational. Coverage includes LLM research and practical issues around AI compute. Performance to date: 1 evaluated recommendation, average return 2.494%, win rate 100%.

Subscribersn/a
Videosn/a
Win rate42%
Average return-4.45%

@karpathy

Unlock the full track record

Follow @karpathy on X for concise, technically oriented commentary and occasional career updates. Note that many posts are informational and not directly tradable.