x@aaronwei3n
Trust score
0 / 100
Track record
0 / 100
Thesis calls
7
Evaluated calls
0
Average return
n/a
Win rate
n/a

Past bets that played out

These are the clearest thesis calls with observable outcomes, linked back to the original videos.

ANTHROPICopen

...22 So it is true, congrats $AMD ! Advanced Micro Devices Inc AMD $539.69 -2.29% Aaron @Aaronwei... Aaron @Aaronwei3n Jul 22 So it is true, congrats $AMD ! Advanced Micro Devices Inc AMD $539.69 -2.29% Aaron @Aaronwei3n Apr 17 Oh... so it's true Anthropic is looking at $AMD MI solutions? They are clearly desperate for more compute, and basically vacuuming up every chip they can get their hands on. 2 2 51 6.5K Aaron @Aaronwei3n Jul 22 So it is true, congrats $AMD ! Advanced Micro Devices Inc AM

Mentioned: Jul 22, 2026, 8:44 AM EDTConviction: 100 / 100
Source: Aaron @Aaronwei3n Jul 22 So it is true, congrats $AMD ! Advanced Micro Devices Inc AMD $539.69 -2.29% Aaron @Aaronwei...
AMDopen

Post claims/celebrates confirmation that Anthropic is looking at or adopting AMD MI GPU solutions due to compute scarcity; implies incremental AI accelerator demand for AMD. Limited detail/catalyst timing; mostly rumor/confirmation tone.

Mentioned: Jul 22, 2026, 8:44 AM EDTConviction: 55 / 100
Source: Aaron @Aaronwei3n Jul 22 So it is true, congrats $AMD ! Advanced Micro Devices Inc AMD $539.69 -2.29% Aaron @Aaronwei...
NVDAopen

Aaron Wei highlights a positive Samsung semiconductor setup: "memory supercycle," improved foundry competitiveness, and a reported reference win producing Groq AI chips on Samsung’s 4nm process amid strong 4–5nm demand. He frames this as meaningful versus TSMC and suggests the inference AI chip market is nearing a breakout. The post contains one potentially low-confidence/rumor element ("Groq…acquired by NVIDIA").

Mentioned: Jun 17, 2026, 8:43 PM EDTConviction: 40 / 100
Source: Aaron @Aaronwei3n Samsung has had so much good news in recent months, from the memory supercycle to an improved, more...

Latest videos and market context

Recent source posts from this author. Create an account to inspect the complete persisted research trail.

Aaron @Aaronwei3n 27m From 6 Dell PCs in a corner to a state-of-the-art AI data center youtube.com Dwarkesh Goes Insi...

Jul 25, 2026, 2:31 AM EDT

Single short post sharing a video about Jane Street’s latest AI data center, with a nostalgic reference to “6 Dell PCs.” No explicit market view, catalyst, or tradeable claim beyond general AI data-center context.

Aaron @Aaronwei3n Jul 23 so good Sundar Pichai @sundarpichai Jul 22 Replying to @sundarpichai Read my full remarks he...

Jul 22, 2026, 8:42 PM EDT

Post is a brief endorsement (“so good”) of Sundar Pichai’s remarks and links to a Google blog post. No explicit market, product-cycle, financial, valuation, macro, supply-chain, or positioning claims are present beyond implicit positive sentiment toward Google.

Aaron @Aaronwei3n Jul 22 So it is true, congrats $AMD ! Advanced Micro Devices Inc AMD $539.69 -2.29% Aaron @Aaronwei...

Jul 22, 2026, 8:44 AM EDT

Post claims/celebrates confirmation that Anthropic is looking at or adopting AMD MI GPU solutions due to compute scarcity; implies incremental AI accelerator demand for AMD. Limited detail/catalyst timing; mostly rumor/confirmation tone.

Aaron @Aaronwei3n Yes, $NVDIA Rubin faces multiple headwinds. 1. HBM4 base die 2. Interposer Redesign 3. Heat Dissipa...

May 7, 2026, 9:38 PM EDT

Aaron Wei states Nvidia’s Rubin/Rubin Ultra faces multiple design/supply-chain headwinds (HBM4 base die, interposer redesign, heat dissipation redesign), implying potential delays or performance compromises for Rubin generation.

Proof-backed call history

These are recent thesis calls tied to original source content where available.

ANTHROPICopen

...22 So it is true, congrats $AMD ! Advanced Micro Devices Inc AMD $539.69 -2.29% Aaron @Aaronwei... Aaron @Aaronwei3n Jul 22 So it is true, congrats $AMD ! Advanced Micro Devices Inc AMD $539.69 -2.29% Aaron @Aaronwei3n Apr 17 Oh... so it's true Anthropic is looking at $AMD MI solutions? They are clearly desperate for more compute, and basically vacuuming up every chip they can get their hands on. 2 2 51 6.5K Aaron @Aaronwei3n Jul 22 So it is true, congrats $AMD ! Advanced Micro Devices Inc AM

Mentioned: Jul 22, 2026, 8:44 AM EDTConviction: 100 / 100
Source: Aaron @Aaronwei3n Jul 22 So it is true, congrats $AMD ! Advanced Micro Devices Inc AMD $539.69 -2.29% Aaron @Aaronwei...
AMDopen

Post claims/celebrates confirmation that Anthropic is looking at or adopting AMD MI GPU solutions due to compute scarcity; implies incremental AI accelerator demand for AMD. Limited detail/catalyst timing; mostly rumor/confirmation tone.

Mentioned: Jul 22, 2026, 8:44 AM EDTConviction: 55 / 100
Source: Aaron @Aaronwei3n Jul 22 So it is true, congrats $AMD ! Advanced Micro Devices Inc AMD $539.69 -2.29% Aaron @Aaronwei...
NVDAopen

Aaron Wei highlights a positive Samsung semiconductor setup: "memory supercycle," improved foundry competitiveness, and a reported reference win producing Groq AI chips on Samsung’s 4nm process amid strong 4–5nm demand. He frames this as meaningful versus TSMC and suggests the inference AI chip market is nearing a breakout. The post contains one potentially low-confidence/rumor element ("Groq…acquired by NVIDIA").

Mentioned: Jun 17, 2026, 8:43 PM EDTConviction: 40 / 100
Source: Aaron @Aaronwei3n Samsung has had so much good news in recent months, from the memory supercycle to an improved, more...
TSMopen

Aaron Wei highlights a positive Samsung semiconductor setup: "memory supercycle," improved foundry competitiveness, and a reported reference win producing Groq AI chips on Samsung’s 4nm process amid strong 4–5nm demand. He frames this as meaningful versus TSMC and suggests the inference AI chip market is nearing a breakout. The post contains one potentially low-confidence/rumor element ("Groq…acquired by NVIDIA").

Mentioned: Jun 17, 2026, 8:43 PM EDTConviction: 50 / 100
Source: Aaron @Aaronwei3n Samsung has had so much good news in recent months, from the memory supercycle to an improved, more...
SSNLFopen

Aaron Wei highlights a positive Samsung semiconductor setup: "memory supercycle," improved foundry competitiveness, and a reported reference win producing Groq AI chips on Samsung’s 4nm process amid strong 4–5nm demand. He frames this as meaningful versus TSMC and suggests the inference AI chip market is nearing a breakout. The post contains one potentially low-confidence/rumor element ("Groq…acquired by NVIDIA").

Mentioned: Jun 17, 2026, 8:43 PM EDTConviction: 58 / 100
Source: Aaron @Aaronwei3n Samsung has had so much good news in recent months, from the memory supercycle to an improved, more...
005930open

Aaron Wei highlights a positive Samsung semiconductor setup: "memory supercycle," improved foundry competitiveness, and a reported reference win producing Groq AI chips on Samsung’s 4nm process amid strong 4–5nm demand. He frames this as meaningful versus TSMC and suggests the inference AI chip market is nearing a breakout. The post contains one potentially low-confidence/rumor element ("Groq…acquired by NVIDIA").

Mentioned: Jun 17, 2026, 8:43 PM EDTConviction: 62 / 100
Source: Aaron @Aaronwei3n Samsung has had so much good news in recent months, from the memory supercycle to an improved, more...
NVDAopen

Aaron Wei states Nvidia’s Rubin/Rubin Ultra faces multiple design/supply-chain headwinds (HBM4 base die, interposer redesign, heat dissipation redesign), implying potential delays or performance compromises for Rubin generation.

Mentioned: Jun 17, 2026, 8:42 PM EDTConviction: 56 / 100
Source: Aaron @Aaronwei3n Yes, $NVDIA Rubin faces multiple headwinds. 1. HBM4 base die 2. Interposer Redesign 3. Heat Dissipa...

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