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Thesis calls
14
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Past bets that played out

These are the clearest thesis calls with observable outcomes, linked back to the original videos.

IMOopen

Post is about Fields Medal winners and their prior Olympiad credentials; no market, policy, corporate, or economic linkage. Not actionable for trading.

Mentioned: Jul 24, 2026, 4:20 AM EDTConviction: 60 / 100
Source: Deedy @deedydas 28m The Fields Medal is the highest award for Math and it's only granted to 2-4 people every 4 years....
HARIGOV.BOopen

A joke about the new Pope having a mathematics degree (Villanova) and a pun on sin/cos. No investment-relevant information, catalysts, or tradable implications.

Mentioned: Jun 17, 2026, 10:28 PM EDTConviction: 32 / 100
Source: Deedy @deedydas May 8, 2025 The new Pope has a degree in mathematics from Villanova University. This guy doesn’t just...
ANTHROPICopen

Pinned Deedy @deedydas Jul 17, 2024 ANNOUNCING Today, we're launching the $100M Anthology Fund, an Anthropic and Menl... Pinned Deedy @deedydas Jul 17, 2024 ANNOUNCING Today, we're launching the $100M Anthology Fund, an Anthropic and Menlo Ventures partnership to fund Seed and Series As of the next generation of AI startups around the world, with uniq...

Mentioned: Jun 17, 2026, 10:28 PM EDTConviction: 100 / 100
Source: Pinned Deedy @deedydas Jul 17, 2024 ANNOUNCING Today, we're launching the $100M Anthology Fund, an Anthropic and Menl...

Latest videos and market context

Recent source posts from this author. Create an account to inspect the complete persisted research trail.

Deedy @deedydas 1h It blows my mind that Northeastern is now a more selective school than Northwestern. US college re...

Jul 24, 2026, 11:00 AM EDT

Commentary on shifting US college selectivity/reputation over ~15 years (Northeastern vs Northwestern; Vanderbilt/UChicago now “elite”). No investable catalyst, policy change, or company mention.

Deedy @deedydas 28m The Fields Medal is the highest award for Math and it's only granted to 2-4 people every 4 years....

Jul 24, 2026, 4:20 AM EDT

Post is about Fields Medal winners and their prior Olympiad credentials; no market, policy, corporate, or economic linkage. Not actionable for trading.

Deedy @deedydas 8h OpenRouter when raising Seed (Jan ‘25) were at 2T tok/mo. At Series A (Apr ‘25) at 8T tok/mo. 4x i...

Jul 23, 2026, 8:34 PM EDT

Tweet cites OpenRouter’s token throughput growth from ~2T tokens/month (Jan ’25) to ~250T tokens/month (Jul ’26), implying explosive scaling in LLM inference routing/aggregation and, by extension, continued rapid growth in AI inference demand for GPUs, networking, data center power/cooling, and colocation/cloud capacity. OpenRouter itself is private, so trades are via public “picks-and-shovels” beneficiaries and potential relative losers from inference commoditization.

@thestoicccoder No, this doesn't include AI search summaries

May 28, 2026, 11:27 AM EDT

The provided source contains no market, company, or macro information—only a clarification that something does not include AI search summaries. There are no actionable investing signals, theses, catalysts, or tickers mentioned.

Proof-backed call history

These are recent thesis calls tied to original source content where available.

IMOopen

Post is about Fields Medal winners and their prior Olympiad credentials; no market, policy, corporate, or economic linkage. Not actionable for trading.

Mentioned: Jul 24, 2026, 4:20 AM EDTConviction: 60 / 100
Source: Deedy @deedydas 28m The Fields Medal is the highest award for Math and it's only granted to 2-4 people every 4 years....
HARIGOV.BOopen

A joke about the new Pope having a mathematics degree (Villanova) and a pun on sin/cos. No investment-relevant information, catalysts, or tradable implications.

Mentioned: Jun 17, 2026, 10:28 PM EDTConviction: 32 / 100
Source: Deedy @deedydas May 8, 2025 The new Pope has a degree in mathematics from Villanova University. This guy doesn’t just...
ANTHROPICopen

Pinned Deedy @deedydas Jul 17, 2024 ANNOUNCING Today, we're launching the $100M Anthology Fund, an Anthropic and Menl... Pinned Deedy @deedydas Jul 17, 2024 ANNOUNCING Today, we're launching the $100M Anthology Fund, an Anthropic and Menlo Ventures partnership to fund Seed and Series As of the next generation of AI startups around the world, with uniq...

Mentioned: Jun 17, 2026, 10:28 PM EDTConviction: 100 / 100
Source: Pinned Deedy @deedydas Jul 17, 2024 ANNOUNCING Today, we're launching the $100M Anthology Fund, an Anthropic and Menl...
GOOGLopen

A new $100M Anthology Fund (Anthropic + Menlo Ventures) will fund seed/Series A AI startups globally. This is a modest-sized but symbolically positive signal for early-stage AI funding activity; direct public-equity impact is mostly second-order (AI infrastructure/cloud demand narrative).

Mentioned: Jun 17, 2026, 10:28 PM EDTConviction: 36 / 100
Source: Pinned Deedy @deedydas Jul 17, 2024 ANNOUNCING Today, we're launching the $100M Anthology Fund, an Anthropic and Menl...
MSFTopen

A new $100M Anthology Fund (Anthropic + Menlo Ventures) will fund seed/Series A AI startups globally. This is a modest-sized but symbolically positive signal for early-stage AI funding activity; direct public-equity impact is mostly second-order (AI infrastructure/cloud demand narrative).

Mentioned: Jun 17, 2026, 10:28 PM EDTConviction: 38 / 100
Source: Pinned Deedy @deedydas Jul 17, 2024 ANNOUNCING Today, we're launching the $100M Anthology Fund, an Anthropic and Menl...
AMZNopen

A new $100M Anthology Fund (Anthropic + Menlo Ventures) will fund seed/Series A AI startups globally. This is a modest-sized but symbolically positive signal for early-stage AI funding activity; direct public-equity impact is mostly second-order (AI infrastructure/cloud demand narrative).

Mentioned: Jun 17, 2026, 10:28 PM EDTConviction: 44 / 100
Source: Pinned Deedy @deedydas Jul 17, 2024 ANNOUNCING Today, we're launching the $100M Anthology Fund, an Anthropic and Menl...
NVDAopen

A new $100M Anthology Fund (Anthropic + Menlo Ventures) will fund seed/Series A AI startups globally. This is a modest-sized but symbolically positive signal for early-stage AI funding activity; direct public-equity impact is mostly second-order (AI infrastructure/cloud demand narrative).

Mentioned: Jun 17, 2026, 10:28 PM EDTConviction: 46 / 100
Source: Pinned Deedy @deedydas Jul 17, 2024 ANNOUNCING Today, we're launching the $100M Anthology Fund, an Anthropic and Menl...
ANTHROPICopen

...ocuses on consumer, so Claude Code, API etc, which is an entirely different business that is the ... @dtk4723 This only focuses on consumer, so Claude Code, API etc, which is an entirely different business that is the primary revenue driver for Anthropic is not counted here @dtk4723 This only focuses on consumer, so Claude Code, API etc, which is an entirely different business that is the primary revenue driver for Anthropic is not counted here The source argues that analysis focusing only on

Mentioned: May 28, 2026, 11:24 AM EDTConviction: 18 / 100
Source: @dtk4723 This only focuses on consumer, so Claude Code, API etc, which is an entirely different business that is the ...
NVDAopen

The source argues that analysis focusing only on Anthropic’s consumer product understates the business, because Anthropic’s primary revenue driver is its enterprise/API side (e.g., Claude Code, API), which is not being counted in that consumer-only framing.

Mentioned: May 28, 2026, 11:24 AM EDTConviction: 40 / 100
Source: @dtk4723 This only focuses on consumer, so Claude Code, API etc, which is an entirely different business that is the ...
AMZNopen

The source argues that analysis focusing only on Anthropic’s consumer product understates the business, because Anthropic’s primary revenue driver is its enterprise/API side (e.g., Claude Code, API), which is not being counted in that consumer-only framing.

Mentioned: May 28, 2026, 11:24 AM EDTConviction: 36 / 100
Source: @dtk4723 This only focuses on consumer, so Claude Code, API etc, which is an entirely different business that is the ...
GOOGLopen

A VC/partner announcement praising Modal (private company) as an easy-to-use engineering product; no financials, catalysts, public-market linkage, or timing details. Mostly sentiment around AI/dev-infra tooling attractiveness.

Mentioned: May 21, 2026, 5:11 PM EDTConviction: 34 / 100
Source: When I first joined Menlo, Modal was the #1 early stage company I wanted to invest in. Back then, they were just a ~$...
MSFTopen

A VC/partner announcement praising Modal (private company) as an easy-to-use engineering product; no financials, catalysts, public-market linkage, or timing details. Mostly sentiment around AI/dev-infra tooling attractiveness.

Mentioned: May 21, 2026, 5:11 PM EDTConviction: 36 / 100
Source: When I first joined Menlo, Modal was the #1 early stage company I wanted to invest in. Back then, they were just a ~$...

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@deedydas

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