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golergka

Concise, source-focused analysis on defense contractors, geopolitics of arms procurement, and AI model integrity. Posts prioritize tradeability assessment and confidence grading.

Trust score
0 / 100
Track record
0 / 100
Thesis calls
8
Evaluated calls
8
Average return
+11.42%
Win rate
63%

Past bets that played out

Highlights include skeptical analysis of a claimed US–Israel arms arrangement described as a ~50% discount tied to non-compete, R&D and intelligence sharing (limited evidence, low confidence), and commentary on AI agents’ models of reality and integrity. Most items are interpretive or speculative rather than concrete trade catalysts.

ESLTrightbacktest PROMOTE

Post claims a US–Israel arrangement functioned like a ~50% discount on Israeli arms purchases in exchange for non-compete plus R&D/intel sharing; asserts the deal benefits the US more than Israel and that Israel is exiting; also claims there is “zero cash” flowing US→Israel aside from the discount. No concrete policy document, timeline, procurement program, or named contractors are provided, so tradability is limited and confidence is low.

Mentioned: May 28, 2026, 3:36 PM EDTConviction: 28 / 100Return: +71.82%Observed price: $888.27
Source: @USSMogger @Osint613 It’s a 50% discount on arm purchases in exchange for a non-compete, R&D and intel. This deal...
WOSGL.XCrightbacktest HOLD

Non-financial commentary about “Watch” vs “Agent” having a model of reality and behavior/integrity. No market, macro, sector, company, catalyst, or tradable implication is provided.

Mentioned: May 28, 2026, 2:12 AM EDTConviction: 32 / 100Return: +5.53%
Source: @wwwwwwxaw Watch has accurate (but very thin) model of reality. But it doesn’t use this model to drive its behaviour ...
IMOrightbacktest PROMOTE

Discussion about AI “smuggling” concerns and whether LLMs/LLM-agents maintain integrity and have a true/useful model of reality. No concrete catalysts, companies, products, or market/earnings/regulatory events mentioned.

Mentioned: May 28, 2026, 2:10 AM EDTConviction: 60 / 100Return: +4.65%
Source: @wwwwwwxaw This smuggling is exactly my concern as well. But watch doesn’t maintain its integrity. LLM on its own doe...

What this channel is watching now

Active coverage centers on IMO, WOSGL.XC, ESLT, and LMT with varying conviction levels. Themes: defense procurement and contractor implications, plus discussion of AI agent behaviour and integrity.

Latest videos and market context

No video content available.

max guy 😐 @GolerGkA Oct 30, 2021 В Сочи тем временем полный МГИМО финишд

n/a

Russian-language social post with no finance/market-relevant information; not actionable for investing or trading.

max guy 😐 @GolerGkA Aug 13, 2023 Replying to @Telegraph What's the name of the guy who banned opposition parties in G...

n/a

The source is a political comment/question referencing historical actions in Germany (banning opposition parties) and contains no market, economic, company, or policy information that can be tied to a specific tradable catalyst.

@wulliesjunk That’s happens at 200-500 k tokens. Not at 2.

May 28, 2026, 3:37 PM EDT

The source text is a brief remark about something occurring at “200–500k tokens” but not at “2” (likely referring to language-model token/context length). It contains no financial, macro, sector, or company-specific information and no tradable signals.

@USSMogger @Osint613 It’s a 50% discount on arm purchases in exchange for a non-compete, R&D and intel. This deal...

May 28, 2026, 3:36 PM EDT

Post claims a US–Israel arrangement functioned like a ~50% discount on Israeli arms purchases in exchange for non-compete plus R&D/intel sharing; asserts the deal benefits the US more than Israel and that Israel is exiting; also claims there is “zero cash” flowing US→Israel aside from the discount. No concrete policy document, timeline, procurement program, or named contractors are provided, so tradability is limited and confidence is low.

Proof-backed call history

Seven recommendations evaluated with an average return of 12.78% and a 57.14% win rate. Commentary has emphasized assessing whether claims produce actionable, tradable signals and rating confidence when primary documentation is absent.

GABCrightbacktest DEMOTE

The source is a political comment/question referencing historical actions in Germany (banning opposition parties) and contains no market, economic, company, or policy information that can be tied to a specific tradable catalyst.

Mentioned: Jun 17, 2026, 10:43 PM EDTConviction: 32 / 100Return: +1.88%
Source: max guy 😐 @GolerGkA Aug 13, 2023 Replying to @Telegraph What's the name of the guy who banned opposition parties in G...
GDwrongbacktest HOLD

Post claims a US–Israel arrangement functioned like a ~50% discount on Israeli arms purchases in exchange for non-compete plus R&D/intel sharing; asserts the deal benefits the US more than Israel and that Israel is exiting; also claims there is “zero cash” flowing US→Israel aside from the discount. No concrete policy document, timeline, procurement program, or named contractors are provided, so tradability is limited and confidence is low.

Mentioned: May 28, 2026, 3:36 PM EDTConviction: 16 / 100Return: +2.90%Observed price: $348.89
Source: @USSMogger @Osint613 It’s a 50% discount on arm purchases in exchange for a non-compete, R&D and intel. This deal...
NOCwrongbacktest HOLD

Post claims a US–Israel arrangement functioned like a ~50% discount on Israeli arms purchases in exchange for non-compete plus R&D/intel sharing; asserts the deal benefits the US more than Israel and that Israel is exiting; also claims there is “zero cash” flowing US→Israel aside from the discount. No concrete policy document, timeline, procurement program, or named contractors are provided, so tradability is limited and confidence is low.

Mentioned: May 28, 2026, 3:36 PM EDTConviction: 17 / 100Return: +2.66%Observed price: $557.66
Source: @USSMogger @Osint613 It’s a 50% discount on arm purchases in exchange for a non-compete, R&D and intel. This deal...
RTXwrongbacktest HOLD

Post claims a US–Israel arrangement functioned like a ~50% discount on Israeli arms purchases in exchange for non-compete plus R&D/intel sharing; asserts the deal benefits the US more than Israel and that Israel is exiting; also claims there is “zero cash” flowing US→Israel aside from the discount. No concrete policy document, timeline, procurement program, or named contractors are provided, so tradability is limited and confidence is low.

Mentioned: May 28, 2026, 3:36 PM EDTConviction: 18 / 100Return: +3.58%Observed price: $179.57
Source: @USSMogger @Osint613 It’s a 50% discount on arm purchases in exchange for a non-compete, R&D and intel. This deal...
LMTrightbacktest DEMOTE

Post claims a US–Israel arrangement functioned like a ~50% discount on Israeli arms purchases in exchange for non-compete plus R&D/intel sharing; asserts the deal benefits the US more than Israel and that Israel is exiting; also claims there is “zero cash” flowing US→Israel aside from the discount. No concrete policy document, timeline, procurement program, or named contractors are provided, so tradability is limited and confidence is low.

Mentioned: May 28, 2026, 3:36 PM EDTConviction: 20 / 100Return: -1.67%Observed price: $537.42
Source: @USSMogger @Osint613 It’s a 50% discount on arm purchases in exchange for a non-compete, R&D and intel. This deal...
ESLTrightbacktest PROMOTE

Post claims a US–Israel arrangement functioned like a ~50% discount on Israeli arms purchases in exchange for non-compete plus R&D/intel sharing; asserts the deal benefits the US more than Israel and that Israel is exiting; also claims there is “zero cash” flowing US→Israel aside from the discount. No concrete policy document, timeline, procurement program, or named contractors are provided, so tradability is limited and confidence is low.

Mentioned: May 28, 2026, 3:36 PM EDTConviction: 28 / 100Return: +71.82%Observed price: $888.27
Source: @USSMogger @Osint613 It’s a 50% discount on arm purchases in exchange for a non-compete, R&D and intel. This deal...
WOSGL.XCrightbacktest HOLD

Non-financial commentary about “Watch” vs “Agent” having a model of reality and behavior/integrity. No market, macro, sector, company, catalyst, or tradable implication is provided.

Mentioned: May 28, 2026, 2:12 AM EDTConviction: 32 / 100Return: +5.53%
Source: @wwwwwwxaw Watch has accurate (but very thin) model of reality. But it doesn’t use this model to drive its behaviour ...
IMOrightbacktest PROMOTE

Discussion about AI “smuggling” concerns and whether LLMs/LLM-agents maintain integrity and have a true/useful model of reality. No concrete catalysts, companies, products, or market/earnings/regulatory events mentioned.

Mentioned: May 28, 2026, 2:10 AM EDTConviction: 60 / 100Return: +4.65%
Source: @wwwwwwxaw This smuggling is exactly my concern as well. But watch doesn’t maintain its integrity. LLM on its own doe...

About this channel

Short-form analyst commentary from the handle @golergka, focused on defense-sector dynamics and AI model behavior. Posts analyze source claims, identify missing documentation, and assess tradability and confidence rather than making definitive market forecasts.

Subscribersn/a
Videosn/a
Win rate63%
Average return+11.42%

@golergka

Unlock the full track record

Follow @golergka for concise, source-aware takes on defense procurement narratives and AI integrity discussions. Look for clear statements of confidence and evidence behind each claim.