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golergka

Concise, source-focused analysis on defense contractors, geopolitics of arms procurement, and AI model integrity. Posts prioritize tradeability assessment and confidence grading.

Trust score
0 / 100
Track record
0 / 100
Thesis calls
14
Evaluated calls
14
Average return
+11.14%
Win rate
57%

Past bets that played out

Highlights include skeptical analysis of a claimed US–Israel arms arrangement described as a ~50% discount tied to non-compete, R&D and intelligence sharing (limited evidence, low confidence), and commentary on AI agents’ models of reality and integrity. Most items are interpretive or speculative rather than concrete trade catalysts.

ESLTrightbacktest PROMOTE

Post claims a US–Israel arrangement functioned like a ~50% discount on Israeli arms purchases in exchange for non-compete plus R&D/intel sharing; asserts the deal benefits the US more than Israel and that Israel is exiting; also claims there is “zero cash” flowing US→Israel aside from the discount. No concrete policy document, timeline, procurement program, or named contractors are provided, so tradability is limited and confidence is low.

Mentioned: May 28, 2026, 3:36 PM EDTConviction: 28 / 100Return: +71.82%Observed price: $888.27
Source: @USSMogger @Osint613 It’s a 50% discount on arm purchases in exchange for a non-compete, R&D and intel. This deal...
CRWDrightbacktest HOLD

Post discusses difficulty of auditing ML model weights and the security risk of open models being “Manchurian candidates.” It’s a general AI security/governance debate with no concrete corporate event, product announcement, regulation, or catalyst. Low direct tradability; at most it gestures toward demand for AI security, model governance, and closed/proprietary model preference.

Mentioned: Jul 25, 2026, 3:30 AM EDTConviction: 46 / 100Return: +32.12%
Source: max guy 😐 @GolerGkA 9m How the hell do you audit the weights? The real danger of open models is a Manchurian candidat...
AMZNrightbacktest HOLD

Post discusses difficulty of auditing ML model weights and the security risk of open models being “Manchurian candidates.” It’s a general AI security/governance debate with no concrete corporate event, product announcement, regulation, or catalyst. Low direct tradability; at most it gestures toward demand for AI security, model governance, and closed/proprietary model preference.

Mentioned: Jul 25, 2026, 3:30 AM EDTConviction: 35 / 100Return: +28.44%
Source: max guy 😐 @GolerGkA 9m How the hell do you audit the weights? The real danger of open models is a Manchurian candidat...

What this channel is watching now

Active coverage centers on IMO, WOSGL.XC, ESLT, and LMT with varying conviction levels. Themes: defense procurement and contractor implications, plus discussion of AI agent behaviour and integrity.

Latest videos and market context

No video content available.

max guy 😐 @GolerGkA 9m How the hell do you audit the weights? The real danger of open models is a Manchurian candidat...

Jul 25, 2026, 3:30 AM EDT

Post discusses difficulty of auditing ML model weights and the security risk of open models being “Manchurian candidates.” It’s a general AI security/governance debate with no concrete corporate event, product announcement, regulation, or catalyst. Low direct tradability; at most it gestures toward demand for AI security, model governance, and closed/proprietary model preference.

max guy 😐 @GolerGkA 24m what the hell happened to 5.5 so it started to reply with "Annotation X"? is it a model or ha...

Jul 24, 2026, 4:54 PM EDT

A social post complaining that “5.5” started replying with “Annotation X,” possibly due to a model or harness update; no market, macro, company, or financial information provided.

max guy 😐 @GolerGkA 36m What’s the best coding games for autonomous programmatic invocation mode (like claude-p)? 58

Jul 24, 2026, 1:32 PM EDT

Non-financial social post asking about “coding games” for autonomous programmatic invocation mode (like claude-p). No market, macro, sector, company, or tradable catalyst content.

max guy 😐 @GolerGkA 4h nothing like spending $600 of my own money per month on ai and still feeling token poor 5 150

Jul 24, 2026, 12:10 AM EDT

A social post complaining about spending ~$600/month on AI services and still feeling “token poor.” No companies, products, or investable claims are specified.

Proof-backed call history

Seven recommendations evaluated with an average return of 12.78% and a 57.14% win rate. Commentary has emphasized assessing whether claims produce actionable, tradable signals and rating confidence when primary documentation is absent.

AMZNrightbacktest HOLD

Post discusses difficulty of auditing ML model weights and the security risk of open models being “Manchurian candidates.” It’s a general AI security/governance debate with no concrete corporate event, product announcement, regulation, or catalyst. Low direct tradability; at most it gestures toward demand for AI security, model governance, and closed/proprietary model preference.

Mentioned: Jul 25, 2026, 3:30 AM EDTConviction: 35 / 100Return: +28.44%
Source: max guy 😐 @GolerGkA 9m How the hell do you audit the weights? The real danger of open models is a Manchurian candidat...
GOOGLrightbacktest HOLD

Post discusses difficulty of auditing ML model weights and the security risk of open models being “Manchurian candidates.” It’s a general AI security/governance debate with no concrete corporate event, product announcement, regulation, or catalyst. Low direct tradability; at most it gestures toward demand for AI security, model governance, and closed/proprietary model preference.

Mentioned: Jul 25, 2026, 3:30 AM EDTConviction: 36 / 100Return: +21.59%
Source: max guy 😐 @GolerGkA 9m How the hell do you audit the weights? The real danger of open models is a Manchurian candidat...
MSFTwrongbacktest DEMOTE

Post discusses difficulty of auditing ML model weights and the security risk of open models being “Manchurian candidates.” It’s a general AI security/governance debate with no concrete corporate event, product announcement, regulation, or catalyst. Low direct tradability; at most it gestures toward demand for AI security, model governance, and closed/proprietary model preference.

Mentioned: Jul 25, 2026, 3:30 AM EDTConviction: 38 / 100Return: -1.33%
Source: max guy 😐 @GolerGkA 9m How the hell do you audit the weights? The real danger of open models is a Manchurian candidat...
ZSwrongbacktest DEMOTE

Post discusses difficulty of auditing ML model weights and the security risk of open models being “Manchurian candidates.” It’s a general AI security/governance debate with no concrete corporate event, product announcement, regulation, or catalyst. Low direct tradability; at most it gestures toward demand for AI security, model governance, and closed/proprietary model preference.

Mentioned: Jul 25, 2026, 3:30 AM EDTConviction: 40 / 100Return: -16.16%
Source: max guy 😐 @GolerGkA 9m How the hell do you audit the weights? The real danger of open models is a Manchurian candidat...
CRWDrightbacktest HOLD

Post discusses difficulty of auditing ML model weights and the security risk of open models being “Manchurian candidates.” It’s a general AI security/governance debate with no concrete corporate event, product announcement, regulation, or catalyst. Low direct tradability; at most it gestures toward demand for AI security, model governance, and closed/proprietary model preference.

Mentioned: Jul 25, 2026, 3:30 AM EDTConviction: 46 / 100Return: +32.12%
Source: max guy 😐 @GolerGkA 9m How the hell do you audit the weights? The real danger of open models is a Manchurian candidat...
GABCrightbacktest DEMOTE

The source is a political comment/question referencing historical actions in Germany (banning opposition parties) and contains no market, economic, company, or policy information that can be tied to a specific tradable catalyst.

Mentioned: Jun 17, 2026, 10:43 PM EDTConviction: 32 / 100Return: +1.88%
Source: max guy 😐 @GolerGkA Aug 13, 2023 Replying to @Telegraph What's the name of the guy who banned opposition parties in G...
GDwrongbacktest HOLD

Post claims a US–Israel arrangement functioned like a ~50% discount on Israeli arms purchases in exchange for non-compete plus R&D/intel sharing; asserts the deal benefits the US more than Israel and that Israel is exiting; also claims there is “zero cash” flowing US→Israel aside from the discount. No concrete policy document, timeline, procurement program, or named contractors are provided, so tradability is limited and confidence is low.

Mentioned: May 28, 2026, 3:36 PM EDTConviction: 16 / 100Return: +2.90%Observed price: $348.89
Source: @USSMogger @Osint613 It’s a 50% discount on arm purchases in exchange for a non-compete, R&D and intel. This deal...
NOCwrongbacktest HOLD

Post claims a US–Israel arrangement functioned like a ~50% discount on Israeli arms purchases in exchange for non-compete plus R&D/intel sharing; asserts the deal benefits the US more than Israel and that Israel is exiting; also claims there is “zero cash” flowing US→Israel aside from the discount. No concrete policy document, timeline, procurement program, or named contractors are provided, so tradability is limited and confidence is low.

Mentioned: May 28, 2026, 3:36 PM EDTConviction: 17 / 100Return: +2.66%Observed price: $557.66
Source: @USSMogger @Osint613 It’s a 50% discount on arm purchases in exchange for a non-compete, R&D and intel. This deal...
RTXwrongbacktest HOLD

Post claims a US–Israel arrangement functioned like a ~50% discount on Israeli arms purchases in exchange for non-compete plus R&D/intel sharing; asserts the deal benefits the US more than Israel and that Israel is exiting; also claims there is “zero cash” flowing US→Israel aside from the discount. No concrete policy document, timeline, procurement program, or named contractors are provided, so tradability is limited and confidence is low.

Mentioned: May 28, 2026, 3:36 PM EDTConviction: 18 / 100Return: +3.58%Observed price: $179.57
Source: @USSMogger @Osint613 It’s a 50% discount on arm purchases in exchange for a non-compete, R&D and intel. This deal...
LMTrightbacktest DEMOTE

Post claims a US–Israel arrangement functioned like a ~50% discount on Israeli arms purchases in exchange for non-compete plus R&D/intel sharing; asserts the deal benefits the US more than Israel and that Israel is exiting; also claims there is “zero cash” flowing US→Israel aside from the discount. No concrete policy document, timeline, procurement program, or named contractors are provided, so tradability is limited and confidence is low.

Mentioned: May 28, 2026, 3:36 PM EDTConviction: 20 / 100Return: -1.67%Observed price: $537.42
Source: @USSMogger @Osint613 It’s a 50% discount on arm purchases in exchange for a non-compete, R&D and intel. This deal...
ESLTrightbacktest PROMOTE

Post claims a US–Israel arrangement functioned like a ~50% discount on Israeli arms purchases in exchange for non-compete plus R&D/intel sharing; asserts the deal benefits the US more than Israel and that Israel is exiting; also claims there is “zero cash” flowing US→Israel aside from the discount. No concrete policy document, timeline, procurement program, or named contractors are provided, so tradability is limited and confidence is low.

Mentioned: May 28, 2026, 3:36 PM EDTConviction: 28 / 100Return: +71.82%Observed price: $888.27
Source: @USSMogger @Osint613 It’s a 50% discount on arm purchases in exchange for a non-compete, R&D and intel. This deal...
WOSGL.XCrightbacktest HOLD

Non-financial commentary about “Watch” vs “Agent” having a model of reality and behavior/integrity. No market, macro, sector, company, catalyst, or tradable implication is provided.

Mentioned: May 28, 2026, 2:12 AM EDTConviction: 32 / 100Return: +5.53%
Source: @wwwwwwxaw Watch has accurate (but very thin) model of reality. But it doesn’t use this model to drive its behaviour ...

About this channel

Short-form analyst commentary from the handle @golergka, focused on defense-sector dynamics and AI model behavior. Posts analyze source claims, identify missing documentation, and assess tradability and confidence rather than making definitive market forecasts.

Subscribersn/a
Videosn/a
Win rate57%
Average return+11.14%

@golergka

Unlock the full track record

Follow @golergka for concise, source-aware takes on defense procurement narratives and AI integrity discussions. Look for clear statements of confidence and evidence behind each claim.

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