x@johnschulman2
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johnschulman2

@johnschulman2

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Thesis calls
13
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0
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Past bets that played out

These are the clearest thesis calls with observable outcomes, linked back to the original videos.

OPENAIopen

John Schulman @johnschulman2 16h OpenAI should release a detailed transcript from the Hugging Face hacking incident -... John Schulman @johnschulman2 16h OpenAI should release a detailed transcript from the Hugging Face hacking incident -- it would be helpful for the field learn from....

Mentioned: Jul 23, 2026, 11:51 AM EDTConviction: 100 / 100
Source: John Schulman @johnschulman2 16h OpenAI should release a detailed transcript from the Hugging Face hacking incident -...
ANTHROPICopen

John Schulman @johnschulman2 Feb 7, 2025 Confirming that I left Anthropic last week. Leaving wasn't easy because I en... John Schulman @johnschulman2 Feb 7, 2025 Confirming that I left Anthropic last week. Leaving wasn't easy because I enjoyed the stimulating research environment and the kind and talented people I wa...

Mentioned: Jun 18, 2026, 12:42 AM EDTConviction: 100 / 100
Source: John Schulman @johnschulman2 Feb 7, 2025 Confirming that I left Anthropic last week. Leaving wasn't easy because I en...
GOOGopen

John Schulman confirms he left Anthropic (private) for another, unnamed opportunity. No details on destination or scope, so market impact on public equities is indirect and low-signal.

Mentioned: Jun 18, 2026, 12:42 AM EDTConviction: 16 / 100
Source: John Schulman @johnschulman2 Feb 7, 2025 Confirming that I left Anthropic last week. Leaving wasn't easy because I en...

Latest videos and market context

Recent source posts from this author. Create an account to inspect the complete persisted research trail.

John Schulman @johnschulman2 16h OpenAI should release a detailed transcript from the Hugging Face hacking incident -...

Jul 23, 2026, 11:51 AM EDT

Tweet argues OpenAI should publish a detailed transcript from an alleged Hugging Face “hacking incident” to help the field learn, raising questions about agent awareness, sub-agent “value drift,” and rationalization. No concrete new facts about publicly traded companies are provided; it is primarily a governance/safety transparency viewpoint.

John Schulman @johnschulman2 Jul 15 Inkling is out today, with open weights and in Tinker. It's been fun to watch thi...

Jul 15, 2026, 2:28 PM EDT

Thinking Machines announced “Inkling,” a multimodal (text/image/audio) model released with full open weights and availability for fine-tuning on “Tinker,” plus a playground. This is an incremental positive for open-model ecosystems and for GPU/training infrastructure demand, but it’s not directly tied to a public company’s financials in the post itself.

Glad to be advising https://t.co/QVsH1u528N, which uses AI to help authors and reviewers do deeper, more thorough ana...

May 28, 2026, 11:46 AM EDT

Post announces the author is advising an unnamed company/product (link only) that uses AI to help scientific authors/reviewers perform deeper analysis than humans unaided. It’s a positive qualitative endorsement of AI in scientific publishing/workflows, but contains no financial details, adoption metrics, customer names, pricing, or public-company identifiers.

Seeing the demos come together over the last week has been awesome -- so many things that previously required a speci...

May 11, 2026, 4:50 PM EDT

The source describes rapid progress in AI demos where tasks previously needing special-purpose models (real-time translation, video event detection) are achievable via zero-shot instruction following using a strong general-purpose model. This implies faster capability unlocks and broader applicability for foundation models, increasing demand for training/inference compute, model hosting, AI tooling, and distribution platforms.

Proof-backed call history

These are recent thesis calls tied to original source content where available.

OPENAIopen

John Schulman @johnschulman2 16h OpenAI should release a detailed transcript from the Hugging Face hacking incident -... John Schulman @johnschulman2 16h OpenAI should release a detailed transcript from the Hugging Face hacking incident -- it would be helpful for the field learn from....

Mentioned: Jul 23, 2026, 11:51 AM EDTConviction: 100 / 100
Source: John Schulman @johnschulman2 16h OpenAI should release a detailed transcript from the Hugging Face hacking incident -...
ANTHROPICopen

John Schulman @johnschulman2 Feb 7, 2025 Confirming that I left Anthropic last week. Leaving wasn't easy because I en... John Schulman @johnschulman2 Feb 7, 2025 Confirming that I left Anthropic last week. Leaving wasn't easy because I enjoyed the stimulating research environment and the kind and talented people I wa...

Mentioned: Jun 18, 2026, 12:42 AM EDTConviction: 100 / 100
Source: John Schulman @johnschulman2 Feb 7, 2025 Confirming that I left Anthropic last week. Leaving wasn't easy because I en...
GOOGopen

John Schulman confirms he left Anthropic (private) for another, unnamed opportunity. No details on destination or scope, so market impact on public equities is indirect and low-signal.

Mentioned: Jun 18, 2026, 12:42 AM EDTConviction: 16 / 100
Source: John Schulman @johnschulman2 Feb 7, 2025 Confirming that I left Anthropic last week. Leaving wasn't easy because I en...
AMZNopen

John Schulman confirms he left Anthropic (private) for another, unnamed opportunity. No details on destination or scope, so market impact on public equities is indirect and low-signal.

Mentioned: Jun 18, 2026, 12:42 AM EDTConviction: 18 / 100
Source: John Schulman @johnschulman2 Feb 7, 2025 Confirming that I left Anthropic last week. Leaving wasn't easy because I en...
OPENAIopen

John Schulman @johnschulman2 Aug 6, 2024 I shared the following note with my OpenAI colleagues today: I've made the d... John Schulman @johnschulman2 Aug 6, 2024 I shared the following note with my OpenAI colleagues today: I've made the difficult decision to leave OpenAI. This choice stems from my desire to deepen my focus on AI...

Mentioned: Jun 18, 2026, 12:41 AM EDTConviction: 100 / 100
Source: John Schulman @johnschulman2 Aug 6, 2024 I shared the following note with my OpenAI colleagues today: I've made the d...
AMZNopen

John Schulman announces he is leaving OpenAI to focus more on AI alignment and hands-on technical work. This is a high-profile personnel move at a private company; direct tradable impact is limited and second-order (talent/strategy perception around AI safety).

Mentioned: Jun 18, 2026, 12:41 AM EDTConviction: 35 / 100
Source: John Schulman @johnschulman2 Aug 6, 2024 I shared the following note with my OpenAI colleagues today: I've made the d...
GOOGLopen

John Schulman announces he is leaving OpenAI to focus more on AI alignment and hands-on technical work. This is a high-profile personnel move at a private company; direct tradable impact is limited and second-order (talent/strategy perception around AI safety).

Mentioned: Jun 18, 2026, 12:41 AM EDTConviction: 38 / 100
Source: John Schulman @johnschulman2 Aug 6, 2024 I shared the following note with my OpenAI colleagues today: I've made the d...
NVDAopen

John Schulman announces he is leaving OpenAI to focus more on AI alignment and hands-on technical work. This is a high-profile personnel move at a private company; direct tradable impact is limited and second-order (talent/strategy perception around AI safety).

Mentioned: Jun 18, 2026, 12:41 AM EDTConviction: 43 / 100
Source: John Schulman @johnschulman2 Aug 6, 2024 I shared the following note with my OpenAI colleagues today: I've made the d...
MSFTopen

John Schulman announces he is leaving OpenAI to focus more on AI alignment and hands-on technical work. This is a high-profile personnel move at a private company; direct tradable impact is limited and second-order (talent/strategy perception around AI safety).

Mentioned: Jun 18, 2026, 12:41 AM EDTConviction: 39 / 100
Source: John Schulman @johnschulman2 Aug 6, 2024 I shared the following note with my OpenAI colleagues today: I've made the d...
NVDAopen

Post announces the author is advising an unnamed company/product (link only) that uses AI to help scientific authors/reviewers perform deeper analysis than humans unaided. It’s a positive qualitative endorsement of AI in scientific publishing/workflows, but contains no financial details, adoption metrics, customer names, pricing, or public-company identifiers.

Mentioned: May 28, 2026, 11:46 AM EDTConviction: 24 / 100
Source: Glad to be advising https://t.co/QVsH1u528N, which uses AI to help authors and reviewers do deeper, more thorough ana...
GOOGLopen

Post announces the author is advising an unnamed company/product (link only) that uses AI to help scientific authors/reviewers perform deeper analysis than humans unaided. It’s a positive qualitative endorsement of AI in scientific publishing/workflows, but contains no financial details, adoption metrics, customer names, pricing, or public-company identifiers.

Mentioned: May 28, 2026, 11:46 AM EDTConviction: 26 / 100
Source: Glad to be advising https://t.co/QVsH1u528N, which uses AI to help authors and reviewers do deeper, more thorough ana...
MSFTopen

Post announces the author is advising an unnamed company/product (link only) that uses AI to help scientific authors/reviewers perform deeper analysis than humans unaided. It’s a positive qualitative endorsement of AI in scientific publishing/workflows, but contains no financial details, adoption metrics, customer names, pricing, or public-company identifiers.

Mentioned: May 28, 2026, 11:46 AM EDTConviction: 28 / 100
Source: Glad to be advising https://t.co/QVsH1u528N, which uses AI to help authors and reviewers do deeper, more thorough ana...

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@johnschulman2

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